BMIE Market 27592

Wake County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	21,114 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,715 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,086 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±658 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,244 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,731 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$104,252 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,205 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$948 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±56 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$358,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,374 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	39.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	3 2020 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2020 detail (NAICS2017) · by USPS ZIP 27592
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	1.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+200.0% DERIVED: 2015 → 2020, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2010 → 2020, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2000 → 2020, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2025	5 (range 3–8) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2008–2020 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.65) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	87 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	76 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 27592. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2008–2020, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.65, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	82.2	82	40%	+32.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	86.9	87	35%	+30.4
Market Momentum Score	76.4	76	25%	+19.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	21,114	82	40%	+32.9
Median household income (ACS)	104,252	84	40%	+33.4
Households (ACS)	7,086	80	20%	+15.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	1.4	100	25%	+24.9
Population (ACS)	21,114	82	20%	+16.5
Median household income (ACS)	104,252	84	20%	+16.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	200	99	50%	+49.5
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	-25	12	20%	+2.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (17)

By cuisine

Juice / smoothies 3 · Coffee 2 · Mexican 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Pizza 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 6 · Bar 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Café 2 · Food truck 2 · Casual dining 1 · Dessert 1 · Quick service 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Adams Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom			open
Colucci's Eagles Nest Pub	Bar · Casual dining			open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	13718 NC-50	open
J Harvey's Bar	Bar		2280 NC 42 Hwy	open
Layali Cafe and Hookah Lounge	Bar · Café	Coffee	2115 NC 42 Hwy	open
Los Dos Carnales Mexican Food	Food truck	Mexican	6605 Hilltop Rd	open
Missions Coffee	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	2317 NC 42 Hwy	open
OMGoddess	Bar			open
Royal Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	715 Old Fairground Rd	open
Silver Spoon Saloon	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		60 Circle G Ln	open
Sno-Daze Snoballs	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	7390 S NC 55 Hwy	open
Tacos Placeros El Gallardo Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1800 NC 42 Hwy	open
The Springs Nutrition	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	9491 Kennebec Rd	open
Tiuh Mexican Inspired	Food truck		2895 NC 42 Hwy	open
Usports Consulting	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2317 NC 42 Hwy	open
Willow spring nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies	7101 Kennebec Rd	open
Corkie's	Bar		3616 NC 42 Hwy	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	2	1	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	2	1	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	4	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	5	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	5	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	6	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	5	3	2	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	4	2	1	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	6	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	4	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	3	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	3	2	1	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	2	1	1	—	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2013	2	1	—	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	4	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	5	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	5	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 27592. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.