BMIE Market 28092

Lincoln County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	40,350 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,683 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	15,929 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±581 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	38,570 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	16,585 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$60,984 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,921 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$996 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±56 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$245,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,395 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	119.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	61 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28092
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+8.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+24.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+22.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+74.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	62 (range 59–66) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.70) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	62 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28092. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.70, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	69.0	69	40%	+27.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61.4	61	35%	+21.5
Market Momentum Score	62.4	62	25%	+15.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	40,350	94	40%	+37.6
Median household income (ACS)	60,984	31	40%	+12.5
Households (ACS)	15,929	94	20%	+18.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	24.5	67	35%	+23.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.1	52	25%	+13.1
Population (ACS)	40,350	94	20%	+18.8
Median household income (ACS)	60,984	31	20%	+6.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	8.9	66	50%	+33.1
10-year restaurant growth	24.5	67	30%	+20.0
20-year restaurant growth	22	47	20%	+9.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (132)

By cuisine

American 32 · Coffee 17 · Pizza 13 · Burgers 10 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 9 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 8 · Sandwiches 8 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 7 · Juice / smoothies 7 · Mexican 7 · BBQ 6 · Breakfast 6 · Chicken / wings 6 · Italian 6 · Latin American (other) 5 · Asian 4 · Chinese 3 · Seafood 3 · Japanese 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Caribbean 1 · Cuban 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 65 · Quick service 28 · Bar 20 · Casual dining 17 · Café 16 · Dessert 13 · Coffee shop 9 · Bakery 8 · Juice, smoothie, tea 7 · Specialty food shop 4 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Food truck 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
AFT-Dipped and Drizzled-Dessert Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	2511 N Aspen St	open
Antojitos El Paraiso	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	1837 N Aspen St	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2216 E Main St	open
Arcadia Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	113 Vandiver Dr	open
Aspen Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	2519 N Aspen St	open
B&B Cones	Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery	607 E Main St	open
Bakery Bliss Inc	Bakery	Bakery	642 Center Dr	open
BBQ King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2613 E Main St	open
Beaverdam Creek	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)		open
Biscuitville Biscuitville	Quick service	Cajun, Creole, Southern · Breakfast	1433 E Main St	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1601 East Main Street	open
Bricktree Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom		414 E Water St	open
Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Sandwiches	2005 E Main St	open
Capt'n Pete's Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1855 N Aspen St	open
Captain D's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1151 E Main St	open
Carniceria y Restaurante Hermanos Chavez	Specialty food shop	Mexican	2109 N Aspen St	open
Carolina Steak and Rib	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · BBQ · American	1430 E Main St	open
Central Café	Café	Coffee	230 E Main St	open
Central Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	215 Fairfield Dr	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1904 E Main St	open
China 1	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1411 E Main St	open
China one	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1141 E Main St	open
Chuckwagon Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3051 NC-27	open
Church's Chicken	Quick service		1129 E Main St	open
City Cafe	Café	Coffee	1215 E Main St	open
City Cellar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		409 E Main St	open
City Limit Lounge	Bar		173 Vandiver Dr	open
City Lunch	Casual dining	American	113 Court Sq	open
Cook Out Cook Out	Quick service	Burgers · American	1437 E Main St	open
Cotton's Seafood of Lincolnton	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1942 Gastonia Hwy	open
Court Street Grille	Casual dining · Bar	American · Italian	113 Court Sq	open
Crossroads Culinary	Food truck			open
CSG Sweets	Dessert	Dessert	119 Court Square	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	101 Stanford Rd (Besides Abc Spirits)	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	2103 E Main St	open
Duvany's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	112 Newbold St	open
E. Main St & Huss St Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2230 E. Main St.	open
El Rey Mexican Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	212 Stanford Rd	open
Fairways and Greens	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2052 Country Club Rd	open
FATZ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	1430 E Main St	open
Fausto Coffee	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	116 N.E. Court Square	open
Ginger's place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1020 Reepsville Rd	open
Good Wood Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	209 N Aspen St	open
Grind'n Gears Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2657 E Main St	open
Grounded Coffeehouse	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2657 E Main St	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1102 East Main St	open
Harvest Moon Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)		331 E Main St	open
Homesteads Grill and Taphouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	357 N Generals Blvd	open
Hometown Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	518 E Main St	open
Hoshi Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	1215 E Main St	open
House of Pizza Restaurant House of Pizza Lancaster	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1108 E Main St	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2446 E Main St	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2076 Startown Road	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1423 S Aspen St	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	851 S Laurel St	open
Italianno's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	1611 N Aspen St	open
Japan Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	483 N Generals Blvd	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	102 Stanford Rd	open
Jim & Pam's	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts	518 N Generals Blvd	open
