BMIE Market 27302

Alamance County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	35,418 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,481 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	14,223 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±659 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	26,412 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,467 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$79,819 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,168 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,199 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±53 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$312,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,412 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	114.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	61 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 27302
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+17.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+38.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+165.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+408.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	68 (range 64–73) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.6 per year, r² 0.87) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	79 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 27302. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.87, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	80.0	80	40%	+32.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68.8	69	35%	+24.1
Market Momentum Score	78.5	79	25%	+19.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	35,418	92	40%	+36.7
Median household income (ACS)	79,819	62	40%	+24.8
Households (ACS)	14,223	92	20%	+18.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	38.6	77	35%	+26.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.2	45	25%	+11.3
Population (ACS)	35,418	92	20%	+18.4
Median household income (ACS)	79,819	62	20%	+12.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	17.3	75	50%	+37.6
10-year restaurant growth	38.6	77	30%	+23.0
20-year restaurant growth	165.2	90	20%	+18.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (117)

By cuisine

American 22 · Pizza 15 · Burgers 11 · Coffee 11 · Dessert 11 · Bakery 10 · Chicken / wings 10 · Sandwiches 9 · Mexican 8 · Asian 7 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 7 · Italian 6 · Breakfast 5 · BBQ 4 · Chinese 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Japanese 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Tea / bubble tea 4 · Seafood 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Peruvian 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 58 · Quick service 29 · Bakery 12 · Dessert 12 · Bar 11 · Casual dining 9 · Café 8 · Coffee shop 8 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Brewery / taproom 4 · Other 4 · Specialty food shop 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
2 Twelve Seasonal Kitchen + Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	212 W Clay St	open
4th Street Bar	Bar		113 N Fourth St	open
Alpaca Chicken Alpaca Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Peruvian · Latin American (other)	1414 Mebane Oaks Rd	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	1314 Mebane Oaks Rd. Mebane Oaks Rd & I 40	open
Asian Harbor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1294 S Fifth St	open
Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's	Bakery · Quick service	Bakery	4000 Arrowhead Blvd Ste 370	open
Baby Girl'z Lounge LLC	Bar		4711 US-70 W	open
Bad Bishop Brewing	Brewery / taproom		300 W Crawford St	open
Biscuitville Biscuitville	Quick service	Breakfast · Cajun, Creole, Southern	832 S Fifth St	open
Blue Ribbon Diner- Mebane	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1004 Mebane Oaks Rd	open
Bojangles Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	595 Gregory Poole Ln	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1056 Mebane Oak Drive	open
Bright Penny Brewing Bright Penny Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		107 N 7th St	open
Bright Penny Brewing Outpost Bright Penny Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		4000 Arrowhead Blvd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1305 S Fifth St	open
Captain Rick’s Seafood.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	719 Mattress Factory Rd	open
Caruso's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1501 E Main St	open
Castle Mediterranean Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mediterranean · American	1925 S NC-119	open
Catrina's Tequila and Taco Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1239 S Fifth St	open
Chester's Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1217 Trollingwood Hawflds Rd	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1311 Mebane Oaks Rd	open
China Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1342 Mebane Oaks Rd	open
China King China King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	618 N First St	open
Ciao Pizza & Italian	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1343 Mebane Oaks Rd	open
Cinco De Mayo Mexican Restaurant And Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1239 S Fifth St	open
Cinnabon Cinnabon	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	1342 Trollingwood Rd	open
CJP Cookies, Cakes, Candy	Dessert	Dessert	301 W Washington St #118	open
Clay Street Tavern	Bar		130 W Clay St	open
Cook Out Cook Out	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3887 Brundage Lane	open
Cooking Corner Mebane	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	900 Mebane Oaks Rd	open
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Cracker Barrel Old Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Cajun, Creole, Southern · Breakfast · Coffee · American	135 Spring Forrest Dr., I-40/85 & NC Hwy. 119	open
Crafted The Art Of The Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)		119 W Clay St	open
Dick And Jane's Martini Bar	Bar		109 W Clay St	open
Dippin' Dots Dippin' Dots	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	4000 Arrowhead Blvd Ste 798	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	1246 S 5th Street	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	500 Buckhorn Rd Petro Travel Plaza	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	136 Millstead Drive	open
Fat Man and His Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Mexican · American	103 S Fifth St	open
Filament Coffee + Tea	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	108 W Clay St	open
Flight Tea Bar & Lounge - Mebane	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	116 W Clay St	open
Franco Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1939 S NC-119	open
Franco Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1939 S NC Hwy 119	open
Godfather's Pizza Express	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1217 Trollingwood Hawfields Rd	open
Grill Worx	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	528 W Center St	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1217 Trollingwood Hawfields Rd	open
Hibachi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Steakhouse · Asian	138 Millstead Dr	open
