BMIE Market 27571

Wake County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,095 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±522 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,056 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±293 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,893 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,386 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$131,139 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,448 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,085 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±808 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$495,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±42,006 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	18 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 27571
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	28.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+125.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+800.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 15–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.32) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	74 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 27571. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.32, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.5	78	40%	+31.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66.5	66	35%	+23.3
Market Momentum Score	73.6	74	25%	+18.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,095	69	40%	+27.7
Median household income (ACS)	131,139	93	40%	+37.3
Households (ACS)	3,056	67	20%	+13.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	28.6	70	35%	+24.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.8	38	25%	+9.4
Population (ACS)	9,095	69	20%	+13.9
Median household income (ACS)	131,139	93	20%	+18.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	12.5	71	50%	+35.3
10-year restaurant growth	28.6	70	30%	+21.0
20-year restaurant growth	125	87	20%	+17.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (41)

By cuisine

American 7 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Burgers 3 · Coffee 3 · Dessert 3 · Mexican 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Seafood 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Quick service 9 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Bar 2 · Casual dining 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Café 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Artisan Beer and Cheese	Bar · Casual dining		110 Bluestone Xing Rd	open
Bakery La Dolce Vita	Bakery	Bakery	112 Southtown Cir	open
Bites on Main	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Sandwiches	400 Southtown Cir	open
Black & White Coffee Rolesville	Coffee shop	Coffee	6320 Rogers Rd	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	900 South Main Street	open
Chick-N-Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	418 S Main St	open
Coffee Lodge	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	412 S Main St	open
Cravin' Confections Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	217 Character Dr	open
Daylight Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	400 Southtown Cir	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	6110 Rogers Rd	open
DriverFans inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6134 Rogers Rd	open
El Jefe Modern Mex	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	831 S Main St #105	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	811 South Main Street Unit 101	open
Granchio Seafood & Pasta Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Italian	6210 Rogers Rd	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	403 South Main Street	open
Jalisco Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		411 S Main St Ste J	open
JAM Ice Cream	Dessert · Catering	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	417 S Main St	open
Jeff's Bagel Run Jeff's Bagel Run	Bakery	Bakery	101 Rolesville Center Rd	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	811 S Main St	open
Little Caesars	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	401 S Main St	open
Los Tres Magueyes Rolesville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	411 S Main St	open
Main Street Tavern	Bar		411 S Main St #9664	open
MariWari	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		100 S Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	415 S Main St	open
Mezcalito Rolesville Inc Mezcalito Clayton	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	130 Bluestone Xing Rd	open
Off The Hook Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	308 Southtown Cir	open
Papa Johns Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	101 Rolesville Center Rd Ste 105	open
Pie-zano's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	252 Southtown Cir	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6330 Rogers Rd Wake	open
Rainbow Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	407 S Main St	open
Rolesville Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	411 S Main St	open
Rosalini's Pizza & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	6210 Rogers Rd	open
Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	306 S Main St	open
Sodabox	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6182 Rogers Rd	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	304 South Main Street	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	411 S Main St Ste A	open
Sweetheart Treats	Bakery	Bakery	6150 Rogers Rd	open
Treatsbylara	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	4613 Burlington Mills Rd	open
Whiches On Wheels	Food truck		400 Southtown Cir	open
Party Delights	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	6150 Rogers Rd	closed
Sarge's Chef On Wheels	Food truck		400 Southtown Cir	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	6	5	1	4	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	6	6	1	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	4	4	—	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	7	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	8	8	3	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	10	10	2	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	8	2	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	11	11	2	8	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	10	10	3	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	9	9	2	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	11	11	3	6	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	15	15	5	8	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	17	17	5	10	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	14	14	4	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	15	14	4	7	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	17	15	4	9	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	17	16	7	7	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	16	14	4	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	17	16	6	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	13	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	16	14	6	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	15	15	6	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	19	18	6	10	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	19	18	6	9	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 27571. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.