BMIE Market 27948

Dare County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,436 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±574 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,586 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±404 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,862 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,024 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$86,193 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,613 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	48.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,673 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±173 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$437,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,469 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	9.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	57 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 27948
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	55.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+1.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+5.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+16.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+62.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	64 (range 59–68) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.64) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	53 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 27948. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.64, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.5	72	40%	+29.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49.0	49	35%	+17.1
Market Momentum Score	52.8	53	25%	+13.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,436	74	40%	+29.6
Median household income (ACS)	86,193	69	40%	+27.8
Households (ACS)	5,586	76	20%	+15.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	5.6	50	35%	+17.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	45.8	11	25%	+2.7
Population (ACS)	12,436	74	20%	+14.8
Median household income (ACS)	86,193	69	20%	+13.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	1.8	58	50%	+29.1
10-year restaurant growth	5.6	50	30%	+15.1
20-year restaurant growth	16.3	43	20%	+8.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (106)

By cuisine

American 24 · Seafood 16 · Pizza 10 · Coffee 9 · Dessert 9 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 8 · Burgers 6 · Italian 6 · Asian 5 · Bakery 5 · Japanese 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Mexican 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Sushi 3 · Breakfast 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 64 · Bar 30 · Casual dining 19 · Dessert 16 · Quick service 15 · Bakery 7 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1903 Bar and Kitchen	Bar · Casual dining		3105 N Croatan Hwy	open
2 Chefs Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1469 Colington Rd	open
3 Tequilas	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	804 S Croatan Hwy	open
5th street tropical tiki bar	Bar · Casual dining			open
American Pie Pizza & Homemade Ice Cream	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Pizza · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1600 S Virginia Dare Trl	open
Arby's	Quick service		1901 S Croatan Hwy.	open
Ashley’s Espresso Parlour & All-Time Roasting Co.	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	100 E Helga St	open
Ate.5 market	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bar	Pizza · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Italian	710 S Virginia Dare Trail	open
Awful Arthur's Oyster Bar	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	2106 N Virginia Dare Trl	open
Baum Bay	Bar			open
Beachcombers Tiki Hut	Bar · Casual dining		1701 S Virginia Dare Trail	open
Beachside Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	1731 N Virginia Dare Trail MP7	open
Blue Crab Tavern	Bar		1180 Colington Rd	open
Bob's Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	1219 S Croatan Hwy	open
Bonzer Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	1200 S Virginia Dare Trl	open
Bottoms Up Lounge	Bar			open
Buffalo City Jug Shop	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom		1900 S Croatan Hwy Ste B	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1513 S Croatan Hwy	open
Café Franco's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1712 N Croatan Hwy	open
Castaways Cabana	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2029 S Virginia Dare Trail	open
Chilli Peppers Coastal Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	3001 N Croatan Hwy	open
China King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1728 N Croatan Hwy	open
Cook Out Cook Out	Quick service		1513 S Croatan Hwy	open
Country Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	1900 S Croatan Hwy	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts	109 E Ocean Bay Blvd	open
Dare Devil's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1112 S Virginia Dare Trail	open
DeWitt At The Beach	Bar		1613 N Croatan Hwy	open
Dirty Dick's Crab House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American		open
Dirty Dick's Crab House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1502 S Croatan Hwy	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1400 S Croatan Hwy	open
Duck Donuts Duck Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	1716 N Croatan Hwy #09C	open
Duck Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	710 S Croatan Hwy	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	3210 Croatan Hwy	open
East Coast Pizza, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1400 S Croatan Hwy	open
Endurance Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1497 Colington Rd	open
FAST LUBE	Food truck		2306 N Croatan Hwy	open
Fat Charlies Chicken Wing Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	504 S Virginia Dare Trail	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	1203 S. Croatan Highway	open
Flying Fish Cafe & Wine Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	2003 S Croatan Hwy	open
Food Dudes Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1216 S Virginia Dare Trail	open
Forbes Salt Water Taffy	Dessert		West Ocean Acres Drive	open
Front Porch Cafe-Kill Devil Hills	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2200 N Croatan Hwy	open
Fuji Japanese Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Steakhouse · Asian	1201 S Croatan Hwy	open
Goombays Grille & Raw Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	1608 N Virginia Dare Trail	open
Great Cakes Of The Outer Banks	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1401 Harpoon Ct	open