Highway 55 Burgers Shakes and Fries Hwy 55 Burgers Shakes & Fries	Casual dining	Burgers · American	1336 Mebane Oaks Rd	open
Huey's Restaurant and Oyster Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	7601 US 70	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1525 N Nc Hwy 119	open
Hursey's Bar-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	428 Compass Dr	open
Ice Chest Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6102 US 70	open
Ice Rolls Cafe	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Dessert · Tea / bubble tea · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1010B Mebane Oaks Rd	open
IHOP IHOP	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	500 Buckhorn Rd	open
Iron Gate Winery Inc	Winery / distillery / taproom		2540 Lynch Store Rd	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	102 Millstead Dr.	open
Jimmy's Famous Hot Dogs	Quick service	Hot dogs · Burgers	901 Mebane Oaks Rd	open
Junction on 70	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American · Pizza	107 E Center St	open
Knucklehead BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	401 E Center St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1750 NC South Hwy 119	open
La Cocina 1 Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		454 Compass Dr	open
La Cocina Mexican Restaurant La Cocina Mexican Restaurant Smithfield #12	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	1239 S 5th St	open
La Fiesta La Fiesta Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1040 Mebane Oaks Rd	open
Lou's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	101 E Clay St	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1738 S NC Highway 119	open
Mario's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4000 Arrowhead Blvd Ste 140	open
Martinho's Bakery & Deli	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	106 W Clay St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1342 Trollingwood Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1050 Mebane Oaks Road	open
Mebane Knights	Bar		212 W Clay St	open
Moes Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	1701 S. NC Hwy 119	open
Mother's Love Treats	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	Home Based	open
Muffin's Ice Cream Shoppe	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	109 N Fourth St	open
NC Jelly Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	126 Millstead Dr	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1239-B S Fifth St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1022 Mebane Oaks Rd	open
Pizza Hut Express	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Mexican · Chicken / wings	1738 S NC Highway 119	open
Reed's Coffee + Art	Coffee shop	Coffee	116 W Clay St	open
Roma's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1012 Mebane Oaks Rd	open
Ruby Tuesday Ruby Tuesday	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	103 Spring Forest Dr	open
Sacred Village Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	5123 NC-119	open
Sake Japanese House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1010 Mebane Oaks Rd	open
Sakura Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific · Asian	1327 Mebane Oaks Rd	open
Sakura Japanese steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	1925 South NC Highway 119	open
Smithfield's Chicken 'N Bar-B-Q Smithfield's Chicken 'N Bar-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Chicken / wings · American	1710 NC-119	open
Sonic Drive-In	Quick service		119 Holmes Road	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	3890 Brundage Lane	open
Steel String Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		6901 NC-54	open
Stir King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1014 Mebane Oaks Rd #9679	open
Stumblin Pig	Bar		208 W Clay St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	622 N First St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1244 S Fifth St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	4000 Arrowhead Blvd Ste 104	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1318 Mebane Oaks Rd	open
T. DiStefano's Bakery & Coffee Shop	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	214 Fieldale Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1312 Mebane Oaks Road	open
Tea Dogu	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	1122 Briarwood Dr	open
The Burritaco Burger Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Sandwiches	6102 US-70	open
The Habit Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	100 Millstead Dr	open
The Mebane Downtown Table	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	119 W Clay St	open
The Never Ending Cookie Jar	Bakery	Bakery		open
The Popcorn Shoppe	Other · Dessert	Dessert	1326 Mebane Oaks Rd	open
Tonys Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1012 Mebane Oaks Rd	open
Toros Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	7601 Us-70	open
Tre Bambini Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		107 E Center St	open
W D Davis Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		212 W Clay St	open
W V Sykes Dairy	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	5618 Vernon Rd	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	1054 Mebane Oaks Rd	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1318 Mebane Oaks Rd	open
Wayback Burgers Wayback Burgers	Quick service	Burgers · American	4000 Arrowhead Blvd Unit 100	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1301 Mebane Oaks Rd	open
Wingstop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1326 Mebane Oaks Rd Ste 250 Ste 250	open
Wooden Nickel Pub - Mebane	Bar · Casual dining		109 W Clay St	open
Yum Yum's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1248 S Fifth St	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1316 Mebane Oaks Rd	open
Hyperion Bar And Lounge	Bar		102 W Clay St Uppr C	closed
Melomaniac Records + Cafe	Coffee shop	Coffee	116 W Clay St	closed
Skid's Ii	Restaurant (service type not stated)		414 W Center St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	15	14	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	22	22	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	25	21	6	14	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	25	21	8	13	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	28	23	8	14	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	32	28	7	20	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	30	23	6	16	1	3	NAICS1997
2003	30	23	6	13	4	2	NAICS2002
2004	29	24	7	14	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	33	29	9	18	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	35	31	14	15	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	39	33	16	15	2	3	NAICS2002
2008	37	33	18	15	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	41	35	21	14	—	4	NAICS2007
2010	43	38	21	15	2	3	NAICS2007
2011	40	35	18	15	2	3	NAICS2007
2012	44	39	18	15	6	3	NAICS2012
2013	48	44	20	19	5	3	NAICS2012
2014	50	46	19	21	6	3	NAICS2012
2015	49	46	17	22	7	3	NAICS2012
2016	54	51	23	21	7	3	NAICS2012
2017	58	56	23	26	7	—	NAICS2017
2018	57	52	22	23	7	3	NAICS2017
2019	58	52	22	24	6	4	NAICS2017
2020	61	55	22	26	7	5	NAICS2017
2021	63	56	23	26	7	5	NAICS2017
2022	66	61	24	29	8	4	NAICS2022
2023	67	61	22	29	10	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 27302. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.