BMIE Market 24630

Tazewell County, Virginia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,307 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±743 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,216 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±313 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,774 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,150 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$57,254 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,577 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$833 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±130 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$107,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,854 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	66.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 24630
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-11.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 6–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	41 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	43 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	30 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 24630. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Virginia and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 591, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	47.1	47	40%	+18.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	42.7	43	35%	+14.9
Market Momentum Score	30.3	30	25%	+7.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,307	61	40%	+24.6
Median household income (ACS)	57,254	25	40%	+10.0
Households (ACS)	2,216	63	20%	+12.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.1	52	25%	+13.1
Population (ACS)	5,307	61	20%	+12.3
Median household income (ACS)	57,254	25	20%	+5.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 30 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-11.1	18	50%	+8.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	33.3	54	20%	+10.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (17)

By cuisine

Pizza 6 · American 3 · Bakery 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Italian 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Quick service 4 · Bakery 2 · Bar 1 · Café 1 · Casual dining 1 · Dessert 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
637 Country Store & Grill	Casual dining	American	4511 Baptist Valley Rd	open
Bramble and Creek Farm	Bakery	Bakery	6964 Dry Fork Rd	open
El Mariachi El Mariachi - Beaver	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	624 E Riverside Dr	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	727 W Riverside Dr	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8306 Baptist Valley Rd	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2756 Adria Road	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2647 Fincastle Turnpike	open
L & G Auction Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2281 Adria Rd	open
Main Street Cafe, VIP Room	Bar · Café	Coffee	344 Dunford Dr	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings	546 1/2 E Riverside Dr	open
Pizza Plus Pizza Plus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3409 E Riverside Dr	open
S'Mothered Bake Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	629 E Riverside Dr	open
Sonic Drive-In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	602 Market St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3347 Riverside Drive	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	619 E Riverside Dr	open
Tray Ting House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3341 E Riverside Dr	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	619 Market St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	10	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	7	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	7	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	6	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	7	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	7	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	9	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	9	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	10	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	8	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	8	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	9	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	9	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	8	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	8	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 24630. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
24604	4.3 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.