BMIE Market 28428

New Hanover County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,136 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±157 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,246 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±332 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,033 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,941 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$93,241 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,905 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	53.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,505 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±378 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$572,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±51,410 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	5.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	60 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28428
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	54.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+5.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+57.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+130.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+233.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	68 (range 61–75) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.7 per year, r² 0.75) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	74 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28428. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.75, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.4	70	40%	+28.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.7	60	35%	+20.9
Market Momentum Score	74.0	74	25%	+18.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,136	66	40%	+26.3
Median household income (ACS)	93,241	76	40%	+30.5
Households (ACS)	3,246	68	20%	+13.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	57.9	86	35%	+30.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	84.1	5	25%	+1.3
Population (ACS)	7,136	66	20%	+13.2
Median household income (ACS)	93,241	76	20%	+15.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	5.3	62	50%	+30.8
10-year restaurant growth	57.9	86	30%	+25.7
20-year restaurant growth	130.8	87	20%	+17.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (128)

By cuisine

American 25 · Dessert 17 · Seafood 15 · Coffee 13 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 11 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 8 · Pizza 7 · Bakery 6 · Mexican 5 · Breakfast 4 · Italian 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 3 · Burgers 3 · Hot dogs 3 · BBQ 2 · British / Irish pub food 2 · Caribbean 2 · Japanese 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Sushi 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Cuban 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 61 · Bar 43 · Casual dining 22 · Dessert 19 · Café 11 · Coffee shop 10 · Quick service 8 · Bakery 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A & G Barbecue & Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	800 S Lake Park Blvd	open
A+ Smoothie Bubble Tea	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Tea / bubble tea	245 N Lake Park Blvd	open
American Legion Post 129 Carolina Beach NC	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1500 Bridge Barrier Rd	open
Beach Break Donuts \| Açaí Bowls & Coffee	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1009 N Lake Park Blvd C3	open
Beach Bumz	Bar		107 N Carolina Beach Ave	open
Beach Bunny Ice Cream & Coffee	Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	12 Carolina Beach Ave N	open
Bella Vita CB	Bar	Italian · Pizza	1012 Lake Park Blvd S	open
Benny Pazerelli's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	11 Boardwalk Unit 130	open
Blackburn Brothers Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	440 N Lake Park Blvd	open
Blackhawks Tavern & Tiki	Bar		1506 Snapper Ln	open
Bojangles Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1341 N. Lake Park Blvd	open
Britt's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	311 Florida Ave	open
Britts Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	13 Carolina Beach Ave N	open
Brunches Carolina Beach Brunches - Wilmington, NC	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Breakfast · Coffee	300 N Lake Park Blvd	open
Butts n Such	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	802 Lake Park Blvd S	open
Buzz's Roost	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	8 Pavilion Ave S	open
Cape Fear Boil Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1140 N Lake Park Blvd	open
Carolina Beach Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		102 Cape Fear Blvd	open
Carolina Beach Pier	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1800 Carolina Beach Ave N	open
Celtic Creamery Celtic Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · British / Irish pub food	201 Lake Park Blvd N	open
Cherry Blossom Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	8 Pavilion Ave S #7	open
