BMIE Market 28112

Union County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	28,461 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,740 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,215 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±587 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	26,311 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,254 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$80,495 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,271 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,155 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±57 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$296,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,503 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	132.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	26 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28112
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+18.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+44.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+188.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	28 (range 23–33) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.58) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	77 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	78 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28112. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.58, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	77.4	77	40%	+31.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76.6	77	35%	+26.8
Market Momentum Score	78.0	78	25%	+19.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	28,461	88	40%	+35.1
Median household income (ACS)	80,495	63	40%	+25.1
Households (ACS)	10,215	86	20%	+17.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	44.4	79	35%	+27.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.1	76	25%	+18.9
Population (ACS)	28,461	88	20%	+17.6
Median household income (ACS)	80,495	63	20%	+12.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	18.2	76	50%	+38.0
10-year restaurant growth	44.4	79	30%	+23.6
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (75)

By cuisine

American 14 · Coffee 10 · Mexican 8 · Sandwiches 8 · Pizza 7 · Asian 4 · Dessert 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Burgers 3 · Chinese 3 · Italian 3 · Tea / bubble tea 3 · Bakery 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Seafood 2 · Breakfast 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 38 · Bar 13 · Quick service 10 · Café 9 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Dessert 5 · Winery / distillery / taproom 5 · Bakery 3 · Food truck 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A Cause for Tea	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	418 E Franklin St	open
Alice Jules Coffee House	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	204 Lancaster Ave	open
Americana Beer Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		222 N Main St	open
Aylea café	Café	Coffee	1607 Hinson Rd	open
Blu Moon Cafe	Café	Coffee	232 E Franklin St	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	555 E Roosevelt Blvd	open
Bursting BobaCafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	206 N Hayne St	open
Chick-fil-A	Quick service		1620 Campus Park Dr	open
Chubs Grub Hub	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	354 E Franklin St	open
Coolton's Cocktails Team	Bar		202 N Stewart St Suite 101	open
Corn Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1219 Zeb Helms Rd	open
Countrymade	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	7218 Wolf Pond Rd	open
Crust & Jam	Restaurant (service type not stated)		109 S Main St	open
E.L.K of Monroe	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	301 E Franklin St	open
East Frank Superette and Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	209 E Franklin St	open
Eazy Parrot	Bar		1701 W Franklin St	open
EL MERO MERO TACO GRILL	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	5432 Pageland Hwy	open
El paso Mexican-American Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	5432 Pageland Hwy	open
Franklin Court Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	232 E Franklin St	open
Gingham Girl Cake Rolls & Creations	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	215 N Hayne St	open
Good Times	Bar		350 E Franklin St	open
Grateful Breads Monroe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	107 A E Jefferson St	open
Hazel's Coffee House	Coffee shop	Coffee	813 E. Roosevelt Ed.	open
High Octane Coffee Creamery & Eatery	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	114 Lancaster Ave	open
Hilltop Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1602 E Roosevelt Blvd	open
Hilton Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		3310 Crow Rd	open
Hilton Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		1606 E Roosevelt Blvd	open
Hong Kong 1	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	813 E Roosevelt Blvd	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	101A West Sunset Drive	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5310 Lancaster Highway	open
Idol 88	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	Majestic Tours, 3015 Plyler Mill Rd	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Sandwiches · Burgers	1600 E Roosevelt Blvd	open
JAMZ Pizzeria & Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · Sandwiches	101 W Franklin St	open
Jin Jin Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	221 E Franklin St	open
Kefi Vineyards and Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		3109 Plyler Mill Rd	open
Kona Ice Union County	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	502 Cedarwood Dr	open
La Condesa Mexican Food truck	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Mexican	801 Lancaster Ave	open
Live laugh Paint	Bar		204 N Main St	open
Local Logic	Bar		128 S Main St	open
Main Street Bistro	Dessert	Dessert	109 S Main St	open
McCray's Country Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	5432 Pageland Hwy	open
New China Restaurant	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	1684 W Franklin St	open
Oasis Sandwich Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	116 S Main St	open
Palace Restaurant Palace restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1000 Lancaster Ave	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1620 e roosevelt blvd	open
Patty and The Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Hot dogs · American	217 N Hayne St	open
Pelican's Snoballs	Dessert	Dessert	120 E Sunset Dr	open
Pepperoni's Pizza Pepperoni's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6203 S Rocky River Rd	open
Roosevelt Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	751 E Roosevelt Blvd	open
Sabor de Angel Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	5432 Pageland Hwy	open
Sea Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	354 E Franklin St	open
Skinny Cook	Casual dining	American	1643 W Franklin St	open
Sorella Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	107 S Main St	open
Southern Range Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Bar		151 S Stewart St	open
Southern Roots Bar & Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)		350 E Franklin St	open
Spiro's Hilltop Fish Fare & Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1602 E Roosevelt Blvd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	2226 Lancaster Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	813-J E Roosevelt Blvd	open
SweeTea's Bakery & Tea Room Cafe	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Sandwiches	215 E Franklin St	open
Tacos El Regio Nc Monroe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	813 E Roosevelt Blvd	open
Taqueria los altos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Spanish / tapas · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	813 E Roosevelt Blvd	open
Taqueria Morelia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1664 W Franklin St	open
The Back Porch Lounge	Bar			open
The corner street food	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck · Casual dining	American	115 W Sunset Dr	open
The Exchange Pizza Depot	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	109 N Hayne St Unit 122	open
The New - Stone Table	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	109 Main Street	open
The Packing House	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	3603 Plyler Mill Rd	open
Trattoria on Main	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	109 S Main St	open
Treehouse Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		301 Bay St	open
Union Station Deli & Sweets	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	107 E Jefferson St Ste A	open
Vetus Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		430 Crow St	open
Wonder WINGS and Things	Food truck · Quick service	Chicken / wings	916 S Hayne St	open
Your Mom's Donuts Monroe	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	217 N Hayne St	open
Anson Restaurant Group	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1101 Circle Dr	closed
Portillo's Sweet & Savory	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1664 W Franklin St Ste D	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	18	18	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	20	12	8	4	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	19	12	7	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	18	10	6	4	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	20	11	8	3	—	4	NAICS1997
2002	24	17	9	8	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	19	13	8	5	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	20	13	8	5	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	19	13	7	6	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	22	15	9	6	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	18	14	7	6	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	18	15	10	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	17	14	6	8	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	19	15	7	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	24	19	10	7	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	19	15	8	7	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	23	18	10	8	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	19	15	8	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	19	15	6	9	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	24	19	7	11	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	27	22	7	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	26	22	6	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	25	20	8	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	23	18	7	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	26	20	9	10	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	30	24	11	11	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	33	26	12	9	5	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 28112. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.