BMIE Market 27954
Dare County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 7,237 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±479 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 2,983 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±231 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 6,111 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,479 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $80,587 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,662 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 44.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,243 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±160 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $418,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±38,590 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 8.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 18 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 27954 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 27.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -5.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +5.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -10.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -5.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 18 (range 14–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 51 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 50 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 30 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 27954. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 51 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 64.9 | 65 | 40% | +26.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 50.2 | 50 | 35% | +17.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 29.7 | 30 | 25% | +7.4 |
Consumer Market Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 7,237 | 66 | 40% | +26.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 80,587 | 63 | 40% | +25.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 2,983 | 67 | 20% | +13.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 50 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 5.9 | 50 | 35% | +17.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 24.9 | 27 | 25% | +6.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 7,237 | 66 | 20% | +13.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 80,587 | 63 | 20% | +12.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 30 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -5.3 | 22 | 50% | +11.2 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 5.9 | 50 | 30% | +15.1 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -10 | 17 | 20% | +3.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (53)
By cuisine
American 9 · Coffee 7 · Dessert 7 · Seafood 6 · Bakery 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · BBQ 2 · European 2 · Italian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Pizza 2 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Greek 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Peruvian 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Bar 14 · Casual dining 11 · Quick service 9 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 7 · Coffee shop 5 · Café 4 · Winery / distillery / taproom 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1587 Restaurant & Lounge | Casual dining · Bar | Seafood · American | 405 Queen Elizabeth Ave | open |
| Adrianna's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 207 Queen Elizabeth Ave | open |
| Big Al's Soda Fountain and Grill | Casual dining | American | 716 S Hwy 64 | open |
| Big Buck's Homemade Ice Cream Big Buck's Homemade Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 207 Queen Elizabeth Ave | open |
| Blue Water Grill & Raw Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Seafood | 2000 Sailfish Dr | open |
| Bough and Vine | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 408 Queen Elizabeth Ave | open | |
| Carolina Bar-B-Que Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 908 S US Hwy 64 | open |
| Champs Chicken Champs Chicken | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 948 North Hwy #64-264 | open |
| Champs Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 948 N Hwy 64-264 | open |
| Charis Coffee Company | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 107 G Budleigh St | open |
| Cygnus Investments Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1100A S Bay Club Dr | open | |
| Darrell's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 521 US-64 #264 | open |
| Dockside Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 2000 Sailfish Dr | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 817 US Highway 64 | open |
| Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 202 US 64 Highway 264, In Speedway | open |
| El Shaddai Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Latin American (other) · Chicken / wings | 112 US-64 | open |
| Firetender Weeping Radish | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | BBQ · American | 814 N Hwy 64/264 | open |
| Front Porch Cafe-Manteo Front Porch Cafe - Fuquay-Varina | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee · Breakfast | 300 US-64 S | open |
| Frosties Downtown Manteo-OBX | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 106 Sir Walter Raleigh St | open |
| Garden Deli & Pizzeria | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza · Sandwiches | 512 US-64 | open |
| Hungry Pelican | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 205 Budleigh St | open |
| Island Coffee Shack | Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 417 Agona St | open |
| Island Perk | Coffee shop | Coffee | 101 Budleigh St | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · American | 110 South US Highway 64-264 | open |
| Kill Devil Rum | Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 510 Budleigh St | open | |
| La Dolce Vita Manteo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 814 US Highway 64 | open |
| Laughing Lollipop | Dessert | Dessert | 101 Budleigh St | open |
| Lost Colony Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | British / Irish pub food · European | 208 Queen Elizabeth Ave | open |
| Louisiana Kitchen OBX | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Mediterranean | 2000 Sailfish Dr | open |
| Mackeys Ferry Peanuts | Quick service | 107 Budleigh St | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 515 S Virginia Dare Rd | open |
| Mia's Bake Shop & Tea Room | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Bakery · Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 101 Sir Walter Raleigh St | open |
| Mimi’s Tiki Hut | Bar · Casual dining | 2000 Sailfish Dr | open | |
| NouVines | Bar | 105 Budleigh St | open | |
| Olde Towne Creamery | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · American | 500 US Highway 64 264 | open |
| Olives A Greek Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · European | Waterfront Shoppes, 207 Queen Elizabeth Ave 1st Floor | open |
| Ortega'z Southwestern Grill and Wine Bar | Casual dining · Bar | Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 201 Sir Walter Raleigh St | open |
| Pionono Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Latin American (other) · Dessert | open | |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 204 US-64 #264 | open |
| Poor Richard's Sandwich Shop | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 303 Queen Elizabeth Ave | open |
| Roanoke island market | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea | Bakery · Juice / smoothies | 207 Queen Elizabeth Ave APT 4 | open |
| Salt & Cypress Kitchen and Cocktails | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Seafood | 1100A S Bay Club Dr | open |
| Shallow Bag Bay Club Marina | Bar | 264 S US Hwy 64 | open | |
| Stripers Bar & Grille | Casual dining · Bar | 1100A S Bay Club Dr | open | |
| Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | Highway 64 E | open |
| T.L.'s Family Restaurant | Café · Casual dining | American · Coffee · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 812 S US Hwy 64 | open |
| Terrazza di Gialla | Bar | Italian | 802 Lindsey Ln | open |
| The Mother Vine | Winery / distillery / taproom | 255 Mother Vineyard Rd | open | |
| Top China | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 224 US Highway 64 and 264 | open |
| Vicki B's Restaurant & Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 301 Budleigh St | open |
| Vineyards On the Scuppernong | Winery / distillery / taproom | 101 D Budleigh St | open | |
| Wabi Sabi Manteo | Quick service | Japanese · Sushi | 264 N US Hwy 64 | open |
| Weeping Radish Brewery and Restaurant | Brewery / taproom | 623 US Highway 64 | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 19 | 19 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 17 | 17 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 16 | 16 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 17 | 17 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 20 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 21 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 18 | 16 | 10 | 5 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 19 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 22 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 21 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 19 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 22 | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 21 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 21 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 20 | 18 | 11 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 19 | 18 | 11 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 18 | 17 | 10 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 21 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 18 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 17 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 23 | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 20 | 20 | 13 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 19 | 19 | 12 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 21 | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 19 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 21 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 20 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 20 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2022 |