BMIE Market 24179

Bedford County, Virginia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	18,773 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±987 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,049 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±422 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,616 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,318 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$67,565 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,467 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$944 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±74 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$224,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,442 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	47.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	26 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 24179
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+8.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+23.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+23.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+13.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	32 (range 29–36) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.71) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	62 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 24179. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.71, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Virginia and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 591, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	65.7	66	40%	+26.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62.1	62	35%	+21.7
Market Momentum Score	62.2	62	25%	+15.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	18,773	80	40%	+32.1
Median household income (ACS)	67,565	43	40%	+17.3
Households (ACS)	8,049	82	20%	+16.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	23.8	66	35%	+23.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.9	57	25%	+14.3
Population (ACS)	18,773	80	20%	+16.1
Median household income (ACS)	67,565	43	20%	+8.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	8.3	66	50%	+32.8
10-year restaurant growth	23.8	66	30%	+19.8
20-year restaurant growth	23.8	48	20%	+9.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (66)

By cuisine

American 13 · Pizza 12 · Coffee 7 · Mexican 7 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · BBQ 3 · Italian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Chinese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Seafood 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 47 · Quick service 11 · Bar 5 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Bakery 3 · Casual dining 3 · Dessert 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
525 Shawarma	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Mediterranean	2445 Washington Ave	open
Absolutely Delicious Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	303 S Pollard St	open
Asia Gourmet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	126 E Lee Ave	open
Azteca De Oro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	217 S Pollard St	open
Bob's Restaurant	Casual dining · Bar	American	1004 Walnut Ave	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	900 Hardy Road	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	716 Hardy Road	open
China Wall Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	989 Hardy Rd	open
Clarks Clearwater Pump Service	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1408 Chestnut Mountain Dr	open
Curtains Etc	Bar		6124 Jordantown Rd	open
D.w. Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		106 E Lee Ave	open
Dogwood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	106 E Lee Ave	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	2445 Washington Ave	open
Down Home Creamery	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	116 S Poplar St	open
Dunkin'	Restaurant (service type not stated)		400 W Virginia Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	999 Hardy Rd	open
El Rancho Viejo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	525 Hardy Rd	open
Famous Anthony's Vinton Famous Anthony's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	323 E Virginia Ave	open
Frank's Pizza & Italian Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1219 E Washington Ave	open
Giardino Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	105 W Lee Ave	open
HCK Hot Chicken HCK Hot Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2499 E Washington Ave	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5567 Jordantown Road	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7865 Jordantown Rd	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1339 Hardy Rd	open
Jerry's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1340 Washington Ave	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	713 Hardy Road	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1551 East Washington St.	open
La Casa Del Burrito Taco Shop Taco Casa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	515 2nd St	open
Last Stop Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1919 E Washington Ave	open
LickÃdy Split Ice Cream & More	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2445 Washington Ave	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	505 Hardy Rd	open
Long John Silver's Long John Silver's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	801 Hardy Rd	open
Macado's Macado's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Sandwiches	800 E Washington Ave	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	993 Hardy Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	809 Hardy Rd	open
Merita Bread	Bakery	Bakery	2322 E Washington Ave	open
Metro Express #3	Coffee shop · Specialty food shop	Coffee	104 Gus Nicks Blvd	open
Mid Atlantic Distributors	Restaurant (service type not stated)		120 S Pollard St	open
Nishi Food Mart	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1551 Washington Ave	open
Pancho Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1922 Washington Ave	open
PANDA boba	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	112 S Pollard St	open
Pascal Investments Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		303 S Pollard St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1060 By Pass Road	open
Pok-E-Joe's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	105 E Washington Ave	open
Pollard 107 South	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	107 S Pollard St	open
Rays Unlimited	Restaurant (service type not stated)		223 W Virginia Ave	open
Red Jasmine Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	210 S Pollard St	open
RND Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	101 E Washington Ave	open
Route 24 Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	15720 Stewartsville Rd	open
Sistaz Of Soulfood	Restaurant (service type not stated)		900 Hardy Rd	open
Smiley's Grill and BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	129 E Cleveland Ave	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	915 Hardy Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	987 Hardy Rd #8	open
Taco Bell	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · Mexican	1551 E Washington Ave	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1918 Washington Avenue	open
Tacos Rojas 6 TACOS ROJAS	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	525 Hardy Rd	open
Teaberry's	Café	Coffee	129 E Cleveland Ave	open
The Barbeque Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	126 E Lee Ave	open
The Goose Lodge #1120	Bar			open
Twin Creeks Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		111 S Pollard St	open
Village Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	15270 Stewartsville Rd	open
Vinton Café - Kitchen & Bakery	Café · Bakery	Coffee · Breakfast · Bakery	126 E Lee Ave	open
Vito's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	15796 Stewartsville Rd	open
새콤한딸기	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	708 Hardy Rd	open
Farmburguesa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	303 S Pollard St	closed
Idk Restaurant And Catering Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		105 W Lee Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	25	23	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	26	25	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	27	26	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	28	27	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	25	22	9	12	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	29	26	12	13	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	25	22	8	13	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	28	25	10	13	2	1	NAICS1997
2002	28	25	12	12	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	25	21	8	12	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	23	20	7	12	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	23	21	8	12	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	24	22	8	12	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	19	18	7	10	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	22	20	8	11	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	23	21	9	11	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	27	24	9	13	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	24	22	7	13	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	25	24	9	13	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	22	21	9	10	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	24	22	10	10	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	22	21	10	11	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	23	21	9	11	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	22	20	7	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	26	24	10	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	29	26	13	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	29	26	11	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	32	29	11	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	30	27	11	13	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	28	26	8	14	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 24179. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.