BMIE Market 27263

Randolph County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	21,446 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,253 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,328 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±472 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	21,414 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,382 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$55,801 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,171 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$973 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±42 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$190,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,171 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	39.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	56 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 27263
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	21.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+7.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+27.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+43.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	56 (range 52–61) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.13) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	40 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	53 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 27263. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.13, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	58.5	59	40%	+23.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	39.6	40	35%	+13.8
Market Momentum Score	53.0	53	25%	+13.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	21,446	83	40%	+33.0
Median household income (ACS)	55,801	23	40%	+9.1
Households (ACS)	8,328	82	20%	+16.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	26.1	25	25%	+6.2
Population (ACS)	21,446	83	20%	+16.5
Median household income (ACS)	55,801	23	20%	+4.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	7.7	65	50%	+32.4
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	27.3	50	20%	+10.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (116)

By cuisine

American 27 · Coffee 12 · Pizza 10 · Burgers 9 · Bakery 7 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 7 · Chicken / wings 7 · Dessert 7 · Juice / smoothies 7 · Mexican 7 · Breakfast 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Asian 4 · BBQ 4 · Japanese 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Italian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Seafood 2 · Sushi 2 · Chinese 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 63 · Quick service 31 · Bar 15 · Casual dining 13 · Bakery 9 · Coffee shop 9 · Dessert 9 · Café 8 · Juice, smoothie, tea 7 · Specialty food shop 3 · Other 2 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2815 S Main St	open
Archdale Barbeque	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2601 Surrett Dr	open
Archdale Soda Shop	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	11206 N Main St	open
Archdale Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	3407 Archdale Rd	open
Babycakes Gourmet	Dessert	Dessert	304 Trindale Rd Ste E	open
Bamboo Garden II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	10106 S Main St	open
Barbecue Specialist Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	736 W Fairfield Rd	open
BBQ Joe's Country Cooking	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2822 S Main St	open
Big Boss Baking Co.	Bakery	Bakery	629 Mcway Dr # 2059	open
Big John's Catering and Concessions	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		1011 Liberty Rd	open
Biscuitville Biscuitville	Quick service	Breakfast · Cajun, Creole, Southern	10106 N Main St	open
Biscuitville Biscuitville	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2709 S Main St	open
Bojangles Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2619 South Main Street	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	10207 South Main Street	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	2757 S Main St	open
Cabo Grill	Bar · Casual dining	Mexican	10210 N Main St	open
Carolina Cookie Company	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	819 Baker Rd	open
Carolina's Diner Carolina's Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	10102 S Main St W	open
Celebration Elegant Desserts	Bakery	Bakery	708 McWay Dr	open
Cherry Orchard Foods	Dessert	Dessert	8826 US Highway 311	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2650 S Main St	open
Cook Out Cook Out	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2923 S Main St	open
Costa & Grissom Machinery Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)		107 Seminole Dr	open
Cross Roads Grill	Casual dining · Bar		800 W Fairfield Rd	open
Dairi-O Dairi-O	Quick service	Burgers · Hot dogs	10301 S Main St	open
Dairy Fresh	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		1350 W Fairfield Rd	open
Dawn's Cafe	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	1000 Baker Rd	open
Diamond W Builders	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9814 Us Highway 311 Ste 2	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	2310 S. Main Street	open
DoNut World	Bakery	Bakery	2831 S Main St	open
Douglas E Smith Agency, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11324 N Main St	open
Down Home Deli Spot	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	1102 W Fairfield Rd	open
Dug Out Sports Lounge	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	11234 N Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	10001 S. Main St	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	801 W Fairfield Rd	open
Earnst Chiropractic	Restaurant (service type not stated)		409 E Fairfield Rd	open
East Coast Wings + Grill East Coast Wings + Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2703 S Main St	open
El Taco Feliz	Juice, smoothie, tea	American · Mexican · Juice / smoothies	2607 S Main St	open
Farmhouse Family Restaurant High Point	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	2600 S Main St	open
FireHouse TapRoom	Bar		10146 N Main St	open
Founding Fathers Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		6116 Hickory Creek Rd	open
Fuel Good Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	2501 S Main St	open
G and N Rancho	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	10463 N Main St	open
GogoYaki Japanese Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	10167 N Main St	open
Grand Central Express	Quick service		2174 Surrett Dr	open
Great China Hp1 Chinese Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		110 E Fairfield Rd Ste 114	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	10001 S Main St	open
Henry James Bar-B-Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	2201 S Main St	open
Hibachi Jr Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	10102 S Main St	open
High point , NC	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Hillsville Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	1026 Springwood Ln	open
I Don't Know Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	10233 N Main St	open