Coastal South Hospitality Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		604 Lake Park Blvd N Unit B	open
Crush and Grind	Coffee shop · Café · Bar	Coffee	7 Harper Ave	open
Deck House	Casual dining · Bar		205 Charlotte Ave	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	400 N. Lake Park Blvd.	open
Donat Restaurants Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Lake Park Blvd N	open
Drift Cafe Carolina Beach	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1000 N Lake Park Blvd Suite 191	open
dude...Sweet!	Dessert		100 N Lake Park Blvd	open
El Zarape	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	101 Lake Park Blvd S	open
Fins Island Buffet & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	300 Lake Park Blvd N	open
Flaming Amy's Burrito Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	718 Lake Park Blvd N	open
Fork N Cork	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	102 Cape Fear Blvd	open
Frank's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8 Carolina Beach Avenue North	open
Fun Time Ice Cream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1114 Lake Park Blvd S	open
Gao Family Foods Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6 Lake Park Blvd S	open
Gibby's Dock And Dine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	315 Canal Dr	open
Good Hops Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		811 Harper Ave	open
Granny's Country Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1310 Lake Park Blvd S	open
Gulfstream Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	78 Myrtle Ave	open
Hang Ten Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	308 Lake Park Blvd S	open
Havana's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cuban · Caribbean	1 N Lake Park Blvd	open
High Tide Lounge & Tiki Bar	Casual dining · Bar		1800 Carolina Beach Ave N	open
Hooks hotdogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · American	4 Harper Ave	open
Hoplite Pub and Beer Garden	Bar	British / Irish pub food	720 Lake Park Blvd N	open
How Far to the Bar	Bar · Brewery / taproom		1323 Bridge Barrier Rd	open
Hurricane Alley's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		5 Boardwalk	open
Ida Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	306 Lake Park Blvd N	open
Island Bagels	Bakery	Bakery	1328 Lake Park Blvd N	open
Island Beverage	Bar		1206 N Lake Park Blvd	open
Island Burgers & Bites	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	254 N Lake Park Blvd	open
Island Ice Factory	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	108 Carolina Beach Ave N	open
Island Java	Coffee shop	Coffee	1328 Lake Park Blvd N	open
Island Roast Coffee	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	915 Lake Park Blvd N	open
Island Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	111 Carl Winner Dr	open
Jazzy boy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1 Harper Ave	open
Jenny and Frank's Artisan Gelato	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	300 Harper Ave	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	910 N Lake Park Blvd.	open
K38 Baja Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1000 N Lake Park Blvd Ste 101	open
Kate's Pancake House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	102 Lake Park Blvd S	open
Krazy Kones	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2 N Carolina Beach Ave	open
Lake Park Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	12 Lake Park Blvd S	open
Latella at the Beach	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	11 Boardwalk	open
Latella Gelato	Dessert	Dessert	11 Boardwalk	open
Lazy Pirate	Restaurant (service type not stated)		101 S Carolina Beach Ave	open
Lazy Pirate Island Sports Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	701 N Lake Park Blvd	open
Leaping Lizards Tiki Bar	Bar		1 Harper Ave	open
Loretta's Surf Side	Bar · Casual dining		9 Cape Fear Blvd	open
Majik Beanz Espresso	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	10 Lake Park Blvd S	open
Malama Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	108 Cape Fear Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	220 Lake Park Blvd	open
Michael's Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	1206 N Lake Park Blvd A	open
Michaelangelos Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	9 Lake Park Blvd S	open
Mike and Benny's Gelato	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	9 Lake Park Blvd S A3	open
Nauti Dog	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	5 Cape Fear Blvd	open
Neapolitan Wine Bar & Tasting Room	Bar		800 St Joseph St	open
Nikki's Gourmet and Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	6 Lake Park Blvd S	open
Nollie's Taco Joint	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3 Pelican Ln	open
North End Mini Mart	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	901 Carolina Beach Ave N	open
Ocean Grill & Tiki Bar	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	1211 Lake Park Blvd S	open
