BMIE Market 27127

Forsyth County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	41,443 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,497 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	16,871 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±824 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	34,138 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	15,310 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$61,926 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,048 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,118 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±56 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$219,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,578 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	29.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	42 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 27127
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-14.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+31.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+366.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	44 (range 39–48) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	29 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 27127. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.2	70	40%	+28.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55.7	56	35%	+19.5
Market Momentum Score	29.0	29	25%	+7.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	41,443	95	40%	+37.8
Median household income (ACS)	61,926	33	40%	+13.3
Households (ACS)	16,871	95	20%	+19.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.1	72	25%	+17.9
Population (ACS)	41,443	95	20%	+18.9
Median household income (ACS)	61,926	33	20%	+6.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 29 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-14.3	16	50%	+7.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	31.3	53	20%	+10.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (114)

By cuisine

American 21 · Coffee 12 · Mexican 11 · Pizza 9 · Burgers 8 · Chicken / wings 7 · Sandwiches 6 · Bakery 5 · Breakfast 5 · Dessert 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Chinese 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Asian 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Italian 2 · Japanese 2 · Sushi 2 · Greek 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 54 · Quick service 27 · Bar 19 · Coffee shop 10 · Dessert 9 · Bakery 7 · Café 6 · Casual dining 6 · Buffet 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Other 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1/2 Bulls Dive Bar	Bar		4212 Ebert Rd	open
4 Locos Bakery	Bakery · Coffee shop	Bakery · Coffee	Bethany Trace Ln	open
A & E Restaurant Holding Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5076 Peters Creek Pkwy	open
A & Omega Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	440 Waughtown St	open
Absolute Entertainment Complex	Bar			open
Acadia Foods	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Coffee shop	Sandwiches · Coffee	228 W Acadia Ave	open
Acadia Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		200 W Acadia Ave	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3184 Peters Creek Pkwy	open
Arcadia Family Restaurant & Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	125 Millers Creek Dr	open
Baggerz Saloon	Bar		4212 Ebert Rd	open
Bake Away Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	166 Mendenhall Dr	open
Biggby Coffee Biggby Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	12201 NC-150	open
Biscuitville Biscuitville	Quick service	Breakfast · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2145 Peters Creek Pkwy	open
Blimpie	Other	Sandwiches	1533 S Main St	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	3411 Olivers Crossing Dr	open
Brandenburg Restaurant Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		200 W Acadia Ave	open
Breakfastime Breakfastime	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	3450 Old Salisbury Rd	open
Bullies Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	4695 S Main St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	3571 Pkwy Village Cir	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	2100 Peters Creek Pkwy	open
Cake Ladies	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4017 Caspian Way Ct	open
Carolina Creamery & Cookies	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	166 Millers Creek Dr	open
Chic Fil A	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1110	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	3343 Sides Branch Rd	open
China Chef	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3193 Peters Creek Pkwy	open
China Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	3521 Parkway Village Cir	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1051 Southpark Blvd	open
Cilantro & Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2235 Old Salisbury Rd	open
Cook Out	Quick service	Burgers · American	3103 Peters Creek Pkwy	open
Country kitchen on Main Street	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4339 S Main St	open
Curiouser Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	206 W Acadia Ave	open
Dairi-O Dairi-O	Dessert	American · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Hot dogs	1207 W Clemmonsville Rd	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	12201 Peters Creek Pkwy	open
Dukes Tavern	Bar		4752 S Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Dessert · Bakery · Quick service · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	2561 Peters Creek Pkwy	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	3600 S Main St Wilcohess	open
East Coast Wings + Grill East Coast Wings + Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	5014 Peters Creek Pkwy	open
El Borracho	Casual dining · Bar		105 Waughtown St	open
El Mexicano Bar Vip	Bar · Casual dining	Mexican	3813 S Main St	open
El Rey Del Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	1225 W Clemmonsville Rd	open
El Sabor Tabasqueno	Food truck	Mexican	417 Waughtown St	open
Epic Exotic NightLife	Bar		1007 Salisbury Ridge Rd	open
Gem Lee Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2101 Peters Creek Pkwy Ste 26	open
Ginza Hibachi Grill & Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5086 Peters Creek Pkwy	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Breakfast · American	3351 Sides Branch Rd	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	10 E Clemmonsville Rd	open
He-Brews Street Cafe'	Café	Coffee	2311 Freeman St	open
Henry James Family Dining	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	125 Millers Creek Dr	open
Hong Kong King Buffet	Buffet		1237 Silas Creek Pkwy	open
Hungry Howie's Hungry Howie's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	166 Millers Creek Dr	open