J Butler's Bar and Grille J Butler's Bar & Grille Lewisville	Bar · Casual dining	American	3030 S Main St	open
J Butlers Bar J Butler's Bar & Grille Lewisville	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American		open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	2620 S Main St	open
Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service		10118 N Main St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2722 S. Main	open
La Hacienda	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2826 S Main St	open
Las Potrancas Bar	Bar		2138 Surrett Dr	open
Libby Hill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	10210 N Main St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2640 S Main St	open
Liza Jane's Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		2225 S Main St	open
Mary B's Southern Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	3529 Archdale Rd	open
Matrixx Cocktail House	Bar		2805 Earlham Pl Ste 101	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2738 S Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	10057 N Main St	open
Midnight Sun Investments, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2315 S Main St	open
Mrs Winners Chicken & Biscuits- South Main	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2713 S Main St	open
Mythos Investments, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1102 W Fairfield Rd	open
Nattie's Frozen Creations	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	101 Bonnie Pl Ste o	open
Okinawa Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	10948 N Main St Ste A	open
Pancho Villas Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	206 W Fairfield Rd	open
Papa John's Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	11651 N Main St	open
Pioneer Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Buffet	Steakhouse	10914 N Main St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	10102 S Main St	open
Pizza Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	110 W Fairfield Rd	open
Pizza Vino	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	2839 S Main St	open
Pizza Wing King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings · American	411 W Fairfield Rd	open
Red Eye Sports Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		309 W Fairfield Rd	open
Shipp sushi casual	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	2620 S Main St	open
Sidelines Sports Grill	Bar · Casual dining	American	309 W Fairfield Rd	open
Sir Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2833 S Main St	open
Skipper's Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	2409 S Main St	open
Snack Time	Dessert · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	8747 US-311	open
SnoBiz of Archdale	Café · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	10948 N Main St	open
Southside Mission	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	2113 S Main St	open
Spivey's Cafe	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	124 E Swathmore Ave	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	10101 S Main St	open
Stay Toastie Coffee Co	Coffee shop	Coffee	City center	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	10102 S Main St Ste N	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	2628 S Main St	open
Suite 101 Lounge	Bar		2805 Earlham Pl	open
Sunset Slush of Archdale-Trinity	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	304 Trindale Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	2701 S Main St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	10102 S Main St	open
Tacos El Tio	Quick service		2607 S Main St	open
The Chat and Chew Cafe	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	10301 N Main St	open
The Coffee Bar	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	10102 S Main St	open
The Craft Tavern	Bar		10301 Suite C	open
The Lounge On Townsend	Bar		2025 Brentwood St	open
The Peppermill Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	2600 S Main St	open
The Shack	Quick service	American · Burgers	1771 NC Highway 62 W	open
The Spot Nutrition \| Archdale, NC	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	10418 N Main St	open
The Wet Whistle Co	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	101 Bonnie Pl	open
Trice Family Kitchen LLC	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1204 W Fairfield Rd	open
Verla Marshall Dba Dawns Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1000 Baker Rd	open
Vino's Cafe & Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2850 S Main St Ste 112	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	10137 N Main St	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	2628 S Main St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2710 S Main St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	10004 S Main St	open
Whataburger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	10118 North Main Street	open
Wingstop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2831 S Main St	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	10401 S Main St	open
Archdale Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	101 Bonnie Pl Ste D	closed
Nick's Sub Shop & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	1102 W Fairfield Rd Ste 101	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	43	39	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	38	35	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	36	34	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	48	47	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	44	41	16	23	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	43	40	16	23	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	46	43	17	25	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	45	42	18	23	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	47	45	22	21	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	46	44	22	21	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	47	45	23	21	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	48	45	20	22	2	3	NAICS2002
2006	51	50	26	21	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	52	49	23	23	2	3	NAICS2002
2008	53	51	22	27	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	51	49	21	26	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	47	46	23	23	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	47	46	21	25	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	52	51	24	25	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	58	56	27	27	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	55	53	23	27	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	51	48	18	27	2	2	NAICS2012
2016	53	50	19	28	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	55	54	22	28	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	52	52	21	28	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	55	55	23	29	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	53	53	21	29	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	53	53	21	28	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	56	55	20	31	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	58	56	21	31	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 27263. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
27260	4.1 mi	24	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.