BMIE Market 27045

Forsyth County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,863 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,263 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,559 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±484 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,536 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,828 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$71,086 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,958 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,081 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±184 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$194,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,790 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	23.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 27045
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-18.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+125.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 7–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.82) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	24 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 27045. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.82, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	62.9	63	40%	+25.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49.0	49	35%	+17.1
Market Momentum Score	23.9	24	25%	+6.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,863	72	40%	+28.8
Median household income (ACS)	71,086	49	40%	+19.5
Households (ACS)	4,559	73	20%	+14.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-18.2	14	35%	+5.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.3	79	25%	+19.8
Population (ACS)	10,863	72	20%	+14.4
Median household income (ACS)	71,086	49	20%	+9.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 24 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-10	19	50%	+9.3
10-year restaurant growth	-18.2	14	30%	+4.3
20-year restaurant growth	28.6	51	20%	+10.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (20)

By cuisine

American 5 · Mexican 3 · Pizza 3 · Italian 2 · Seafood 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Quick service 6 · Bar 2 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Casual dining 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bojangles	Quick service		2257 Shore Rd	open
Coronet Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	431 Bethania-Rural Hall Rd	open
El Taco Vaquero	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Mexican	170 Cook St	open
Four Ducks Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee		open
Frank's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	1027 Bethania Rural Hall Rd	open
Frank's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	8191 Broad St	open
Golden Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1015 Bethania-Rural Hall Rd	open
Havsum	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	130 E Wall St	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings	6940 Broad St	open
Jayjays Place	Bar		6426 University Pkwy	open
King's Hot Dogs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	1009 Bethania Rural Hall Rd	open
Little Italy Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	696 Angus St	open
Los Jimadores	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	1022 Bethania-Rural Hall Rd	open
Mayflower Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	665 Montroyal Rd	open
McDonald's	Quick service		1014 NC Highway 65 E	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1040 Bethania Drive	open
Monte DE Rey	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1022 Bethania-Rural Hall Rd	open
Scotty B's	Bar		6428 University Pkwy	open
Simple Kneads Gluten-Free	Bakery	Bakery		open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1030 Bethania-Rural Hall Rd.	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	8	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	8	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	8	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	9	8	4	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	8	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	9	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	9	8	4	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	11	10	6	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	12	11	7	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	13	11	6	4	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	13	10	6	4	—	3	NAICS2012
2013	14	11	6	5	—	3	NAICS2012
2014	14	11	6	5	—	3	NAICS2012
2015	13	11	6	5	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	12	10	6	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	12	10	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	10	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	10	7	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 27045. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
27019	4.9 mi	1	2014

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.