BMIE Market 27107

Davidson County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	50,769 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,452 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	19,173 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±797 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	46,963 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	18,890 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$60,729 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,713 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$883 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±35 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$220,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,001 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	66.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	40 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 27107
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+42.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+25.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	50 (range 46–53) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.4 per year, r² 0.91) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	74 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 27107. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.91, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.6	71	40%	+28.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73.2	73	35%	+25.6
Market Momentum Score	74.3	74	25%	+18.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	50,769	97	40%	+38.8
Median household income (ACS)	60,729	31	40%	+12.3
Households (ACS)	19,173	97	20%	+19.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	42.9	78	35%	+27.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.9	81	25%	+20.2
Population (ACS)	50,769	97	20%	+19.4
Median household income (ACS)	60,729	31	20%	+6.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	14.3	72	50%	+36.2
10-year restaurant growth	42.9	78	30%	+23.5
20-year restaurant growth	66.7	73	20%	+14.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (85)

By cuisine

American 14 · Mexican 12 · Coffee 11 · Bakery 9 · Dessert 7 · Pizza 6 · Asian 5 · Chinese 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Burgers 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Sandwiches 3 · BBQ 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Hot dogs 2 · African 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 43 · Quick service 17 · Dessert 12 · Bakery 10 · Coffee shop 9 · Bar 8 · Café 6 · Food truck 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Casual dining 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
109 Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3324 Thomasville Rd	open
777 Sweepstakes	Café	Coffee	2969 Reynolds Park Rd	open
African Avenue	Food truck	African	900 Junia Ave	open
Amigos Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	10277 NC-109	open
Arina Reevis	Bakery	Bakery	645 Clemson Cir	open
Arroyo Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	636 E Monmouth St	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	623 Waughtown St	open
Bottle and Bean by El & M	Coffee shop · Bar	Coffee	10253 N NC Highway 109	open
Buddy Scoops Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	12640 Old U.S. Hwy 52	open
Cagney's Kitchen Cagney's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	5353 Gumtree Rd	open
Cagney's Kitchen Cagney's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	11464 Old US-52	open
Carolina Western Saloon	Bar		715 Clemmonsville Cir	open
Char's Hamburgers	Quick service	Burgers · Hot dogs	636 Waughtown St	open
China Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3055 Waughtown St	open
China One	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	10479 N NC Highway 109	open
China Two	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	189 Hickory Tree Rd	open
Chopstix Wallburg	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	4424 Wallburg Landing Dr	open
Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	907 Waughtown Street	open
Colford’s Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	300 Dornoch Dr	open
Costa Del Sol Bar Club	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2915 Starlight Dr	open
Cuchifrito Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Caribbean	2104 Old Lexington Rd	open
Cupcake Cuties Cafe & Bakery	Café · Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Coffee · Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	Suites A & C, 8363 NC-109 Unit c	open
Da$pot	Café	Coffee	838 E Sprague St	open
Dawg House Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	11141 Old US Highway 52	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	5389 Gumtree Road	open
Doodlations	Coffee shop	Coffee	12945 Old U.S. Hwy 52 Ste B	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	3331 Thomasville Rd Wilcohess	open
El Jarocho	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1900 Waughtown St	open
El Rancho Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	613 E Sprague St	open
El Tejano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	650 Waughtown St	open
Emerald.drinksofmatcha LLC	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	2946 E Sprague St	open
Fonda Costeña Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		838 E Sprague St Unit A	open
G and S Gourmet Dips	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert	Sandwiches	3214 Meadow Ln	open
Get It to Go	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	4370 Thomasville Rd	open
Given Coffee	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	758 Motsinger Rd	open
Gracefully Crafted LLC	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1265 Midway School Rd	open
Grill-Ville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	902 E Sprague St	open
