BMIE Market 27249

Guilford County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,741 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,986 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,701 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±735 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,486 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,491 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$80,880 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,436 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$836 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±72 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$236,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±28,201 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	59.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 27249
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+300.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+200.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 12–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.61) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	92 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 27249. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.61, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.7	71	40%	+28.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79.2	79	35%	+27.7
Market Momentum Score	92.1	92	25%	+23.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,741	75	40%	+30.1
Median household income (ACS)	80,880	63	40%	+25.3
Households (ACS)	5,701	76	20%	+15.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	35%	+32.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.7	77	25%	+19.3
Population (ACS)	13,741	75	20%	+15.1
Median household income (ACS)	80,880	63	20%	+12.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 92 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	50	90	50%	+45.1
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	30%	+27.6
20-year restaurant growth	300	97	20%	+19.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (28)

By cuisine

American 3 · Coffee 3 · Bakery 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · French 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Bar 9 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Casual dining 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Crossroads Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		874 Brown's Chapel Rd	open
Frank's Lounge	Bar		110 Eugene St	open
Games Burgers and Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Hot dogs · American	Gateway Dr	open
Good Brew	Coffee shop · Bar · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	201 E Main St	open
Happy Garden Chinese restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	233 Burke St	open
Ines' Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	112 W Main St	open
Jack's Barbecue Jack's Bar-B-Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	213 W Main St	open
Just Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	112 W Main St	open
La Casa Dorada Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	128 W Main St	open
Maple View's County Line Creamery Company Maple View Farm Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	113 E Main St	open
Once Upon A Chocolate llc	Dessert	Dessert	139 Piedmont Ave	open
Pete's Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	137 Piedmont Ave	open
Platinum Catering: Diamond Room	Restaurant (service type not stated)		101 E Main St	open
Q&Q sweepstakes	Café	Coffee	212 W Main St	open
Reno's Pizza & Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	119 E Main St	open
Saint Jacques @ The Burke Manor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · European	303 Burke St	open
Savory Sweets NC	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Bakery	230 W Main St	open
Six Scoops	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	113 E Main St	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6266 C Burlington Road	open
The Foley Firepit	Bar		7029 Kivette House Rd	open
The Gilded Bean Coffee Bar	Coffee shop	Coffee	111 E Main St	open
The Lucky Dog	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	961 Burlington St	open
The Mission - Tacos For The South	Restaurant (service type not stated)		961 Burlington Ave	open
The Pour Choices Saloon	Bar		4000 High Rock Rd	open
Thompson's Sports Lounge	Bar			open
Toasty Kettlyst Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		106 W Main St	open
Zone 32 Sports Bar	Bar		124 W Main St	open
Kimber's Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	230 W Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	7	5	5	—	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	6	5	4	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	5	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	5	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	6	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	4	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	5	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	5	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	5	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	6	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	8	8	6	1	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	8	8	7	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	8	8	6	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	7	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	11	11	7	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	9	9	5	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	11	11	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	10	6	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	10	6	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	12	7	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	12	7	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	12	7	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 27249. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
27202	4.5 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.