BMIE Market 25414

Jefferson County, West Virginia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	21,073 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,178 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,098 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±441 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,024 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,008 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$105,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,144 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,061 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±89 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$391,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,830 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	56.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	38 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 25414
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	17.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+11.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+22.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+15.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+72.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	44 (range 40–48) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.75) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	83 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	63 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 25414. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.75, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. West Virginia and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 313, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	83.0	83	40%	+33.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66.8	67	35%	+23.4
Market Momentum Score	62.9	63	25%	+15.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	21,073	82	40%	+32.9
Median household income (ACS)	105,500	84	40%	+33.7
Households (ACS)	8,098	82	20%	+16.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	22.6	65	35%	+22.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.0	43	25%	+10.7
Population (ACS)	21,073	82	20%	+16.5
Median household income (ACS)	105,500	84	20%	+16.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	11.8	70	50%	+34.8
10-year restaurant growth	22.6	65	30%	+19.6
20-year restaurant growth	15.2	43	20%	+8.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (81)

By cuisine

American 19 · Coffee 9 · Asian 6 · Bakery 6 · Pizza 5 · Burgers 4 · Chinese 4 · Italian 4 · Japanese 4 · Sandwiches 4 · BBQ 3 · Breakfast 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Mexican 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mediterranean 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1 · Vegan 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 37 · Bar 16 · Quick service 16 · Casual dining 14 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Catering 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A&W Restaurants A&W Singapore	Quick service	Seafood · Burgers · American	32 Patrick Henry Way	open
Abolitionist Ale Works	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		129 W Washington St #1529	open
Alfredo's Mediterranean Grille and Steakhouse	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · Mediterranean	735 E Washington St	open
Angels Haven Sports Bar and Grill	Bar		107 Keyes Ferry Rd	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	129 Jefferson Crossing Way	open
Blaze Pizza Blaze Pizza	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	490 Euclid Ave	open
Bloomery Plantation Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		16357 Charles Town Rd	open
Brother's Pizzeria and Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	114 Patrick Henry Way	open
Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	114 Flowing Springs Road	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	737 Willow Springs Drive	open
Burger King	Quick service		Flowing Springs Rd	open
Cella Mae's Bakehouse	Bakery	Bakery	130 Augustine Ave	open
Charles Town Family Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	903 E Washington St	open
Charles Town, WV Blaze Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	490 Euclid Ave	open
China Fortune	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Japanese · Asian	118 Patrick Henry Way	open
Cocina Plantosaurus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegan	216 W Washington St	open
Down Under Inc	Bar		301 N George St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service		114 Flowing Springs Way	open
Ginza Japanese Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Steakhouse · Asian	91 Saratoga Dr	open
Grandma's Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	227 W Washington St	open
Great Wall	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	176 Flowing Springs Rd	open
Guide House	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American		open
Harpoon Henry's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		92 Somerset Blvd	open
Homespun Shakes & Burgers, Charles Town	Casual dining · Bar	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	212 N George St. Ste 100	open
IHOP IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	134 Jefferson Crossing Way	open
Inkwells	Bar		205 W Washington St	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	71-C Jefferson Crossing Way	open
Joan + Joe Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	14826 Charles Town Rd	open
Kcr Barrel Saloon	Casual dining · Bar		304 N Mildred St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	620 E. Washington Street	open
