BMIE Market 28278
Mecklenburg County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 37,420 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,793 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 13,640 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±585 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 19,283 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,858 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $125,470 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,352 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 36.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,786 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±76 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $460,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,838 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 28.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 37 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28278 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 4.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +32.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +516.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +825.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +1,750.0% DERIVED: 1997 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 53 (range 46–59) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +2.9 per year, r² 0.90) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 91 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 92 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 90 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 92 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28278. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +2.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.90, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 91 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 92.2 | 92 | 40% | +36.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 90.1 | 90 | 35% | +31.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 91.8 | 92 | 25% | +23.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 92 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 37,420 | 93 | 40% | +37.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 125,470 | 92 | 40% | +36.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 13,640 | 92 | 20% | +18.3 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 90 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 516.7 | 100 | 35% | +35.0 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 9.9 | 73 | 25% | +18.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 37,420 | 93 | 20% | +18.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 125,470 | 92 | 20% | +18.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 92 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 32.1 | 84 | 50% | +42.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 516.7 | 100 | 30% | +30.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 825 | 99 | 20% | +19.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (72)
By cuisine
American 10 · Dessert 8 · Sandwiches 8 · Coffee 6 · Mexican 5 · Bakery 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Italian 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Pizza 4 · Burgers 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Tea / bubble tea 3 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Japanese 2 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 37 · Quick service 13 · Dessert 11 · Bar 8 · Juice, smoothie, tea 7 · Café 6 · Casual dining 5 · Bakery 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Other 4 · Food truck 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Fast casual 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2BROS TACOS | Food truck | Mexican | 13920 S Tryon St | open |
| 37 SOL Southwest Kitchen and Tequila Bar | Bar | American · Mexican | 8724 Outlets Blvd | open |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 8640 Rachel Freeman Way | open |
| Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's | Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery · Quick service | Juice / smoothies · Bakery | 5506 New Fashion Way | open |
| Auntie Toni’s Soulfood | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 5404 New Fashion Way | open |
| Ben & Jerry's | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 5404 New Fashion Way | open |
| Boba CuCue Bubble Tea House Boba CuCue Bubble Tea House | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 5524 New Fashion Way | open |
| Bonzai Thai Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 4847 Shopton Rd | open |
| Cakelin's Cakes and Cookies | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 16822 Alydar Commons Ln | open |
| Charleys Philly Steaks | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches · Steakhouse | 5405 New Fashion Way Ste 618 | open |
| China Town | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 13000 S Tryon St | open |
| Cinnabon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5404 New Fashion Way | open | |
| Clean Juice Clean Juice | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 4833 Berewick Town Center Dr | open |
| Crispy Cones - Charlotte Crispý Cones | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 8736 Outlets Blvd | open |
| Crumbl - Steele Creek | Dessert | Dessert | 13551 Steelecroft Pkwy Ste 120 | open |
| Dixie Grill & Grocery | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 9115 Dixie River Rd | open | |
| Doc Popcorn - Charlotte Premium Outlets | Other · Dessert | Dessert | 5404 New Fashion Way | open |
| East Coast Wings + Grill East Coast Wings + Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 5220 New Fashion Way | open |
| Elbardi International Charlotte Premium Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5428 New Fashion Way Ste 618 | open | |
