BMIE Market 27886

Edgecombe County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	18,381 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±690 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,825 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±388 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	21,591 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,121 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$52,850 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,438 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$843 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±41 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$133,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,901 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	191.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	33 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 27886
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+13.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+3.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+10.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+13.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	35 (range 30–40) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.15) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	53 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	58 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 27886. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.15, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	55.6	56	40%	+22.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.4	47	35%	+16.6
Market Momentum Score	58.4	58	25%	+14.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	18,381	80	40%	+32.0
Median household income (ACS)	52,850	19	40%	+7.4
Households (ACS)	7,825	81	20%	+16.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	3.1	48	35%	+16.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.0	43	25%	+10.7
Population (ACS)	18,381	80	20%	+16.0
Median household income (ACS)	52,850	19	20%	+3.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	13.8	72	50%	+35.9
10-year restaurant growth	3.1	48	30%	+14.5
20-year restaurant growth	10	40	20%	+7.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (77)

By cuisine

American 16 · Burgers 8 · Coffee 8 · Sandwiches 8 · Bakery 7 · Mexican 7 · Pizza 7 · Dessert 6 · Italian 4 · Asian 3 · BBQ 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Chinese 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Breakfast 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 44 · Quick service 18 · Bar 9 · Bakery 8 · Café 7 · Dessert 7 · Coffee shop 5 · Casual dining 4 · Food truck 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Other 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Abrams	Restaurant (service type not stated)		609 W Wilson St	open
Abrams Bar-B-Q Abrams BBQ of Pinetops	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	609 W Wilson St #4240	open
Active Nutrition/ Herbalife Independent Distributor	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	1600 W Howard Ave	open
Agave Rosa Mexican Bar & Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1406 Western Blvd # F	open
Alimentaire Wholesome Breads	Bakery	Bakery	600 Trade St	open
Andy's of Tarboro Hwy 55 Burgers Shakes & Fries	Quick service · Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	1006 Western Blvd	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service	Sandwiches	221 Western Blvd	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	221 Western Blvd	open
Baskin-Robbins™ Baskin-Robbins	Dessert · Bar	Dessert	1402 Western Boulevard	open
Bee Blessed Pure Honey	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	448 Mutual Blvd	open
Bobby's Bistro Food truck	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		507 E Church St	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	101 Market Centre Dr.	open
Brandy S	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Pizza	306 S Main St	open
Bud's Grill	Casual dining	American · Burgers	1601 N Main St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1300 Western Blvd	open
Chef Kelly's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2009 W Wilson St Bldg A	open
China Eight	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1418 Western Blvd	open
Church St Tap & Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)		101 E Church St	open
Classic Diner	Casual dining	American	301 N Main St	open
Cook Out	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	104 River Oaks Dr	open
Country Sunrise Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · BBQ	1023 W St James St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1004 Western Blvd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert · Bakery	1402 Western Blvd	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop	Coffee	111 N Main St Wilcohess	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	2256 N Main St Wilcohess	open
Edge Nutrition	Bar · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	105 E Pitt St	open
EL Manantial Tienda y Taquería	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1406 Western Blvd	open
El Patron Mexican Style Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1600 W Howard Ave Suite7	open
El Rancho	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1600 W Howard Ave	open
Everlean's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	915 Sunset Ave #3528	open
Fat Cow Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1404 Western Blvd	open
Granddaddy's Grill	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2115 N Main St	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	700 Western Blvd	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	150 River Oaks Dr	open
Jin Jin Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	402 N Main St	open
Joe's Rollin Dough	Bakery	Bakery	50 Susan Anne Ln	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	706 Western Boulevard	open
La Fiesta Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	130 River Oaks Dr	open
Little Caesars Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1600 W Howard Ave	open
Mama's Pizza Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	2002 N Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1500 Western Blvd	open
Melanie's Place	Bar		1203 W Northern Blvd	open
Number One Chinese Restaurant No. 1 Chinese Restraunt	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1106 Western Blvd	open
On the Square	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	115 E St James St	open
Pac House Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American · Burgers	510 Albemarle Ave	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	102 River Oaks Dr	open
Pelican's Snoballs	Dessert	Dessert	1717 N Main St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1502 Western Blvd Edgecombe	open
Pizza Inn Pizza Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2211 St Andrew St	open
Ribeyes Steakhouse- Tarboro Ribeyes	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	1404 Western Blvd	open
Rollin Munchies, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1302 Western Blvd # O	open
SavorySeafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1406 Western Blvd Ste F	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	106 River Oaks Dr	open
Sticky Cheeks Extreme Ice Cream & Dessert Shop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	125 E Granville St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1108 Western Blvd Unit 40	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	110 River Oaks Dr	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1108 Western Blvd Unit 40	open
Sunset Slush of Tarboro NC	Dessert	Dessert	Across from Abrams on W Wilson St	open
SuSu & Kizzie’s Sweet Treats	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	600 Trade St	open
Sweet P's Galaxy Lemonade	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bar	Juice / smoothies	125 E Granville St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1304 Western Blvd	open
Taqueria Las Delicias	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	411 N Main St	open
Tarboro Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		526 N Main St	open
Tarboro Coffee House	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	439 N Main St	open
Tarboro Coffee House	Café	Coffee	439 N Main St	open
Tarboro Market	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		526 N Main St	open
TCS Sweepstakes	Café · Bar		5360 NC Highway 33 NW	open
The Hillshire Brands Company	Bakery	Bakery	110 Sara Lee Rd	open
The Pit Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	306 S Main St	open
The “G” Spot	Bar		101 E Church St	open
Vergano's Italian Resturant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1600 W Howard Ave	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	120 Western Blvd	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	110 River Oaks Dr	open
Wayside Wraps Company	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering		320 Fishing Creek Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	101 River Oaks Dr	open
Which Wich	Other	Sandwiches	703 Western Blvd	open
Yumyum Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)		115 Commercial Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	29	29	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	26	26	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	22	22	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	24	24	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	28	26	7	18	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	29	25	7	16	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	25	22	6	14	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	32	29	11	16	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	32	27	10	16	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	34	30	9	20	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	28	25	8	17	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	32	29	10	18	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	32	29	13	16	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	40	37	16	20	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	36	35	16	18	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	34	32	12	18	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	33	31	12	18	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	32	31	12	17	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	31	30	11	18	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	33	32	12	19	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	31	28	8	18	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	31	30	11	17	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	36	34	11	20	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	34	31	11	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	30	29	10	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	35	34	13	19	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	31	29	11	17	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	33	32	12	19	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	35	34	14	19	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	34	33	13	17	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 27886. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.