BMIE Market 27006

Davie County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,247 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±789 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,732 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±368 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,150 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,358 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$96,580 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,565 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	48.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,009 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±153 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$334,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,787 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	62.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 27006
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-22.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+112.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+466.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	21 (range 16–25) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	34 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 27006. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.4	78	40%	+31.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61.2	61	35%	+21.4
Market Momentum Score	33.6	34	25%	+8.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,247	78	40%	+31.2
Median household income (ACS)	96,580	79	40%	+31.5
Households (ACS)	6,732	79	20%	+15.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.5	70	25%	+17.6
Population (ACS)	16,247	78	20%	+15.6
Median household income (ACS)	96,580	79	20%	+15.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 34 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-22.7	12	50%	+6.0
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	112.5	86	20%	+17.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (30)

By cuisine

American 7 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Mexican 3 · Pizza 3 · Asian 2 · Burgers 2 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Quick service 11 · Bar 5 · Dessert 3 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Bakery 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
801 Southern Kitchen and Pancake House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	218 NC-801	open
Advance Seafood Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		218 NC Highway 801 N	open
Bermuda Run Country Club Dining Services	Restaurant (service type not stated)		324 Bermuda Run Dr	open
Bixby General Store and Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	2200 Cornatzer Rd	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	5296 US-158	open
Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	130 NC-801	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	260 NC-801 N	open
Davie Tavern	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		5279 US-158	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	100 Yadkin Valley Rd	open
Donutnv Winston-Advance, NC	Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	Advance Country Store, 1878 NC Highway 801 S	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1878 Highway 801 S	open
Jade Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	5273 US-158	open
James Junction at Forest Lake RV	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	192 Thousand Trails Dr	open
Kj'S Soul Food	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		240 NC-801 N	open
L.A. Ice - Shaved Ice & Ice Cream and Soup Shack	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1987 NC Highway 801 S	open
La Carreta La Carreta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	190 NC-801 N	open
Los Toritos	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	5286 US Highway 158	open
Maddie Cakes	Café · Bar · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert · Bakery	5397 US-158	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	117 NC Highway 801 N	open
Mighty Muscadine	Winery / distillery / taproom		3134 Cornatzer Rd	open
Mulligan's	Bar		129 Orchard Park Dr	open
Sam's Ice Cream - Bermuda Run	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	5275 US-158	open
Southern Spice Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	5411 US-158	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Fast casual	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	242 NC-801	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	126 NC Highway 801 N	open
Tanglewood Pizza Company	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5539 US-158	open
Thai Destiny Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Vietnamese · Asian	240 NC-801	open
Venezia Italian Family Rest	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	5279 US Highway 158	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	147 NC Highway 801 N	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	5337 US Highway 158	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	7	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	8	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	9	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	11	10	6	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	13	13	5	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	13	13	6	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	14	14	6	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	18	18	9	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	19	19	9	9	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	19	19	11	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	17	17	8	9	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	19	19	8	11	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	17	17	6	10	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	18	18	6	11	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	22	22	9	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	22	22	10	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	21	21	8	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	19	19	6	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	21	20	7	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	19	18	8	8	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	18	17	8	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 27006. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.