BMIE Market 28207

Mecklenburg County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,527 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±952 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,129 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±443 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,280 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,205 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$217,204 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±56,277 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,664 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±211 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,409,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±247,914 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28207
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	19.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-15.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+13.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+6.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+21.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 14–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	32 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28207. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	82.0	82	40%	+32.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64.6	65	35%	+22.6
Market Momentum Score	32.3	32	25%	+8.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,527	70	40%	+28.0
Median household income (ACS)	217,204	99	40%	+39.7
Households (ACS)	4,129	71	20%	+14.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	13.3	57	35%	+20.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.8	43	25%	+10.8
Population (ACS)	9,527	70	20%	+14.0
Median household income (ACS)	217,204	99	20%	+19.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 32 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-15	15	50%	+7.7
10-year restaurant growth	13.3	57	30%	+17.1
20-year restaurant growth	6.3	38	20%	+7.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (44)

By cuisine

American 8 · Coffee 8 · Bakery 5 · Asian 4 · Italian 4 · European 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · French 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · Greek 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 29 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Bakery 5 · Casual dining 5 · Bar 3 · Buffet 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Quick service 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Ace No. 3 Myers Park ACE No. 3	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	829 Providence Rd	open
Air Myers Park	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1043 Providence Rd	open
Aix en Provence	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · Mediterranean	545 Providence Rd	open
Ben & Jerry's	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	507 Providence Rd	open
Boston Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	829 Providence Rd	open
Carolina's Medical Center-Mercy Cafeteria	Buffet		2001 Vail Ave, Charlotte, NC 28207	open
Chicken Out Rotisserie	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	613 Providence Rd	open
Coffee House Coffee House Company	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	2220 Radcliffe Ave	open
Deejai Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	613 Providence Rd	open
Einstein Bros. Bagels	Bakery	Bakery	1039 Providence Rd	open
Fenwick's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	511 Providence Rd	open
First Watch First Watch	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	8825 Christenbury Pkwy Ste 20	open
Ginbu 401	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	401 Providence Rd	open
Higher Grounds by Manolo's Higher Grounds of Maine	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1501 Queens Rd	open
Hubee D's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	Providence Rd	open
Kid C Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		715 Providence Rd # G2	open
Laurel Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	114 Cherokee Rd	open
Lumiere	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French	1039 Providence Rd	open
Maman Maman	Coffee shop	Coffee	523 Fenton Pl	open
Manhattan Bagel	Bakery	Bakery	401 Providence Rd # 1401	open
Myers Park Harris Teeter Wine Bar	Bar · Winery / distillery / taproom		1015 Providence Rd	open
Napa on Providence Napa on Providence	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	110 Perrin Pl	open
Nekter Juice Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	1035 Providence Rd	open
Not Just Coffee	Café	Coffee	421 Providence Rd	open
P.r. Sundries, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1522 Providence Rd	open
Panera Bread	Café	Coffee	601 Providence Rd	open
Pasta & Provisions Pasta & Provisions	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1528 Providence Rd	open
Philadelphia Deli Restaurant	Other	Sandwiches	1025 S Kings Dr	open
Primo Prime	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	116 Middleton Dr	open
Providence Café	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	110 Perrin Pl	open
Providence Road Sundries	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1522 Providence Rd	open
Ru Ru's Tacos & Tequila	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	715 Providence Rd	open
Sala	Bar			open
Something Classic Catering, Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Bakery	715 Providence Rd	open
Stagioni	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	715 Providence Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	545 Providence Rd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café	Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Asian	1015 Providence Rd	open
Summit Coffee Eastover Summit Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	343 Providence Rd	open
Taipei Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	731 Providence Rd	open
The Meeting House On Providence	Restaurant (service type not stated)		801 Providence Rd	open
Volo Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1039 Providence Rd	open
Wolfman Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1039 Providence Rd	open
Yassou Greek Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	1039 Providence Rd	open
Zio Casual Italian	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	116 Middleton Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	21	21	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	18	16	8	5	3	—	NAICS1997
1999	20	19	12	5	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	17	16	9	5	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	19	18	10	5	3	—	NAICS1997
2002	19	16	10	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	19	16	8	4	4	—	NAICS2002
2004	17	15	8	3	4	—	NAICS2002
2005	19	17	9	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	20	18	12	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	20	17	9	6	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	21	18	10	4	4	1	NAICS2007
2009	21	18	10	3	5	1	NAICS2007
2010	22	18	11	2	5	1	NAICS2007
2011	21	17	9	4	4	1	NAICS2007
2012	24	18	9	4	5	1	NAICS2012
2013	21	15	7	3	5	1	NAICS2012
2014	23	17	10	3	4	1	NAICS2012
2015	24	18	11	3	4	1	NAICS2012
2016	26	20	12	4	4	1	NAICS2012
2017	25	20	11	5	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	25	20	11	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	26	20	12	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	23	17	10	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	22	17	11	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	21	16	10	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	22	17	10	4	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 28207. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
28274	0.6 mi	3	1997
28204	1.4 mi	61	2023
28209	2.0 mi	81	2023
28203	2.1 mi	128	2023
28244	2.3 mi	4	2023
28282	2.4 mi	1	2016
28280	2.5 mi	8	2023
28211	2.5 mi	82	2023
28202	2.5 mi	124	2023
28205	2.6 mi	143	2023
28206	4.2 mi	46	2023
28212	4.5 mi	37	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.