BMIE Market 28214

Mecklenburg County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	43,837 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,790 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	15,121 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±891 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	34,721 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	13,701 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$86,447 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,256 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,696 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±125 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$295,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,465 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	33.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	22 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28214
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-8.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+37.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	22 (range 17–26) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	32 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28214. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	84.7	85	40%	+33.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62.7	63	35%	+21.9
Market Momentum Score	32.2	32	25%	+8.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	43,837	95	40%	+38.1
Median household income (ACS)	86,447	70	40%	+27.9
Households (ACS)	15,121	94	20%	+18.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-8.3	19	35%	+6.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.0	92	25%	+22.9
Population (ACS)	43,837	95	20%	+19.1
Median household income (ACS)	86,447	70	20%	+13.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 32 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-8.3	19	30%	+5.8
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (58)

By cuisine

American 10 · Mexican 8 · Asian 5 · Chinese 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Burgers 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Bakery 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Pizza 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Filipino 1 · Greek 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Peruvian 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 42 · Quick service 10 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 5 · Food truck 4 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Dessert 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Addley's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1404 Lee St	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2501 Little Rock Rd	open
Arp Group Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10916 Black Dog Ln	open
Bamboo Garden Bamboo Garden Restaurant - Blenheim, New Zealand	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Chinese	231 Mt Holly-Huntersville Rd	open
Big Steve BBQ Paint	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	320 Kingsway Cir	open
Chester's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2603 Sam Wilson Rd	open
Chex Grill and Wings Chex Grill & Wings	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2910 Mt Holly-Huntersville Rd	open
Chicken coop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings		open
Domino's Pizza	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	434 Little Rock Rd	open
FedEx Office Print & Ship Center	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6600 CSX Way	open
First Time Logistic	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6517 Wesbrook Dr	open
Frauke	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		5205 Wolfridge Av	open
Freedom Drive	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	6411 Freedom Dr	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2604 Little Rock Rd	open
Hop Feng Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2504 Little Rock Rd	open
Jackie Boys Bar & Grill	Bar		2910 Mt Holly Huntersville Rd	open
Jin Jin Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	9115 Samlen Ln	open
Jp Food To Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	2626 Little Rock Rd	open
Kellogg's Snacks	Bakery	Bakery	1816 W Pointe Dr	open
Ken Cooks (SoulFood Restaurant)	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	430 Old Little Rock Rd	open
Konrad's Southern Bistro	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	10100 Moores Chapel Rd	open
LAGZ RESTAURANT & BAR	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2539 Little Rock Rd	open
Las Pupusas Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Latin American (other) · Sandwiches	2615 Little Rock Rd	open
Locos Tacos clt	Food truck	Mexican	8210 Moores Chapel Rd	open
Machu Picchu Restaurant - Mtn Island Machu Picchu Pineville NC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Peruvian · Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	10916 Black Dog Ln	open
Mariachi Mexicanisimo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	9710 Willilyn Ln	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service		2851 Sonoma Valley Dr	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2603 Sam Wilson Rd	open
Miguel's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · American	4252 Business Center Dr	open
Nakato Japanese Restaurant Nakato	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi		open
Ni's Hop Feng Chinese Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2504 Little Rock Rd Ste C	open
Nicaragua Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		11234 Joe Morrison Ln	open
Paparazzi CLT	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6711 Freedom Dr	open
Pepinos Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2625 Little Rock Rd	open
Pressure Lounge	Bar		6711 Freedom Dr	open
Project Halo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2500 Taimi Dr	open
Pump House Biergarten	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	5000 Whitewater Center Pkwy	open
Punta Mare	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Breakfast	10228 Apple Dove Ct	open
Roll Onez	Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery	Juice / smoothies · Bakery	2626 Little Rock Rd	open
Shake Shack	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	Wilkinson Blvd	open
Showmars Little Rock Showmars	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · Greek · American	2540 Little Rock Rd	open
Shuffletown Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	10220 Rozzelles Ferry Rd	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service	Burgers · American	265 Mt Holly-Huntersville Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2504 Little Rock Road	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	9115 Samlen Lane Suite 10	open
Tacos Don Sammy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2635 Little Rock Rd	open
Tacos Turbo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	8735 Mt Holly Rd	open
Tank Town Tavern	Bar		6721-6753 Freedom Drive	open
The Bistro At Courtyard	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2700 Little Rock Rd	open
The Vineyards at Lake Wylie	Winery / distillery / taproom			open
Tienda Mexicana La Hidalguense	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2650 Little Rock Rd	open
Tody Brown's	Bar			open
Tony's Bar	Bar		10004 Moores Chapel Loop	open
Tony's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Filipino	9548 Mount Holly Rd	open
Wok Bo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	527 Little Rock Rd B	open
X-tra Ball Ice Cream & Pinball	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2910 Mt Holly Huntersville Rd Ste G	open
Monae's Caf'e	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	430 Old Little Rock Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	19	16	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	23	20	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	20	16	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	24	19	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	26	19	13	6	—	4	NAICS1997
1999	27	19	13	6	—	4	NAICS1997
2000	23	17	12	5	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	27	20	13	6	1	5	NAICS1997
2002	24	19	9	7	3	4	NAICS1997
2003	25	22	10	9	3	2	NAICS2002
2004	24	21	9	10	2	2	NAICS2002
2005	29	26	14	10	2	2	NAICS2002
2006	27	24	13	10	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	24	21	11	8	2	3	NAICS2002
2008	24	22	13	8	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	24	21	12	7	2	3	NAICS2007
2010	24	21	9	9	2	3	NAICS2007
2011	20	18	6	10	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	22	20	8	11	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	29	24	9	14	1	5	NAICS2012
2014	27	22	7	14	1	5	NAICS2012
2015	24	19	5	13	1	5	NAICS2012
2016	24	18	6	12	—	5	NAICS2012
2017	23	17	7	10	—	5	NAICS2017
2018	28	22	7	13	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	25	19	6	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	26	20	6	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	31	23	9	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	30	23	11	11	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	29	22	10	11	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 28214. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
28208	4.5 mi	86	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.