BMIE Market 27253

Alamance County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	33,114 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,165 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	14,136 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±533 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	29,827 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	13,187 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$62,774 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,072 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,041 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±54 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$235,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,208 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	81.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	43 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 27253
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+4.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+34.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+34.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+19.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	50 (range 46–53) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.1 per year, r² 0.83) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	64 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 27253. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.83, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	68.7	69	40%	+27.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66.3	66	35%	+23.2
Market Momentum Score	64.1	64	25%	+16.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	33,114	91	40%	+36.3
Median household income (ACS)	62,774	35	40%	+13.9
Households (ACS)	14,136	92	20%	+18.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	34.4	75	35%	+26.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.0	60	25%	+15.1
Population (ACS)	33,114	91	20%	+18.1
Median household income (ACS)	62,774	35	20%	+7.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	4.9	61	50%	+30.6
10-year restaurant growth	34.4	75	30%	+22.4
20-year restaurant growth	34.4	56	20%	+11.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (90)

By cuisine

American 22 · Mexican 10 · Coffee 8 · Bakery 7 · Pizza 7 · Breakfast 6 · Burgers 6 · Chicken / wings 6 · Dessert 6 · Asian 5 · Latin American (other) 5 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Chinese 4 · Italian 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · BBQ 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Seafood 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Indian 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 47 · Bar 14 · Quick service 13 · Café 8 · Casual dining 8 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 6 · Coffee shop 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Food truck 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
127 West Sports Bar And Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		127 W Harden St	open
5 Stars Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	133 Auto Park Dr	open
87 SOUTH	Bar		8874 S NC Highway 87	open
Angelo's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	202 S Main St	open
Anna Maria's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1059 S Main St	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	806 S Main St	open
Bamboo Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	921m S Main St	open
Biggby Coffee Biggby Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1207 East Harden St. Suite 114	open
Biscuitville Biscuitville	Quick service	American · Breakfast	213 W River St	open
Biscuitville Biscuitville	Quick service	Breakfast · Cajun, Creole, Southern	310 S Main St	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	804 S. Main Street	open
Bullseye Tavern	Bar		3960 NC-54	open
C & Z Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Seafood · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific	139 W Elm St	open
Cake-A-licious	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	704 Wendy Dr	open
Calentano Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	614 W Harden St	open
Carver's on Elm Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	106 W Elm St	open
Casa de pastel	Bakery	Bakery	120 S Main St	open
Chris's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	3453 NC-87	open
Cook Out Cook Out	Quick service	Burgers · American	311 S Main St	open
Court Square Bar	Bar		8 NW Court Square	open
Daily Donuts Daily Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	1067 S Main St	open
Dbd/monroe Iii, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		200 N Main St # 302	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	921 S Main St	open
Dottie's Home Cooking	Casual dining	American	133 Auto Park Dr	open
El Carbonero	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	517 W Elm St	open
El Palmar Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Seafood	203 W Harden St	open
El Taquito De Oro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	319 W Harden St	open
Fat Boyz Saloon	Bar		3960 S NC Highway 54	open
Fatbackzz Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	101 E Parker St	open
Fitzgerald & Faulkner	Bar		133 N Main St	open
Forgotten Road Ales	Brewery / taproom · Bar		141 E Harden St	open
Golden China Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	202 S Main St A	open
Graham Soda Shop and Grill	Casual dining	American · Burgers	22 NE Court Square	open
Grill Worx	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	614 W Harden St	open
Guerrero Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	921 S Main St	open
Harden Street Hoodlums Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		703 W Harden St	open
Haw River Farmhouse Ales	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1713 Saxapahaw-Bethlehem Church Rd	open
HiFi Records	Bar		103 N Main St	open
Hitching Post Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3908 Greensboro Chapel Hill Rd	open
Holy Smoke's Grill	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	101 E Parker St	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings	400 East Elm St	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1101 E Main St	open
Hursey's Bar-B-Q Hursey's Pig Picking Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1234 S Main St	open
Jim's Hot Dog and Hamburger Jim's Restaurants	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	509 W Elm St	open
Just Desserts On Court Square	Bakery	Bakery	15 SE Court Sq	open
Kerala Curry Express	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	609 E Gilbreath St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings	3006 NC Highway 87	open
L&d Dining Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		133 Auto Park Dr Ste C	open
La Fiesta Graham La Fiesta Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	216 S Main St	open
La Fogata Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1013 S Main St	open
Lighthouse Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	921 S Main St A	open
Little Oblivion Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		112 N Main St	open
Love and Tacos	Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1013 S Main St	open
Luigi's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	302 N Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	414 S Main Street	open
Mex-Am	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Coffee	210 N Main St	open
Mykonos Grill Mykonos Grill Salisbury	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	1039 S Main St	open
Niobe Japanese Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Steakhouse · Asian	1071 S Main St	open
Olive Garden Olive Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian		open
Passion Fusion Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Japanese	20 SW Court Sq	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	Crescent Square. Shopping Center, 823 S Main St Crescent Square. Shopping Center	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	720 S Main St	open
PRESS Coffee Crêpes Cocktails Press Coffee+Crêpes	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	133 N Main St	open
Purple Cow Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)		216 S Main St	open
Purple Penguin	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	1051 S Main St	open
Rise & Shine Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	640 E Harden St	open
Roasted Coffee Depot	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	131 W Elm St	open
Saxapahaw General Store	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	1735 Saxapahaw-Bethlehem Church Rd	open
Shamrock Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	146 S Main St	open
Shanghai Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	500 W Elm St	open
Skid's II	Quick service	American · Burgers	134B N Main St	open
Smitty's Homemade Ice Cream Smitty's Homemade Ice Cream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	300 N Main St	open
Smokehouse at Steve's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	331 W Harden St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	817 South Main St	open
Suttons At The Wrike	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	114 N Main St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	507 South Main Street	open
Taqueria Guerro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex		open
Tasty Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	16 NE Court Sq	open
The Commissary by Charlie Mike	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	16 NE Court Square	open
The Mason Jar Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Coffee	6956 NC-87	open
The Panther's Den	Bar		3960 S NC Highway 54	open
The Talking Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	Red Ridge, NC, 1201 Carolina St	open
The Verdict on the square	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	28 NW Court Square	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	807 E Harden St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	835 S Main Street	open
Whits Frozen Custard Whit's Frozen Custard of Daphne	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	21 SE Court Square	open
Yee Haw Doughnuts	Bakery · Food truck · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery		open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Fast casual	Chicken / wings · Healthy / salads / bowls · American	501 S Main St	open
Barristers Cafe Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		28 NW Court Sq	closed
Benjamin Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		6516 Whitney Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	41	36	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	38	35	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	35	34	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	40	38	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	37	35	14	19	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	34	32	12	18	2	1	NAICS1997
2000	38	36	12	21	2	1	NAICS1997
2001	36	33	13	19	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	38	31	9	22	—	5	NAICS1997
2003	39	32	10	21	1	5	NAICS2002
2004	38	33	9	21	3	3	NAICS2002
2005	33	28	9	18	1	3	NAICS2002
2006	34	30	11	18	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	39	35	14	20	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	34	30	11	19	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	39	34	15	18	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	35	31	11	19	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	32	27	9	18	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	31	27	11	15	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	36	32	12	18	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	37	33	12	19	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	36	34	14	18	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	42	38	17	19	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	42	38	17	18	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	44	41	19	19	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	40	37	18	17	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	46	40	18	18	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	46	43	18	21	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	45	41	17	20	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	49	43	20	19	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 27253. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
27340	2.5 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.