Harbor Grill & Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	100 Colingwood Ln	open
Henry's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	3396 N Croatan Hwy	open
Higher Grounds - Coffee & Ice Cream	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts	2141 Colington Rd	open
Holy Cow Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1006 S Virginia Dare Trl	open
Huanchaco lounge	Bar		1006 S Virginia Dare Trail	open
Idiotco,llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1726 N Croatan Hwy	open
Jack Brown’s Beer & Burger Joint Kill Devil Hills Jack Brown’s Beer & Burger Joint KDH	Bar · Casual dining	Burgers	800 S Virginia Dare Trail	open
JK's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	1106 S Croatan Hwy	open
Just George's Captain George's Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood · American	705 S Croatan Hwy	open
Khan's Mongolian Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	101 E Atlantic St	open
Kill Devil Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · American	710 S Virginia Dare Trail Suite 5	open
Kill Devils Frozen Custard and Beach Fries	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1002 S Croatan Hwy	open
Ladles	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1901 S Croatan Hwy	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	1704 N Croatan Hwy	open
Mako's Beach Grille + Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Seafood	1630 N Croatan Hwy	open
Mama Kwan's Tiki Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining		1701 S Croatan Hwy	open
Max's Italian Restaurant & Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1712 N Croatan Hwy	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1603 S Croatan Hwy	open
Miller's Seafood and Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Sushi · Steakhouse · Japanese	1520 S Virginia Dare Trail	open
Mint2Be	Bar		307 W Avalon Dr	open
More Cow Bell Ink, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3105 N Croatan Hwy	open
N.Y. Bagels	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	1708 N Croatan Hwy	open
Noosa Beach Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2003 S Croatan Hwy	open
Noosa Scoops	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2005 S Croatan Hwy	open
OBX Tortilleria Panaderia y Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2606 N Croatan Hwy	open
OBX Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		2606 N Croatan Hwy	open
Ocean Front Trellis	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1731 N Virginia Dare Trl	open
Outer Banks Brewing Station	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		600 S Croatan Hwy	open
Pigman's Barbeque	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1606 S Croatan Hwy	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1703 Croatan Highway 158	open
Plaza Azteca Mexican Restaurant Plaza Azteca, Methuen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	1502 S Croatan Hwy	open
Port O' Call	Bar		504 S Virginia Dare Trl	open
Professional Air Sports Association	Restaurant (service type not stated)		306 W Lake Dr	open
Proof Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Sandwiches · Dessert	402 S Croatan Hwy	open
Rooster's Southern Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	804 S Croatan Hwy	open
Sam's Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American		open
Sandbars Raw Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1716 N Croatan Hwy	open
SandyJ	Bar · Quick service		Colington Harbour	open
Scoops Homemade Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	710 S Croatan Hwy	open
Shine On Juicery	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	1209 S Croatan Hwy	open
Slice Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	710 S Croatan Hwy MP 8.5	open
Sponge's Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar			open
Stack'em High Pancakes and So Forth	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	1225 S Croatan Hwy	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1208 S Croatan Hwy	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Bakery	2012 South Croatan Highway	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	1901 N Croatan Highway	open
Stonefish Beachbar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	2111 N Virginia Dare Trl	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1726 N Croatan Hwy Room13	open
Sugar Planet	Dessert		1600 S Croatan Hwy	open
SugarLand	Dessert	Dessert	906 S Croatan Hwy	open
Sunnyside Up Marketing Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1225 S Croatan Hwy	open
Swellsa Brewing Beer Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1802 S Virginia Dare Trail	open
Ten O Six	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	American	1006 S Virginia Dare Trail	open
Thai Room	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	710 S Virginia Dare Trail	open
The Colington Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · American	1029 Colington Rd	open
The Jolly Roger Restaurant and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	1836 N Virginia Dare Trail	open
The Kill Devil Grill	Casual dining	American · Seafood	2008 S Virginia Dare Trail	open
The SaltBox Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	1469 Colington Rd	open
Try My Nuts	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)		710 S Croatan Hwy	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1503 S Croatan Hwy	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1530 N Croatan Hwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	35	35	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	32	32	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	33	32	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	49	48	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	52	51	28	19	4	—	NAICS1997
1999	50	48	26	19	3	1	NAICS1997
2000	48	45	24	18	3	2	NAICS1997
2001	47	45	23	18	4	1	NAICS1997
2002	51	47	26	17	4	1	NAICS1997
2003	52	49	25	18	5	—	NAICS2002
2004	51	48	25	18	4	—	NAICS2002
2005	56	53	27	21	4	—	NAICS2002
2006	53	49	24	21	3	1	NAICS2002
2007	50	47	23	18	5	—	NAICS2002
2008	61	58	27	21	8	—	NAICS2007
2009	55	53	25	20	6	1	NAICS2007
2010	64	60	27	22	9	2	NAICS2007
2011	63	58	28	21	7	3	NAICS2007
2012	57	56	25	20	8	1	NAICS2012
2013	55	54	26	19	6	1	NAICS2012
2014	53	50	25	18	5	1	NAICS2012
2015	53	51	26	18	5	1	NAICS2012
2016	57	54	28	18	6	2	NAICS2012
2017	59	57	30	19	8	—	NAICS2017
2018	59	56	30	19	7	—	NAICS2017
2019	59	56	31	18	7	—	NAICS2017
2020	61	60	36	16	8	—	NAICS2017
2021	63	61	36	15	10	—	NAICS2017
2022	60	59	34	15	10	—	NAICS2022
2023	58	57	34	14	9	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 27948. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.