BMIE Market 27510

Orange County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,868 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±676 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,038 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±427 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,644 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,571 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$61,837 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,169 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	31.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,476 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±72 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$449,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±29,879 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	36 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 27510
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	26.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-5.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+5.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+24.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+89.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	42 (range 36–48) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.23) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	36 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 27510. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.23, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	59.2	59	40%	+23.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45.6	46	35%	+16.0
Market Momentum Score	36.0	36	25%	+9.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,868	75	40%	+30.2
Median household income (ACS)	61,837	33	40%	+13.2
Households (ACS)	7,038	79	20%	+15.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	5.9	50	35%	+17.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	26.0	25	25%	+6.3
Population (ACS)	13,868	75	20%	+15.1
Median household income (ACS)	61,837	33	20%	+6.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-5.3	22	50%	+11.2
10-year restaurant growth	5.9	50	30%	+15.1
20-year restaurant growth	24.1	48	20%	+9.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (105)

By cuisine

American 19 · Coffee 13 · Asian 10 · Mexican 10 · Pizza 8 · Sandwiches 7 · Italian 6 · Japanese 5 · Sushi 5 · Bakery 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Chinese 3 · Dessert 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Thai 2 · European 1 · French 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1 · Southeast Asian (other) 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 56 · Bar 23 · Casual dining 11 · Quick service 10 · Café 9 · Coffee shop 9 · Specialty food shop 6 · Brewery / taproom 5 · Dessert 4 · Food truck 4 · Bakery 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
2nd Wind	Bar		118 E Main St	open
401 Main	Restaurant (service type not stated)		401 E Main St	open
Acme Food & Beverage Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern · BBQ	110 E Main St	open
Akai Hana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	206 W Main St	open
Amante Gourmet Pizza - Carrboro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	300 E Main St	open
Anna Maria's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	104 NC-54	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	102 North Carolina 54	open
Armadillo Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	120 E Main St	open
Art In A Pickle Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		100 E Main St Ste C	open
Atlas Cocktail Bar	Bar		118 E Main St	open
Bandido's Mexican Cafe, Carrboro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	302 E Main St	open
Beer & Banjos Carrboro	Bar		100 E Main St	open
Bella's International Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)		360 E Main St #100	open
Belltree Cocktail Club	Bar		100 Brewer Ln	open
Bowbarr	Bar		705 W Rosemary St	open
Breakaway Carrboro	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	410 N Greensboro St Ste 160	open
Bridge Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	203 N Greensboro St	open
Bru's Public House	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		370 E Main St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	600 Jones Ferry Rd	open
Burmese Hot Bowl	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southeast Asian (other)	100 W Main St	open
Cafe Carrboro	Café	Coffee	401 E Main St	open
California burritos #3	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	602 Jones Ferry Rd	open
Carrboro Beverage Company	Bar		102 E Main St Ste A	open
Carrboro Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	101 S Greensboro St	open
Carrboro Pizza Oven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	200 N Greensboro St Ste B8	open
Carrburritos Carrburritos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	711 W Rosemary St #2315	open
Cham Thai Cuisine at Carrboro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	370 E Main St	open
China Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	104 NC-54	open
City Bus Burritos And Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	414 E Main St	open
Clark Unlimited, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		610 Jones Ferry Rd Ste 212	open
Coronato	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	101 Two Hills Dr # 140	open
Country Junction Restaurant	Casual dining	Cajun, Creole, Southern · Breakfast · American	404 W Weaver St	open
Craftboro Brewing Depot	Brewery / taproom		101 Two Hills Dr Unit 180	open
Crossties Bistro & Beer Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	201 E Main St	open
Dingo Dog Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		410 N Greensboro St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	412 E Main St	open
El Chilango	Restaurant (service type not stated)		506 Jones Ferry Rd	open
Elmo's Diner	Casual dining	American	200 N Greensboro St	open
Even Dough	Bakery	Bakery	203 W Weaver St	open
Glasshalfull	Bar	Mediterranean	106 S Greensboro St	open
Gourmet Kingdom	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	301 E Main St	open
Grata Diner	Casual dining	American	200 N Greensboro St Ste B12	open
Gray Squirrel Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	360 E Main St #100	open
Han-Dee Hugo's	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1401 W Main St	open
Haw River Tap and Table	Casual dining · Bar		300 E Main St C	open
