BMIE Market 27377

Guilford County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,885 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,566 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,267 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±524 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,104 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,323 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$90,181 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,492 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,331 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±127 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$305,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±44,859 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	25.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 27377
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+45.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+77.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+700.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+700.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 16–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.76) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	74 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	91 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 27377. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.76, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.5	73	40%	+29.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73.6	74	35%	+25.8
Market Momentum Score	90.7	91	25%	+22.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,885	72	40%	+28.8
Median household income (ACS)	90,181	73	40%	+29.3
Households (ACS)	4,267	72	20%	+14.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	77.8	89	35%	+31.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.7	54	25%	+13.5
Population (ACS)	10,885	72	20%	+14.4
Median household income (ACS)	90,181	73	20%	+14.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	45.5	89	50%	+44.3
10-year restaurant growth	77.8	89	30%	+26.6
20-year restaurant growth	700	99	20%	+19.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (25)

By cuisine

American 5 · Pizza 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Asian 2 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Coffee 2 · Italian 2 · Mexican 2 · Bakery 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Quick service 9 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 8 · Bar 2 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bakery 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Biscuitville Biscuitville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	950 Golf House Rd W	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	6403 Burlington Road	open
Brightwood Inn	Bar	American	6501 Burlington Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Burgers · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1101 NC-61	open
Chick-fil-A	Quick service		6401 W Interstate Ct.	open
China 1	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	6307 Burlington Rd	open
Ciao Pizza and Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	947 Golf House Rd W	open
Dade Paper and Bag	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	6530 Judge Adams Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	6307 B Burlington Road	open
Food Lion	Bakery	Bakery	6307 Burlington Rd	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7122 Burlington Rd	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	6307-L Burlington Rd	open
King Queen Caribbean Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Caribbean	90 Cape Fear Dr	open
King-queen Haitian Cuisine	Food truck		90 Cape Fear Dr	open
M&R ICE CREAM #2	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	6307 Burlington Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	6401 Burlington Road	open
Osaka Japanese Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Steakhouse · Asian	952 Golf House Rd W	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	90 Cape Fear Dr	open
Red Oak Brewery - Brewery & Office	Brewery / taproom		6901 Konica Dr	open
Sanctuary Coffee co	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	952 Golf House Rd W	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	6405 Burlington Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	6405 W Interstate Ct	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	6403 W Interstate Ct	open
Wholly Guacamole Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	6307 Burlington Rd	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1100 Sedalia Crossing Ln	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	3	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	6	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	9	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	9	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	9	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	11	10	3	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	10	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	9	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	9	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	10	10	3	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	10	10	3	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	12	11	5	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	12	11	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	11	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	12	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	16	7	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	15	13	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	13	4	8	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	18	16	5	8	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 27377. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
27342	2.2 mi	—
27215	5.0 mi	180	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.