IHOP IHOP	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	1295 Silas Creek Pkwy	open
Jade Express Winston Salem Jade Express in New Bern	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1103 Silas Creek Pkwy	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	5038 Peters Creek Parkway Suite 160	open
Johnny & June Ultra Salon	Bar		2105 Peters Creek Pkwy	open
Judy's Place Too	Bar		4752 S Main St	open
Kernol's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	12201 North Carolina Hwy 150 #5	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1203 Silas Creek Parkway	open
Kitchen Kake Magic	Bakery	Bakery	1415 Trade Mart Blvd	open
La Princesa Frozen Treats	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	9 E Clemmonsville Rd	open
La Rumba Sports Bar	Bar		418 Waughtown St	open
Libby Hill Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2561 Peters Creek Pkwy	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1401 Silas Creek Pkwy	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1113 Silas Creek Pkwy	open
Lone Wolf Tavern	Bar		4212 Ebert Rd	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused	Pizza	2215 Old Salisbury Rd	open
McDonald's	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Coffee · Burgers	1330 W Clemmonsville Road Extension	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	12292 N NC Highway 150	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1460 Trade Mart Blvd	open
Mi Casa Mexican Restaurant Mi Casa Mexican Restaurant Lexington, NC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	5096 Peters Creek Pkwy	open
Miyako Japanese Steakhouse Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5086 Peters Creek Pkwy	open
Monstercade	Bar		204 W Acadia Ave	open
Monterrey Mexican Restaurant Monterrey - Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1227 Silas Creek Pkwy	open
Munch Box	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	2101 Peters Creek Pkwy Ste 25	open
My Town Ice Cream	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · American	2101 Peters Creek Pkwy	open
New Hong Kong Chinese Restaurant Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12201 N Nc Highway 150 Ste 3	open
Old Nick's Pub	Bar		206 Millers Creek Dr	open
Old Town Country Club	Bar		116 Hay Rd	open
Papa John's Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1215 W Clemmonsville Rd	open
Pardon My Cheesesteak	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1295 Silas Creek Pkwy	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2721 Peters Creek Pkwy	open
Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	200 W Acadia Ave	open
Salem Creamery & Coffee	Café	Coffee	5038 Peters Creek Pkwy	open
Simply Soul Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	4339 S Main St	open
Slappy's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	200 W Acadia Ave	open
Star Counseling Service	Restaurant (service type not stated)		206 Fair Oaks Ln	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1611 Brewer Rd	open
Steven's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · American	11154 N North Carolina Hwy 150	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3511 Pkwy Village Cir	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	12201 N NC Hwy 150 Ste 15	open
Swaim's Grocery	Bar		232 W Acadia Ave	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	12199 N NC Highway 150	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1299 Silas Creek Pkwy.	open
Tacokingnc	Food truck	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	951 Silas Creek Pkwy	open
TCBY	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	5038 Peters Creek Pkwy	open
Tenderfix By Noah Schnapp	Quick service		1295 Silas Creek Pkwy	open
TGI Fridays	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	348 Silas Creek Pkwy	open
The Coffee Pot	Coffee shop	Coffee	2101 Peters Creek Pkwy	open
The Pizza Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1155 Silas Creek Pkwy	open
The Sand Trap	Bar		3801 Heathrow Dr	open
The Southside Beer Garden & Bottle Shop	Bar		2108 S Broad St	open
Tokyo Japanese Steakhouse and Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse	1111 Salisbury Ridge Rd	open
TTrúc 86 - Bag	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Umi Hotpot Sushi & Seafood Buffet Umi premier Sushi & Seafood Buffet - Deptford	Buffet	Japanese · Sushi	1237 Silas Creek Pkwy	open
Vinnie's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	5076 Peters Creek Pkwy	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	2727 Peters Creek Pkwy	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	3475 Parkway Village Cir	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	3182 Peters Creek Pkwy SW	open
Wingstop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	12201 Nc-150	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings	3179 Peters Creek Pkwy SW	open
Metal Rebel Bar And Grill	Bar		2105 Peters Creek Pkwy	closed
Mi Tierra Sports Bar	Bar		105 Waughtown St	closed
Mike's Deli (formerly Tj's Deli)	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1211 Silas Creek Pkwy	closed
Olde Orchard Diner Cagney's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2291 Old Salisbury Rd	closed
Skrimp Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1103 Silas Creek Pkwy	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	9	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	16	13	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	19	17	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	21	19	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	20	19	10	9	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	19	18	10	8	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	24	23	12	11	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	34	32	17	15	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	31	29	16	13	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	36	32	14	17	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	35	31	17	14	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	36	32	17	12	1	3	NAICS2002
2006	34	29	12	14	1	4	NAICS2002
2007	33	29	12	13	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	33	29	12	14	1	3	NAICS2007
2009	36	32	15	13	2	3	NAICS2007
2010	39	35	15	14	3	3	NAICS2007
2011	42	38	14	19	2	3	NAICS2007
2012	42	39	14	19	3	2	NAICS2012
2013	45	42	14	24	3	2	NAICS2012
2014	47	44	13	27	2	2	NAICS2012
2015	48	45	17	25	2	2	NAICS2012
2016	51	48	15	27	5	2	NAICS2012
2017	54	46	13	29	3	5	NAICS2017
2018	56	49	15	30	3	6	NAICS2017
2019	55	44	15	25	3	8	NAICS2017
2020	55	46	17	25	3	6	NAICS2017
2021	54	45	15	26	3	6	NAICS2017
2022	54	44	17	25	—	6	NAICS2022
2023	51	42	15	25	—	5	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 27127. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
27103	3.5 mi	167	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.