BMIE Market 28104
Union County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 36,641 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,114 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 12,889 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±483 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 28,040 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 10,148 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $138,017 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,655 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 41.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,801 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±188 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $533,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,965 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 29.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 39 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28104 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 10.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -26.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +18.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +254.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +1,200.0% DERIVED: 1998 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 45 (range 33–57) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 93 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 76 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 42 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28104. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 92.9 | 93 | 40% | +37.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 76.4 | 76 | 35% | +26.7 |
| Market Momentum Score | 42.4 | 42 | 25% | +10.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 93 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 36,641 | 92 | 40% | +37.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 138,017 | 95 | 40% | +37.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 12,889 | 91 | 20% | +18.1 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 76 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 18.2 | 62 | 35% | +21.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 10.6 | 70 | 25% | +17.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 36,641 | 92 | 20% | +18.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 138,017 | 95 | 20% | +18.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 42 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -26.4 | 10 | 50% | +4.8 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 18.2 | 62 | 30% | +18.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 254.6 | 96 | 20% | +19.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (86)
By cuisine
American 12 · Asian 11 · Pizza 11 · Bakery 8 · Coffee 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Chinese 6 · Italian 6 · Mexican 4 · Breakfast 3 · Burgers 3 · Japanese 3 · Sushi 3 · Dessert 2 · Greek 2 · Indian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Seafood 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 55 · Bar 16 · Quick service 14 · Casual dining 11 · Bakery 9 · Coffee shop 6 · Café 5 · Specialty food shop 4 · Dessert 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Catering 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan's Oyster Haven and Jacuzzi Bar | Bar | 310 Jean Pl Ct | open | |
| Ararat17 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1361 Chestnut Ln | open | |
| Athens Pizza & Kebab | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2920 Old Monroe Rd | open |
| Best China | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 7900 Stevens Mill Rd | open |
| Bill and Bobs Coffee Bar | Coffee shop · Café · Bar | Coffee | 2749 Old Monroe Rd | open |
| Bisonte Pizza Co. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1381 Chestnut Ln | open |
| Brooklyn Pizza Parlor | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 6400 Weddington Rd | open |
| Bsi Services | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3624 Gribble Rd | open | |
| Burger King | Quick service | 4390 Potter Rd | open | |
| Carnitas Mexican Guanajuato Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 7900 Stevens Mill Rd Ste G | open |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 6390 Weddington Rd | open |
| China Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 15080 Idlewild Rd | open |
| Cookie Amor | Bakery | Bakery | open | |
| Cornerstone Pub & Grill | Bar · Casual dining | 15080 Idlewild Rd Suite J | open | |
| Curry Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Asian | 5922 Weddington Rd | open |
| Dalli's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 15080 Idlewild Rd | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 7900 Stevens Mill Rd | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 5922 A 14 Weddington Rd | open |
| Doodle Sasser Distilling, Llc | Winery / distillery / taproom | 135 Cupped Oak Dr Ste E | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 6312 Weddington Rd | open |
| F & L Company Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7900 Stevens Mill Rd | open | |
| Fresh Chef Kitchen Fresh Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 7800 Stevens Mill Rd | open |
| Fresh Chef Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Seafood · German / Eastern European | 15080 Idlewild Rd | open |
| GOAT Rum | Bar | 135 Cupped Oak Dr | open | |
| Grand Asia Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4400 Potter Rd | open | |
| Greco Fresh Grille Greco Fresh Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean | 6400 Weddington Rd | open |
| Hacienda El Rey Austin Village | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 1361 Chestnut Ln | open |
| Hickory Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | 6400 Weddington Rd | open | |
| HOT WOK Chinese | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 5943 Weddington Rd | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 13651 Providence Road | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 5922 Weddington Road Suite A-11 | open |
| Jm Weddinton Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 13651 Providence Rd | open | |
| Joy Luck Club 万福小馆 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 4400 Potter Rd | open |
| Kami Chinese Thai & Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Thai · Chinese | 5922 Weddington Rd | open |
| La cascada restaurante | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches · Latin American (other) | 4540 Potter Rd | open |
