BMIE Market 28411

New Hanover County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	37,233 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,629 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	15,924 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±664 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	31,962 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	14,105 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$97,387 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,272 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,778 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±84 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$396,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,920 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	41.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	53 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28411
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+1.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+71.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+179.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+5,200.0% DERIVED: 1997 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	69 (range 62–76) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +2.4 per year, r² 0.86) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	88 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	74 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28411. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +2.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.86, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	87.6	88	40%	+35.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79.1	79	35%	+27.7
Market Momentum Score	73.7	74	25%	+18.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	37,233	93	40%	+37.1
Median household income (ACS)	97,387	79	40%	+31.7
Households (ACS)	15,924	94	20%	+18.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	71.0	88	35%	+30.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.2	56	25%	+13.9
Population (ACS)	37,233	93	20%	+18.5
Median household income (ACS)	97,387	79	20%	+15.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	1.9	58	50%	+29.2
10-year restaurant growth	71.0	88	30%	+26.4
20-year restaurant growth	179.0	90	20%	+18.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (117)

By cuisine

American 21 · Pizza 14 · Coffee 13 · Mexican 12 · Asian 11 · Bakery 8 · Japanese 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Burgers 6 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 6 · Latin American (other) 6 · Chinese 5 · Dessert 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Juice / smoothies 5 · Chicken / wings 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Italian 4 · Seafood 4 · Sushi 4 · Breakfast 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Vietnamese 3 · BBQ 2 · Mediterranean 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Indian 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 62 · Bar 22 · Quick service 21 · Casual dining 12 · Café 11 · Dessert 10 · Bakery 9 · Coffee shop 9 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Specialty food shop 3 · Other 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Amanecer Cocina & Café - Gordon Amanecer Cocina at Shipyard Blvd.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Mexican · American	6815 Gordon Rd	open
Argos USA	Quick service		8871 Sidbury Rd	open
Avanti Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	7134 Market St #8	open
Beach House Bar Llc	Casual dining · Bar		7219 Market St	open
Blue Point Hoa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese	8215 Beddoes Dr	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	7155 Market Street	open
BPCO	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · Italian	6932 Market St	open
Breakthrough Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	7213 Market St	open
Brewha	Bar		7946 Market St #500	open
Broomtail Pub & Arcade	Bar		7211 Market St	open
Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings	Bar · Casual dining	American	140 Hays Lane #B15	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	7200 Market St	open
Burrito Shak Burrito Shak - Lake Havasu City, AZ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	188 Porters Neck Rd	open
Cape Fear Seafood Company Cape Fear Seafood Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	140 Hays Ln Unit 140	open
Carolina Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	7211 Ogden Business Ln	open
Casa Blanca Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	7409 Market St	open
Cast Iron Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · Breakfast · American	8024 Market St	open
Celtic Creamery Porters Neck Celtic Creamery	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Ice cream / frozen desserts · British / Irish pub food	8209 Market St	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	195 Porters Neck Rd	open
China One China One	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	8207 Market St	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	7964 Market St	open
Coastal Bagels	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Pizza · Bakery · Sandwiches	6756 Gordon Rd	open
Cornelia's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	980 Roundhouse Cir	open
Cult-De-Sac Tavern	Bar		7411 Haven Way	open
Diamonds Grille and Billiards	Bar · Casual dining		7326 Market St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	7208 Market Street	open
Double Happiness Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	7122 Market St	open
Drift Cafe Porters Neck	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	188 Porters Neck Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	130 Hays Lane	open
El Arriero Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	6932 Market St	open
Elijahs Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	7627 Market St	open
Empire Deli and Bagel	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Bakery	Sandwiches · Bakery	7419 Market St	open
Fermental Beer & Wine	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7250B Market St	open
Fire Bowl	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Japanese	7134 Market St #1	open
Freya's Haus	Bar · Café	Coffee	55 Scotts Hill Loop Rd	open
Greenline Pizza and Steak	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American · Sandwiches	7134 Market St	open
Grumpy Grandpa's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	101 Scotts Hill Loop Rd	open
Grumpy's Soft Serve at The Bend	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	7227 Market St A	open
Guelaguetza Oaxaca	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	7316 Market St	open
Habachi To Go	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert · Asian · Japanese	7028 Market St	open
Hungry Heroes	Other	Sandwiches	8024 Market St	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8312 Market Street	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7650 Market St	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4601 Gordon Rd	open
Indian Wells, Wilmington, North Carolina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian		open
Islands Fresh Mex Grill - Ogden Islands Fresh Mex Grill	Bar	Mexican · American	7032 Market St	open
Italian Bistro Italian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	8211 Market St	open
