BMIE Market 27939

Currituck County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	2,206 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±414 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,082 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±188 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,361 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,274 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$62,463 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,096 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	51.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,122 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±40 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$306,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±29,141 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	7.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 27939
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	29.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+800.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 9–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.48) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	39 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	43 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	39 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	34 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 27939. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.48, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	42.6	43	40%	+17.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	39.1	39	35%	+13.7
Market Momentum Score	34.4	34	25%	+8.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	2,206	47	40%	+18.6
Median household income (ACS)	62,463	34	40%	+13.7
Households (ACS)	1,082	51	20%	+10.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	12.5	56	35%	+19.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	40.8	13	25%	+3.3
Population (ACS)	2,206	47	20%	+9.3
Median household income (ACS)	62,463	34	20%	+6.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 34 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-10	19	50%	+9.3
10-year restaurant growth	12.5	56	30%	+16.9
20-year restaurant growth	12.5	41	20%	+8.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (28)

By cuisine

American 9 · Coffee 4 · Pizza 4 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Dessert 5 · Quick service 5 · Casual dining 4 · Bar 3 · Café 3 · Bakery 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Allie's Frozen Yogurt	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	6264 Caratoke Hwy	open
Barry's on Walnut Island Lodge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Steakhouse · Seafood	169 Walnut Island Blvd	open
Courthouse Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		100 Nathan Dr	open
Dank Frank's	Food truck	American	Caratoke Hwy	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	6520 Caratoke Hwy	open
El Potrillo#2Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	109 Forbes Loop	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	6501 Caratoke Highway 158	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6615 Caratoke Hwy	open
Los Compadres Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	6623 Caratoke Hwy	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	6465 Caratoke Hwy	open
Me'ls Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	109 Forbes Loop	open
Mels Diner	Casual dining	American	6684 Caratoke Hwy	open
No 1 Chinese Restaurant No.1 Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	109 Forbes Loop	open
Outback Candy Store	Dessert		6322 Caratoke Hwy	open
Pizzazz Pizza of Grandy Pizzazz Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	109 Forbes Loop	open
Redhead Bay Cafe Carolina	Café	Coffee · Cajun, Creole, Southern · Breakfast	6684, 6690 Caratoke Hwy	open
Shivers Ice Shack	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	6614 Caratoke Hwy	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6454 Caratoke Hwy	open
Spare Parts BBQ Co and More	Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	120 Garrenton Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6691 Caratoke Hwy	open
The Funkie Fishin Shack	Bar		seaward ct	open
The Sitting Duck	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	6673 Caratoke Hwy	open
The Sweet Sunflour, Llc	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	6322 Caratoke Hwy	open
thyme & tide	Winery / distillery / taproom · Café · Bar	Coffee	6957 Caratoke Hwy	open
Tucker's Sports Bar & Grille	Bar · Casual dining	American	127 Carolina Club Dr	open
Weeping Radish Farm Brewery & Butchery	Brewery / taproom		6810 Caratoke Hwy	open
Wiseguys Pies	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	6614 Caratoke Hwy	open
Woody's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6623 Caratoke Hwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	8	8	7	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	8	7	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	10	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	8	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	8	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	9	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	9	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	10	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	10	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 27939. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
27947	4.9 mi	2	2016
27965	4.9 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.