BMIE Market 28034

Gaston County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	18,979 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,181 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,674 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±571 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,642 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,004 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$62,083 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,899 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±82 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$257,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,927 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	45.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28034
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+5.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+75.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+50.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	21 (range 18–25) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.14) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28034. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.14, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	61.8	62	40%	+24.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57.3	57	35%	+20.0
Market Momentum Score	67.4	67	25%	+16.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	18,979	81	40%	+32.2
Median household income (ACS)	62,083	34	40%	+13.4
Households (ACS)	7,674	81	20%	+16.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	5	50	35%	+17.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.1	68	25%	+17.0
Population (ACS)	18,979	81	20%	+16.1
Median household income (ACS)	62,083	34	20%	+6.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	16.7	75	50%	+37.3
10-year restaurant growth	5	50	30%	+14.9
20-year restaurant growth	75	76	20%	+15.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (47)

By cuisine

American 9 · Dessert 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Burgers 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Mexican 3 · Pizza 3 · Seafood 3 · Bakery 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Coffee 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 27 · Quick service 12 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 7 · Dessert 6 · Food truck 3 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aloha Poke Bowl	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls	109 E Trade St	open
Anita’s Mexican Grill	Food truck		1008 Dallas Cherryville Hwy	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1009 Dallas Cherryville Hwy	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1017 Dallas Cherryville Hwy	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	3100 Dallas High Shoals Hwy	open
Cake Me Away Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	120 W Trade St	open
Country Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	116 E Main St	open
Dairy Queen	Quick service		108 College View Dr	open
Dallas Tavern and Taphouse	Casual dining · Bar		130 W Trade St	open
Double Dragon Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3130 Dallas High Shoals Hwy	open
Front Porch and Provisions	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	140 N Gaston St	open
Hardee's	Quick service		1000 Dallas Cherryville Hwy	open
Hovis Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar			open
Hungry Howie's Hungry Howie's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	701 West Trade Street	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	616 E Trade St	open
Jack In The Box Jack in the Box	Quick service	Burgers · Mexican	102 College View Dr	open
JennyVons	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3856 Dallas High Shoals Hwy	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1003 Dallas-Cherryville Highway	open
Lil Debbie's Country Sandwich	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	2910 Dallas Cherryville Hwy	open
Long Creek Fish Fry	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1031 Lower Dallas Hwy	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3117 Dallas Hgh Shls Hwy	open
Morgans Dairy Bar And Calk-a	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	3136 Dallas Hgh Shls Hwy	open
Nannie's Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	2708 Gastonia Dallas Hwy	open
Neha's Ice Cream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	3701 Dallas High Shoals Hwy	open
North Star Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	3150 Dallas Hgh Shls Hwy	open
Ole Dallas Brewery, Llc	Brewery / taproom		136 Durkee Ln	open
Papa's and Beer Papas and beer Spartanburg	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	3150 Dallas High Shoals Hwy	open
Papa's Pizza To Go Papa's Pizza To-Go Dawnville	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	106 N Gaston St	open
Pelicans Snoballs of Dallas, NC Pelican's SnoBalls- Jax Beach	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	3718 Dallas High Shoals Hwy	open
Penn Station East Coast Subs Penn Station East Coast Subs	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	701 W Trade St	open
Pita Wheel	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1108 E Main St	open
Red '57 Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1327 Hardin Rd	open
Riverside Fish House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	1341 Dallas Stanley Hwy	open
Rusty Rabbit	Bar		104 E Main St	open
Sammy's Restaurant And Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated)		130 W Trade St	open
Special Blendz	Restaurant (service type not stated)		104 E Main St	open
Spencer Mtn Clubhouse	Bar			open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	108 College View Dr	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	715 W Trade St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3129 Dallas High Shoals Hwy	open
Sweet Anna's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1830 Eastway Dr	open
Sweet Grace Shake Shoppe	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3130 Dallas High Shoals Hwy	open
Taqueria La Doña	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3829 Dallas High Shoals Rd	open
Terra Mia, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		107 E Robinson St	open
The Little Big Horn	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Steakhouse · Juice / smoothies	Little Big Horn Dr	open
The Pickle	Casual dining · Bar		103 N Holland St	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	1100 Dallas Cherryville Hwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	16	15	7	7	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	18	17	8	8	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	16	16	7	8	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	16	16	7	8	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	15	15	6	8	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	12	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	14	14	6	8	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	16	16	7	8	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	18	17	6	10	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	17	17	6	11	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	18	18	6	12	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	17	17	5	12	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	20	20	8	12	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	19	19	7	12	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	17	17	6	11	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	20	20	6	14	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	19	18	5	13	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	18	18	6	12	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	17	17	5	12	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	18	18	6	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	18	7	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	21	21	8	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	20	20	7	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	22	19	7	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	21	18	6	11	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	24	21	8	13	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 28034. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
28077	3.8 mi	1	2006

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.