Jin's Buffet	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	912 E Main St	open
Jo and Petes Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	3436 Gastonia Hwy	open
Johnny's Mexican American Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican	1519 W Hwy 150	open
Jos Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		202 E Main St	open
JT’s Sports Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	101 E Sycamore St	open
Katherine's Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1020 Reepsville Rd	open
KFC KFC	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings	1916 East Main Street	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1830 N Aspen St	open
Lemon Brothers Original	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2129 E Main St	open
Lincoln Cafe & Catering	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	986 Reepsville Rd	open
Lincoln Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2121 E Main St	open
Lincoln Social	Bar		112 Court Square	open
Lincolnton Brewers' Club	Bar		118 E Water St	open
Lincolnton Food, Wine & Brew Fest	Brewery / taproom · Winery / distillery / taproom		100 E Main St	open
Lithia Creek Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	2052 Country Club Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	920 E Main St	open
Local Roots & Provisions	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Cajun, Creole, Southern	110 E Water St	open
Lucky Country Licorice	Dessert		3333 Finger Mill Rd	open
Marilyn's Sweet Addictions	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	106 Westview Dr	open
Mazatlan Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1132 E Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · Breakfast	2530 E Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1419 E Main St	open
Miami Fusion Cafe Lincolnton NC Miami Fusion Cafe Denver NC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Latin American (other) · Caribbean	2667 E Main St	open
Mikado 882	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1411 E Main St	open
Mom's Sub Shop	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	107 Dave Warlick Dr	open
Morgan's Dairy Bar & Calf-A	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	1619 E Main St	open
Mutzies	Quick service	Burgers · American	1200 Country Club Rd	open
Neha's Ice Cream Neha's Ice Cream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1202 E Main St	open
Palm Berries	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	123 E Main St	open
Panda Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	104 Stanford Rd	open
Papa John's Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2228 E Main St	open
Pelican's Snoballs Pelican's SnoBalls- Jax Beach	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	2224 Hartman St	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	204 Stanford Rd.	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	518 E Main St	open
Pizza Inn Pizza Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	475 N Generals Blvd	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Cajun, Creole, Southern · Chicken / wings	1436 E Main St	open
RockLodge Bar	Bar		3592 Gastonia Hwy	open
Sagebrush Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	112 N Generals Blvd	open
Scoops By The Square	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	212 N Aspen St	open
Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	2230 E Main St	open
Sidetrax Bar & Grill	Bar		1519 W Highway 150	open
Simply Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	156 Vandiver Dr	open
SONIC Drive In	Quick service		1434 E Main St	open
Southern Charm Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		235 E Main St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1434 E Main St	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2130 E Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2653 East Main Street	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	306 N Generals Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	443 N Generals Blvd	open
Sunset Slush of Lincolnton	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	111 S Academy St	open
Sweet Fire	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1200 Country Club Rd	open
Sweet Side Bakery & Cafe	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	230 E Main St	open
Sweetfire BBQ Truck	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	421 N Generals Blvd	open
Taco and Tequila Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	111 Vandiver Dr	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1446 East Main Street	open
Taco King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	633 Riverside Dr	open
The Black Velvet Lounge	Bar		411 E Main St	open
The Boss's Backyard Wagon	Food truck	BBQ · Burgers	1404 E Main St	open
The Home Place Restaurant and Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1700 W NC-27	open
The Lincoln Tavern	Bar		113 Vandiver Dr	open
The Wooden Spoon	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	230 E Main St	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1129 E Main St	open
Turn 4 Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)		220 Stanford Rd	open
Twisted Sugar	Bakery	Bakery	503 E Main St	open
Untapped Territory	Bar		124 E Water St	open
Village Inn Pizza Village Inn Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	2316 E Main St	open
Vittles	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	331 E Main St	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	1444 E Main St	open
Walmart Deli	Specialty food shop · Bakery · Quick service	Sandwiches · Bakery	306 N Generals Blvd # 401	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1406 E. Main	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	922 E Main St	open
Zhay's	Casual dining · Bar	American	144 Vandiver Dr	open
Zippers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	475 N Generals Blvd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	36	35	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	37	36	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	33	32	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	49	49	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	45	41	14	26	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	46	42	13	26	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	46	42	13	27	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	43	39	12	26	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	49	46	19	23	3	1	NAICS1997
2003	56	50	21	25	3	1	NAICS2002
2004	56	51	23	24	3	1	NAICS2002
2005	55	51	27	21	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	58	53	25	24	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	56	52	23	26	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	55	52	25	23	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	56	53	25	23	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	59	55	22	28	4	1	NAICS2007
2011	58	54	21	30	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	53	48	17	28	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	52	49	17	30	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	55	52	18	29	5	—	NAICS2012
2015	53	51	16	30	5	—	NAICS2012
2016	58	55	17	32	6	—	NAICS2012
2017	58	55	17	32	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	59	56	19	31	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	58	55	18	31	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	56	53	17	30	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	60	57	17	33	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	58	56	19	31	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	66	61	20	33	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 28092. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.