Hickory Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	370 E Main St Ste 110	open
Himalayan Fried Chicken N Bar	Bar		109 W Main St	open
Iza Whiskey & Eats	Bar	Asian · Sushi · Japanese	370 E Main St Ste 140	open
Jade Palace Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	103 E Main St	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	104 NC-54 Suite GG	open
Johnny's Gone Fishing	Coffee shop	Coffee	901 W Main St	open
Krave Krave Greensboro	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café · Bar	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	105 W Main St	open
Latin Grill	Food truck	Mexican		open
Mcz Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		103 E Main St	open
Merry Franksters	Food truck		100 W Main St	open
Miel Bon Bons	Dessert	Dessert	200 N Greensboro St	open
Milltown	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	307 E Main St	open
Monterrey Mexican Restaurant Monterrey Mexican Grill Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	104 N Carolina 54 unit ff	open
Mosaic Cafe & Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	French · Mediterranean	203 W Weaver St	open
Napoli Pizzeria & Gelateria	Dessert	Pizza · Italian · Ice cream / frozen desserts	105 E Main St	open
Neal's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	100 E Main St	open
Oakleaf	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	310 E Main St	open
Oasis at Carr Mill	Coffee shop · Bar	Coffee	200 N Greensboro St	open
Open Eye Cafe	Coffee shop · Café · Bar	Coffee	101 S Greensboro St	open
Panaderia Jazmin	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Dessert	104 NC-54	open
Panzanella	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	200 N Greensboro St	open
Pelican's SnoBalls Pelican's SnoBalls- Jax Beach	Dessert	Dessert	505 W Main St	open
Pizzeria Mercato	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	408 W Weaver St	open
Quesa Pizza And More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	602 Jones Ferry Rd Ste D	open
Rise Southern Biscuits & Righteous Chicken Rise Southern Biscuits & Righteous Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · Breakfast · American	310 E Main St	open
Sari Sari Sweets	Bakery · Coffee shop	Bakery · Coffee	301 W Main St	open
Sora & Jae Company Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		104 Nc 54 Ste S	open
Sora Sushi & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	370 E Main St Suite 170	open
Speak Easy At Tyler's	Bar		100 E Main St Ste B	open
Spotted Dog	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Vegetarian	111 E Main St	open
Steel String Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		106A S Greensboro St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	602 Jones Ferry Rd Ste K	open
Sushi Nikko	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	104 NC-54 N	open
Sympathy For The Deli	Food truck			open
Tacos Ramirez	Food truck · Quick service	Mexican	100 W Main St	open
Tandem	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	200 N Greensboro St	open
Tesoro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	100 E Weaver St	open
Thai Station Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	201 E Main St	open
The amar resto&cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Bhiti union bank beside greenland hotel	open
The Detox Lounge	Bar		212 W Main St Suite A	open
The Eden Food Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		200 N Greensboro St Ste A1	open
The Flying Pierogi Delicatessen	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · German / Eastern European · European	101 Two Hills Dr #140	open
The Honeysuckle Cafe and Bar	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Bar	Coffee	601 W Main St	open
The Station	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	201 E Main St Ste C	open
Toledo's Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	508 Jones Ferry Rd	open
Tom Robinson's Carolina Seafood	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Seafood · Sandwiches	207 Roberson St	open
Tonita Kitchen LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	501 W Main St	open
Tres Amigos Restaurant And Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)		109 W Main St	open
Vecino Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		300 E Main St	open
Venable Rotisserie Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	American	200 N Greensboro St	open
Vinyl Perk	Coffee shop	Coffee	709 W Rosemary St	open
Wedgewood Cheese Bar	Bar · Specialty food shop		100 Brewer Ln	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	100 S. Greensboro St.	open
Wingman	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	104 NC-54	open
Wings Over Chapel Hill Wings Over Greenville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	313 E Main St	open
Wonderland	Café	Coffee	316 Davie Rd	open
YesterYears Brewery & Taproom	Brewery / taproom		300 E Main St Ste C	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	310 N Greensboro St	open
Aidan's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused	Pizza	602 Jones Ferry Rd	closed
Hong Kong Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	602 Jones Ferry Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	19	19	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	21	21	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	28	27	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	29	28	11	15	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	34	31	13	14	4	2	NAICS1997
2000	31	29	9	14	6	1	NAICS1997
2001	33	31	10	14	7	1	NAICS1997
2002	36	33	11	16	6	2	NAICS1997
2003	32	29	10	15	4	2	NAICS2002
2004	26	24	9	12	3	1	NAICS2002
2005	30	29	10	15	4	1	NAICS2002
2006	30	29	12	13	4	1	NAICS2002
2007	35	33	16	14	3	2	NAICS2002
2008	35	35	17	16	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	40	39	21	14	4	—	NAICS2007
2010	40	38	20	16	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	39	38	22	13	3	1	NAICS2007
2012	40	37	17	15	5	3	NAICS2012
2013	39	34	16	14	4	4	NAICS2012
2014	38	33	14	15	4	4	NAICS2012
2015	44	40	20	15	5	3	NAICS2012
2016	44	40	20	15	5	3	NAICS2012
2017	44	41	20	16	5	3	NAICS2017
2018	41	38	19	16	3	3	NAICS2017
2019	43	40	22	15	3	3	NAICS2017
2020	43	40	23	13	4	3	NAICS2017
2021	43	40	23	13	4	3	NAICS2017
2022	48	43	23	16	4	4	NAICS2022
2023	43	36	18	15	3	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 27510. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
27599	1.7 mi	5	2016
27516	4.1 mi	53	2023
27514	4.2 mi	91	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.