Kylie's Confections, Llc	Bakery	Bakery	130 Augustine Ave Unit 64	open
L Jays Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		216 W Washington St	open
La Gazelle Specialty Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	205 W Washington St	open
La Mezzaluna Cafe	Café · Catering	Italian · Coffee	90 Somerset Blvd	open
Mad Monks Coffee Shop	Coffee shop	Coffee	109 W Washington St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	732 E Washington St	open
Mercadito Hispano Mi Pueblito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	1446 Flowing Springs Rd	open
Mghm Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		90 Somerset Blvd	open
Mi Degollado Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	92 Somerset Blvd	open
Mountain View Diner	Casual dining	American	903 E Washington St	open
Ortega's Taco Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	100 W Washington St	open
Our 3 Sons Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3511 Berryville Pike	open
Paddy's	Bar	British / Irish pub food	210 W Liberty St	open
Panda Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1189 S George St.	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	769 E Washington St	open
Paul's At Oakland	Restaurant (service type not stated)		70 Oakland Ter	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	805 E Washington St	open
Rainbow Diner & Truck Stop	Casual dining	American	137 Berryville Pike	open
Redbook Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4490 Summit Point Rd	open
Rossy's Place	Casual dining	American · Latin American (other)	216 W Washington St	open
Royalicious	Bakery	Bakery	126 Patrick Henry Way	open
Ruby Tuesday Ruby Tuesday	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	BBQ · American	701 Willow Spring Dr	open
Scooplex	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	8837 Charles Town Rd	open
Sibling Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	304 W Washington St	open
Skybox Sports Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Buffet · Bar	Steakhouse · Asian · Sushi · Japanese · Chinese · American	750 Hollywood Dr	open
St. Isidore Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	49 Crosswinds Dr	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	190 Flowing Springs Rd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	58 Somerset Blvd	open
Starting Gate Pub	Bar		292 Prospect Ave	open
Subway Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	340 Berryville Pike	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	98 Somerset Blvd	open
Sweet Frog Premium Frozen Yogurt	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	200 Flowing Springs Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	64 Flowing Springs Rd	open
Teedawg's Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	307 W Washington St	open
Tenderfix By Noah Schnapp	Quick service		134 Jefferson Crossing Way	open
Teyta's Treats Llc	Coffee shop	Coffee	205 W Washington St	open
The Cottage Kitchen LLC The Cottage Kitchen LLC	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	120 Blakeley Pl	open
The Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Asian · Noodles / ramen / pho · Japanese	750 Hollywood Dr	open
The Mediterranean Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	132 W Washington St	open
The Smoking Head Llc	Bar		34 Jefferson Ave	open
Tjs Pit Stop	Casual dining · Bar	American	3511 Berryville Pike	open
Torlone's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	20605 Charles Town Rd	open
Turf's Winners Circle Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	BBQ · American	741 E Washington St	open
Via Tuscany	Restaurant (service type not stated)		750 Hollywood Dr	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	103 Keyes Ferry Rd	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	96 Patrick Henry Way	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	764 E Washington St	open
Wilder Bakehouse	Bakery	Bakery	402 S Samuel St	open
Yatai Corner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		132 W Washington St	open
Mash Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		122 N George St	closed
Sumittra Thai Kitchen & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	213 W Washington St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	23	22	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	23	22	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	24	23	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	27	24	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	24	21	9	11	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	25	21	10	10	1	4	NAICS1997
2000	24	20	12	7	1	4	NAICS1997
2001	24	21	10	10	1	3	NAICS1997
2002	30	28	13	12	3	2	NAICS1997
2003	36	33	16	14	3	3	NAICS2002
2004	36	34	16	15	3	2	NAICS2002
2005	40	37	18	15	4	3	NAICS2002
2006	37	33	18	13	2	3	NAICS2002
2007	36	32	15	13	3	3	NAICS2002
2008	37	33	15	14	3	3	NAICS2007
2009	39	34	15	15	3	4	NAICS2007
2010	34	29	14	10	4	4	NAICS2007
2011	38	32	17	10	4	4	NAICS2007
2012	40	35	16	14	4	3	NAICS2012
2013	36	31	13	13	4	3	NAICS2012
2014	33	29	13	13	2	3	NAICS2012
2015	32	29	12	13	2	3	NAICS2012
2016	34	32	12	11	5	2	NAICS2012
2017	35	32	12	11	5	3	NAICS2017
2018	37	34	16	13	4	3	NAICS2017
2019	37	34	15	13	4	3	NAICS2017
2020	41	38	16	14	6	3	NAICS2017
2021	44	40	15	14	8	4	NAICS2017
2022	40	35	15	12	5	4	NAICS2022
2023	41	38	15	12	8	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 25414. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
25446	4.9 mi	1	2003

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.