| LakeView Grill & Tavern | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 9750 Tournament Dr | open |
| Lam's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1369 Chestnut Ln | open |
| Lucy's Bakery & Deli | Bakery | Bakery | 4522 Potter Rd | open |
| Mama's Italian - Restaurant & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Italian | 15080 Idlewild Rd | open |
| Mario's Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2945 Weddington-Matthews Rd | open |
| Matthews Pottery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3645 Pleasant Plains Rd | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4405 Potter Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 14522 W Lawyers Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5925 Weddington Road | open |
| Miguelo's Empanadas | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 4522 Potter Rd | open |
| Moochie's Tavern | Bar · Casual dining | 15060 Idlewild Rd | open | |
| NAT Travel Solution | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Breakfast | 5919 Hemby Rd | open |
| New York Pizza Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4520 Potter Rd | open |
| NOODLES & KITCHEN | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Noodles / ramen / pho | 1369 CHESTNUT Lane | open |
| Panda | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 13661 Providence Rd | open |
| Papa's Pizza To Go | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 13649 Providence Rd | open |
| Phat Daddy's Cafe | Café | American · Coffee | 2741 Old Monroe Rd | open |
| Poppyseeds Bagels | Bakery | Bakery · Breakfast | 1311 Chestnut Ln | open |
| Poppyseeds Bagels | Bakery | Bakery · Breakfast | 13645 Providence Rd | open |
| Saveeda's American Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 5922 Weddington Rd | open |
| Serendipity Treats | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | open | |
| Shannamara's Club House | Bar | 4103 Shannamara Dr | open | |
| Skin Therapy At Studio 5038 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5038 Waxhaw Indian Trail Rd | open | |
| Small Bar Matthews | Casual dining · Bar | 4320 Potter Rd | open | |
| Smoothie King | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Juice / smoothies | 15080 Idlewild Rd | open |
| Stallings Rockstore Bar-B-Q | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 3116 Old Monroe Rd | open |
| Starbucks | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Pizza · Coffee | 6350 Weddington Rd | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 13639 Providence Rd | open |
| Steak 'n Hoagie Shop | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches · Greek | 1542 Stallings Rd | open |
| Steak 'n Hoagie Shop / Grecos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 4390 Potter Rd | open |
| Stevens Mill Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7800 Stevens Mill Rd | open | |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 7900-L Stevens Mill Road | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2935 Matthews Weddington Rd | open |
| Sweet baking | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery | 1009 Hammond Dr | open |
| Sweets by Demetria LLC | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 15080 Idlewild Rd Ste F | open | |
| Taco Bell | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 112 Waxhaw Indian Trail Rd S | open |
| Taxco Mexican Grill Taxco Mexican Grill - Belmont | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 7900 Stevens Mill Rd # G | open |
| TCBY | Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 6312 Weddington-Monroe Road | open |
| The Buzz Beer & Wine Co. | Bar | 5943 Weddington Rd | open | |
| The dark rye | Bar | 9700 Tournament Dr | open | |
| The Friendly Moose | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4320 Potter Rd | open | |
| The Mittai House - Indian Sweets & Savouries | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 1420 Sunflower Field Pl | open |
| The VRTX Restaurant & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 7800 Stevens Mill Rd | open | |
| To The Table Board Game Cafe | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee | 1013 Chestnut Ln Ste 120 | open |
| Villa Mia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5922 Weddington Rd Ste A13 | open |
| Wesley Chapel Diner Sabor Latin Street Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Latin American (other) · American | 5945 Weddington Rd | open |
| WhoRolly Hot Dog | Catering | Hot dogs | 401 Stallings Rd | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Bakery · Asian | 1351 Chestnut Ln | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 7800-J Stevens Mill Rd | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 15080 Idlewild Rd | open |
| The Restaurant Traders | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 222 Beltway Blvd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 13 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 19 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 25 | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 24 | 21 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 22 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 19 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 31 | 28 | 10 | 14 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 33 | 31 | 9 | 17 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 33 | 31 | 10 | 17 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 34 | 33 | 14 | 14 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 44 | 43 | 16 | 17 | 10 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 47 | 46 | 20 | 17 | 9 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 52 | 49 | 20 | 18 | 11 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 53 | 51 | 19 | 20 | 12 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 56 | 53 | 17 | 22 | 14 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 50 | 48 | 12 | 22 | 14 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 47 | 44 | 14 | 17 | 13 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 49 | 45 | 15 | 17 | 13 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 44 | 39 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 3 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 43 | 39 | 18 | 14 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |
Nearby markets (within 5 miles)
| ZCTA | Distance | Restaurants | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28105 | 4.3 mi | 114 | 2023 |