J Michael's Philly Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	8232 Market St	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	8207 Market Street Suite C	open
K38 Baja Grill K-38 Baja Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	8211 Market St	open
Kornerstone Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Mediterranean	8262 Market St #101	open
La Costa Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	8024 Market St	open
La Espiga De Oro	Bakery	Bakery	7316 Market St	open
La Guera Authentic Mexican	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	6620 Gordon Rd	open
La Kumbala	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	7213 Market St	open
Liberty Tavern	Bar		7976 Market St	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7028 Market St	open
Lucky Joe Craft Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	6620 Gordon Rd Ste J	open
Mandi's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	7042 Market St	open
Marc's on Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7213 Market St	open
Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6756 Gordon Rd Ste 170	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	6860 Market St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	108 Hays Lane	open
MeMa's Chick'n' and Ribs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	8232 Market St	open
Middle Sound Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	7227 Market St	open
Moes Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex	7122 Market St	open
Morgans Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	7150 Market St Ste 100	open
Nori on Market st in Porters Neck	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	7972 Market St #330	open
Ogden Tap Room	Casual dining · Bar		7324 Market St	open
Outer Dunes Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		7976 Market St	open
Panda Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	7316 Market St	open
Papa John's Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7419 Market St	open
Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls	130 Hays Ln Ste 120	open
Pho 68	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	7134 Market St	open
Pho Vanhly Noodle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	208 Porters Neck Rd #120	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7116 Market St	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Quick service		8312 Market Street	open
Point Break Nc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7134 Market St Ste 7	open
Port City Java Port City Java	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	8211 Market St	open
Pour Fella's Pub	Bar		7211 Market St	open
Power Bowls at the Village	Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	7968 Market St	open
Pts Grille Porters Neck P.T.'s Olde Fashioned Grille	Casual dining · Bar	American	8116 Market St	open
Queen Esther Teas	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	101 Scotts Hill Loop Rd	open
Sabor Hispano 2 Sabor Hispano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	6932 Market St	open
Si Señor Modern Mex	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	140 Hays Ln	open
Slice of Life Slice of Life	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	155 Porters Neck Rd	open
Smithfield's Chicken 'N Bar-B-Q Smithfield's Chicken 'N Bar-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	7300 Market St	open
Smoothie King Smoothie King	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	7150 Market Street Suite 150	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	7201 Market St	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Bakery · Asian	8260 Market St	open
STAX Ice Cream Kitchen	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	8262 Market St #103	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	8035 Market St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	7208 Market St	open
Szechuan Buffet	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	6932 Market St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	116 Hays Lane	open
Temptations Everyday Gourmet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	8207 Market St Ste F	open
The Beermuda Triangle	Bar			open
The Donut Inn	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	208 Porters Neck Rd #110	open
The Drunken Squirrel Tiki Bar	Bar		1200 Amesbury Ct	open
The Fuzzy Peach	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	8254 Market St	open
The Greeks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	7150 Market St	open
The Ice-Man’s Italian ice	Dessert	Dessert	8528 Market St	open
The Sailfish at Marsh Creek Marine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	2570 Scotts Hill Loop Rd	open
The Sweet Shoppe	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	134 Beawood Rd #9104	open
The Xtra Mile	Bar · Casual dining		7219 Market St	open
Tidewater Oyster Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	8211 Market St Unit DD	open
Tinyz Tavern Gordon Road	Bar		6756 Gordon Rd	open
Tnj Of Porters Neck Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7980 Market St	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	130 Hays Lane	open
Two Guys Grille Two Guys Grille Porters Neck	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	8254 Market St	open
Umaii Thai Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Sushi · Japanese · Asian	8209 Market St	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	6936 Market St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	8215 Market St	open
Yaya's Bowl Ramen & Dumpling Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Japanese	7316 Market St	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	6811 Gordon Rd	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	7144 Market St	open
Jones' Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7201 Market St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1997	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	15	14	8	4	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	14	14	8	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	16	15	9	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	18	16	10	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	20	19	10	7	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	21	19	7	7	4	—	NAICS2002
2004	28	25	13	8	4	1	NAICS2002
2005	25	22	13	6	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	24	22	12	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	29	28	17	8	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	33	30	17	10	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	37	34	19	13	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	39	36	20	14	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	39	35	17	15	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	38	35	14	17	3	1	NAICS2012
2013	36	31	13	15	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	37	33	12	18	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	43	36	12	19	4	3	NAICS2012
2016	45	40	15	20	4	2	NAICS2012
2017	50	45	19	20	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	57	52	26	20	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	57	50	25	18	6	3	NAICS2017
2020	59	53	24	23	5	3	NAICS2017
2021	59	53	23	23	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	57	52	21	23	7	—	NAICS2022
2023	60	53	20	23	9	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 28411. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.