BMIE Market 26034

Hancock County, West Virginia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,664 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±574 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,217 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±293 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,905 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,378 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$56,556 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,402 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$785 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±263 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$138,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,964 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	15.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 26034
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+30.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+116.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+160.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+116.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 16–23) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.76) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	46 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	88 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 26034. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.76, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. West Virginia and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 313, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	45.8	46	40%	+18.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55.4	55	35%	+19.4
Market Momentum Score	87.9	88	25%	+22.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,664	59	40%	+23.7
Median household income (ACS)	56,556	24	40%	+9.6
Households (ACS)	2,217	63	20%	+12.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	116.7	95	35%	+33.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	27.9	22	25%	+5.6
Population (ACS)	4,664	59	20%	+11.9
Median household income (ACS)	56,556	24	20%	+4.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	30	83	50%	+41.6
10-year restaurant growth	116.7	95	30%	+28.4
20-year restaurant growth	160	90	20%	+17.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (25)

By cuisine

American 4 · Coffee 3 · Italian 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Burgers 2 · Bakery 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mexican 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Quick service 6 · Bar 5 · Casual dining 5 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Bakery 1 · Catering 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bruno's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	525 W Carolina Ave	open
Caribbean Club	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	86 W Carolina Ave	open
China City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	442 Carolina Ave	open
Clay Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2456 Lincoln Hwy	open
Connie's Corner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	256 Carolina Ave	open
Daisy Dukes	Bar		2097 Lincoln Hwy	open
Ej's Family Restaurant Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		817 Carolina Ave	open
Frank's Pastry Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	430 W Carolina Ave	open
Hot Shots Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		649 Carolina Ave	open
Let's Say Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	569 W Carolina Ave	open
Mary Jane's Stone Baked Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	442 W Carolina Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	431 Carolina Ave	open
Red Dog Cafe	Coffee shop	Coffee	88 W Carolina Ave	open
Romas Pizzeria Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	507 Carolina Ave	open
Saddle Ridge	Casual dining · Bar	American	2097 Lincoln Hwy	open
Sal Mari's Sub Shop	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	160 W Carolina Ave	open
Shorty's Place	Casual dining · Bar		1860 Lincoln Hwy	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2456 Lincoln Hwy	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	449 Carolina Avenue	open
The Family Kitchen And Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)		817 Carolina Ave	open
The Twisted Fork	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Catering	Ice cream / frozen desserts	817 Carolina Ave	open
Tom's Country Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		817 Carolina Ave	open
Valley View Superette	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	5368 Veterans Blvd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	649 Carolina Ave	open
White Stallion	Casual dining · Bar		2701 Lincoln Hwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	6	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	10	7	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	14	10	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	13	8	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	13	7	3	4	—	5	NAICS1997
1999	15	9	5	4	—	5	NAICS1997
2000	10	5	3	2	—	4	NAICS1997
2001	12	7	4	2	1	4	NAICS1997
2002	13	6	3	3	—	7	NAICS1997
2003	13	5	2	3	—	8	NAICS2002
2004	15	8	3	4	1	7	NAICS2002
2005	18	7	1	5	1	11	NAICS2002
2006	20	7	1	5	1	13	NAICS2002
2007	18	7	2	5	—	11	NAICS2002
2008	18	6	3	3	—	12	NAICS2007
2009	18	7	3	4	—	11	NAICS2007
2010	20	9	5	4	—	11	NAICS2007
2011	19	8	5	3	—	11	NAICS2007
2012	15	8	6	2	—	7	NAICS2012
2013	13	6	5	1	—	7	NAICS2012
2014	14	7	4	3	—	7	NAICS2012
2015	16	9	4	5	—	7	NAICS2012
2016	13	6	3	3	—	7	NAICS2012
2017	13	7	4	3	—	6	NAICS2017
2018	16	10	6	3	—	6	NAICS2017
2019	16	10	5	4	—	6	NAICS2017
2020	20	14	6	7	—	6	NAICS2017
2021	20	15	6	7	—	5	NAICS2017
2022	17	13	6	6	—	4	NAICS2022
2023	16	13	6	6	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 26034. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
26050	3.7 mi	3	2018
15043	4.7 mi	1	2016
26047	4.9 mi	3	2017

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.