BMIE Market 28016

Gaston County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,109 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,015 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,042 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±469 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,463 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,963 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$57,147 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,964 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$939 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±67 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$222,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,533 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	43.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28016
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+18.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+225.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+62.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 12–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.24) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	58 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28016. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.24, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	54.7	55	40%	+21.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.6	60	35%	+20.9
Market Momentum Score	58.3	58	25%	+14.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,109	75	40%	+29.9
Median household income (ACS)	57,147	25	40%	+10.0
Households (ACS)	5,042	74	20%	+14.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	18.2	62	35%	+21.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.9	73	25%	+18.1
Population (ACS)	13,109	75	20%	+14.9
Median household income (ACS)	57,147	25	20%	+5.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	18.2	62	30%	+18.5
20-year restaurant growth	225	95	20%	+19.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (23)

By cuisine

American 8 · Pizza 4 · Bakery 3 · Coffee 3 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Mexican 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 3 · Café 3 · Dessert 2 · Buffet 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
BC Battery Lounge	Bar		115 E Virginia Ave	open
Blossom	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Sandwiches	101 E Virginia Ave	open
Catalina's Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	105 Coho Rd	open
Creekside Market And Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	105 Coho Rd	open
Dan's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	615 Gastonia Hwy	open
Dino's Italian Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	610 Gastonia Hwy	open
Edgewood Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Café · Bar	American · Coffee	621 Athenia Pl	open
El Lorito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1002 Gastonia Hwy	open
Flowers Baking Co Flowers' discount Bakery Store	Bakery	Bakery	2602 Bessemer City Rd	open
Golden China	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1001 Gastonia Hwy	open
Grandma Hoyt's Country Buffet & Catering	Buffet	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	421 E Virginia Ave	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	142 W Virginia Ave	open
Ladybug Farms and Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	203 Leesville Ave	open
McDonalds Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	617 Gastonia Hwy	open
Mikes Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		128 W Virginia Ave	open
Nana Beckas Specialty Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	111 Ross Rd	open
Omni Food Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		610 Gastonia Hwy	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	911 Gastonia Hwy	open
Surf & Turf Lodge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	808 N 14th St	open
Tex-Mex Back Road Grill of BC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	128 W Virginia Ave	open
The Family Pizzagalli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1219 Gastonia Hwy	open
Whiskey Mill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	201 West E Pennsylvania Ave	open
Wicked Waffle Co.	Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Dessert · Coffee	130 W Virginia Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	7	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	9	9	1	7	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	11	11	4	7	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	7	7	—	7	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	5	5	—	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	4	4	—	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	7	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	7	4	1	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	10	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	7	7	4	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	8	8	4	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	8	8	5	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	8	8	5	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	9	9	5	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	9	9	6	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	11	11	9	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	13	13	10	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	12	12	9	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	12	12	9	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	14	14	9	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	13	9	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	12	8	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	13	13	9	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	13	8	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	13	8	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	13	9	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 28016. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.