Grind Daily Coffee Company	Coffee shop	Coffee	11141 Old U.S. Hwy 52	open
Hot N Now Soul Food	Quick service		10111 Old US Highway 52	open
Hump's Oasis	Bar		181 Barclays Dr	open
Ink 4 Cakes	Bakery	Bakery	2361 Farrington Point Dr	open
Innovative Concessions Innovative Concessions	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused	Ice cream / frozen desserts	98 Piedmont Industrial Dr	open
Jade Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2201 Old Lexington Rd #3231	open
Jaqueline's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	3029 Waughtown St #152	open
Kakewalk	Bakery	Bakery	2361 Farrington Point Dr	open
Kermit's Hot Dog House	Quick service	Hot dogs · Sandwiches	2220 Thomasville Rd	open
La Perlita Meat Market Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1001 Waughtown St Ste A	open
La Perlita Tacos Y Restaurante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1001 Waughtown St	open
La Sirenita Ice Cream Shop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	623 E Sprague St	open
Latino Restuarant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3089 Waughtown St	open
Le'Chateau Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1200 Clemmonsville Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2958 Waughtown St	open
Mambo Cafe And Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1527 S Martin Luther King Jr Dr	open
Mamma Mia's Italian Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	5415 Gumtree Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4451 Wallburg Landing Dr	open
Ming Garden	Quick service	Chinese	1011 Waughtown St	open
Natalie's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	3015 Waughtown St	open
Old Homeplace Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		623 McGee Rd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3025 Waughtown St Forsyth	open
Pronto Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	189 Hickory Tree Rd 102	open
Pupuseria el buen gusto	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	4281 Thomasville Rd	open
Ranch-O-Drive in	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Mexican	3020 Kernersville Rd	open
Sabor Tropical Icecream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	716 Waughtown St	open
Sakura Japanese restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	189 Hickory Tree Rd	open
SouthEast Plaza	Quick service		3025 Waughtown St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Other · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	10479 N Nc Highway 109 Ste 108	open
Taco El Amigo	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2985 Waughtown St	open
Taco Rico Taqueria Taco Rico	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	631 E Sprague St	open
Taqueria El Maguey	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican	3015 Waughtown St	open
Taqueria El Paisano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2742 Waughtown St	open
Taqueria La Esmeralda Food Truck	Food truck	Mexican	3407 Old Lexington Rd	open
The B Y O B Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		259 Davidson Heights Dr	open
The Munchie Wagon	Food truck · Quick service		123 Munchie Lane	open
The Ole Watering Hole	Bar		4371 Thomasville Rd	open
The Sprinkled Unicorn	Dessert	Dessert	125 Gumtree Rd	open
Thunder Road Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	11141 Old U.S. Hwy 52	open
Tortillería La Fe \| Mexican	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3087 Waughtown St	open
Transformation Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies		open
Wallburg Diner	Casual dining	American	8580 NC-109	open
Wallburg Emporium & Coffee Shop	Coffee shop	Coffee	8363 N NC Highway 109	open
Wallburg Grill & Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Hwy 109	open
Wallburg Grill and Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	10479 N NC-109	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	3007 Waughtown St.	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5457 Gumtree Rd	open
Gallins Gourmet Coffee	Café	Coffee	3195 Centre Park Blvd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	34	32	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	32	31	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	31	29	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	31	29	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	30	27	9	16	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	31	27	9	15	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	31	27	10	14	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	29	24	8	14	1	3	NAICS1997
2002	24	23	6	16	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	26	24	8	14	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	24	22	6	13	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	23	20	5	12	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	25	22	9	11	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	32	25	8	14	2	4	NAICS2002
2008	32	25	9	12	3	4	NAICS2007
2009	37	31	13	13	4	4	NAICS2007
2010	33	28	11	12	4	2	NAICS2007
2011	35	30	12	14	3	2	NAICS2007
2012	30	26	11	13	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	31	28	11	15	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	33	29	15	13	—	3	NAICS2012
2015	37	33	17	14	1	3	NAICS2012
2016	34	30	15	13	1	3	NAICS2012
2017	37	35	19	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	37	35	20	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	37	36	21	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	41	40	21	17	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	41	40	20	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	44	41	23	16	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	43	40	20	18	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 27107. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.