| Enrico's Ristorante Pizzeria and Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Sandwiches · Pizza | 4815 Berewick Town Center Dr A | open |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 12820 S. Tryon St. Suite 150 | open |
| Funohcakes | Food truck · Dessert | Dessert | 13000 S Tryon St | open |
| Fuzzy's Taco Shop | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 4824 Berewick Town Center Dr | open |
| Goldfingers FoodTruck & Tikiz Shaved Ice | Food truck | 11426 Chapeclane Rd | open | |
| Great American Cookies | Dessert | Dessert | 5524 New Fashion Way Ste 450 | open |
| Grid Iron | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 13105 S Tryon St | open |
| Handels Homemade Ice Cream Handel's Homemade Ice Cream - York, PA | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 4923 Trojan Dr | open |
| Hickory Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | 13545 Steelecroft Pkwy | open | |
| Hickory Tavern | Bar | 13545 Steelcroft Parkway Suite 150 | open | |
| Highway 55 Burgers, Shakes, & Fries | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4847 Shopton Rd Suite A | open |
| Island Fin Poké Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific | 4833 Berewick Town Center Dr Ste A | open |
| Javesca Coffee Roasters | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 13000 S Tryon St | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 4833 - C Berewick Town Center Drive | open |
| Jim 'N Nick's Bar-B-Q Jim 'N Nick's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 13840 Steele Creek Rd | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 4923 Trojan Dr #130 Steele Creek Ste. 130 | open |
| Jimmy John's | Other | Sandwiches | 13129 S Tryon St Ste 110 | open |
| Kung Pao Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chinese | 5428 New Fashion Way | open |
| Life is Sweet - Outlets Life is Sweet - Concord | Dessert | Dessert | 5404 New Fashion Way | open |
| Longhorn Steakhouse LongHorn Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Steakhouse · American | 4909 Trojan Dr | open |
| LongHorn Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 4909 Trojan Dr | open |
| Lucaenzo Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4815 Berewick Town Center Dr Ste A | open | |
| Luigi's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 13551 Steelecroft Pkwy | open |
| Moji Teahouse | Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 4841 Shopton Rd | open |
| Mr. Tokyo Premium: Endless Sushi • Ramen • Hibachi • Sake Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 8724 Outlets Blvd | open |
| Nathan's Famous Nathan's Famous Malaysia | Quick service | Hot dogs · Burgers | 5404 New Fashion Way | open |
| Olive Garden Olive Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 4910 Trojan Dr | open |
| OneSixty Cocktails & Kitchen | Bar | Spanish / tapas | 4847 Shopton Rd | open |
| Panda Express Panda Express | Quick service | 5121 Trojan Drive | open | |
| Papa Johns Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4819 Shopton Rd Ste A | open |
| Partners in THINC | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 12428 Sam Neely Rd | open |
| PrimoHoagies | Other | Sandwiches | 8736 Outlets Blvd Ste 400 | open |
| Sbarro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5404 New Fashion Way | open |
| Shane’s Rib Shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 5220 New Fashion Way | open |
| Sharetea Steele Creek | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 4922 Trojan Dr | open |
| Showmars Steele Creek Showmars | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · Greek · American | 13000 S Tryon St A | open |
| Smallcakes Steele Creek | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 4847 Shopton Rd E | open |
| Smoothie King Smoothie King | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 5220 New Fashion Way | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Bakery | 13129 S Tryon St | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 5434 New Fashion Way | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 13000 S Tryon St Ste H | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 13121 S Tryon St | open |
| Tacos 4 Life Tacos 4 Life | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 4923 Trojan Dr | open |
| TCBY | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 4833-A Berewick Town Center Dr | open |
| The Jerk Joint. Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4841 Shopton Rd Ste A | open | |
| Umi Teriyaki & Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 5428 New Fashion Way Ste 612 | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 8720 Rachel Freeman Way | open |
| Wingstop Wingstop | Quick service | 13000 S Tryon St | open | |
| Wingstop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 4922 Trojan Dr | open |
| Zaxby's Zaxby's | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 9308 Robert Irwin Drive | open |
| Smithfield's Chicken 'n Bar-b-q | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 5121 Trojan Dr | closed |
| Umi Teriyaki & Kungpao Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5428 New Fashion Way | closed | |
| Wings Over Charlotte - Steele Creek | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 13000 S Tryon St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 3 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 19 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 25 | 24 | 7 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 29 | 28 | 10 | 13 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 34 | 32 | 9 | 15 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 35 | 32 | 11 | 15 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 34 | 29 | 13 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 35 | 32 | 11 | 17 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 41 | 37 | 11 | 18 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |
Nearby markets (within 5 miles)
| ZCTA | Distance | Restaurants | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28273 | 3.5 mi | 122 | 2023 |