Paradise Island	Restaurant (service type not stated)		107 S Carolina Ave	open
Pleasure Island Tavern	Bar		8 Pavilion Ave	open
Pop's Diner	Casual dining	American	104 Lake Park Blvd N	open
Pop's Diner	Casual dining	American	109 Lake Park Blvd N	open
Riko’s Pizza of Carolina Beach Riko's Pizza Carolina Beach	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1000 N Lake Park Blvd	open
Rock Bottom Bar	Bar · Casual dining		Wilmington NC, 1810 Canal Dr	open
Rutt's Cinnamon Rolls	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	105 Carolina Beach Ave N	open
Sadie's Carolina Beach, NC	Quick service	Sandwiches	3 Pelican Ln	open
Salt Fish Restaurant and Tiki Bar	Bar	Seafood	718 N Lake Park Blvd	open
Salty's Restaurant and Pub	Bar · Casual dining	American	11 Boardwalk #140	open
Sandpiper Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)		716 Lake Park Blvd N	open
Sands at the Beach	Bar		8 Pavilion Ave S	open
Sea Bee Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	11 Boardwalk	open
Sea Lounge	Bar		6 Lake Park Blvd S	open
Seaside Grill	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	100 Charlotte Ave	open
Seaside Hospitality	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1006 Lake Park Blvd S	open
Seaworthy Kitchen & Bar	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	604 N Lake Park Blvd	open
Shag Bar	Bar		7 Harper Ave	open
Shagri-la Island Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		604 Lake Park Blvd N	open
Shuckin' Shack Shuckin' Shack Oyster Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	6 Lake Park Blvd N	open
Silver Dollar	Bar · Casual dining		3 Cape Fear Blvd	open
Sonnys at the Beach	Bar	American	105 Ocean Blvd	open
Soulflavor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	716 N Lake Park Blvd	open
Squigley's Ice Cream & Treats	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	208 Lake Park Blvd S	open
Stoked Restaurant	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	313 Canal Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	700 N Lake Park Blvd	open
Sunny Daze Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	9 Pavilion Ave S	open
SURFHOUSE Cafe & Shop	Café	American · Seafood · Coffee	604 Lake Park Blvd N	open
Sweet Life Candy Shop	Dessert	Dessert	13 Carolina Beach Ave N	open
The Bistro - Eat. Drink. Connect.®	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Cajun, Creole, Southern	100 Charlotte Ave	open
The Bowman Group Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		911 Lake Park Blvd N	open
The Crows Nest	Bar	American	7 Harper Ave	open
The Dive Food and Spirits	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		6 Lake Park Blvd N	open
The Fat Pelican	Bar		8 Lake Park Blvd S	open
The Fuzzy Peach	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	103 Lake Park Blvd N	open
The Goody Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	6B Harper Ave	open
The Last Resort	Bar		600 N Lake Park Blvd	open
The Peach Cobbler Factory Carolina Beach Peach Cobbler Factory	Dessert · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Dessert · Coffee · Vegetarian · Juice / smoothies	1010 Lake Park Blvd S	open
The Sandspur	Casual dining · Bar	American	103 Lake Park Blvd S	open
The Southerly Biscuit and Pie	Bakery	Bakery · Cajun, Creole, Southern · Breakfast	1206 N Lake Park Blvd #D	open
The Spot Bar & Kitchen	Casual dining · Bar	American	1006 Lake Park Blvd S	open
The Tropical CB	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Caribbean	2 N Carolina Beach Ave	open
The Uncharted Coffee Co	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	78 N 5th St	open
The Vault CB	Bar · Coffee shop	Coffee	612 Lake Park Blvd N	open
Top Wok Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1401 Lake Park Blvd N	open
Tucker at four hounds	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		1202 Lake Park Blvd N	open
Uncle Vinny's Pizzeria & Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1012 Lake Park Blvd S	open
Wake N Bake Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	1401 N Lake Park Blvd #46	open
Flower & Flour	Bakery	Bakery	1018 Lake Park Blvd N	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	25	18	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1995	21	16	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	21	18	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	34	28	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1998	36	31	20	8	3	5	NAICS1997
1999	34	30	20	8	2	4	NAICS1997
2000	30	25	15	8	2	5	NAICS1997
2001	32	27	17	8	2	3	NAICS1997
2002	32	28	18	7	3	4	NAICS1997
2003	28	26	17	7	2	2	NAICS2002
2004	31	27	17	7	3	3	NAICS2002
2005	26	24	14	7	3	2	NAICS2002
2006	31	27	14	11	2	3	NAICS2002
2007	30	25	15	8	2	2	NAICS2002
2008	31	28	18	8	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	35	33	20	10	3	2	NAICS2007
2010	36	33	18	10	5	2	NAICS2007
2011	36	34	18	12	4	2	NAICS2007
2012	39	37	20	12	5	2	NAICS2012
2013	41	38	21	12	5	3	NAICS2012
2014	48	45	25	14	6	3	NAICS2012
2015	52	48	27	16	5	4	NAICS2012
2016	52	47	25	16	6	5	NAICS2012
2017	58	54	31	16	7	4	NAICS2017
2018	61	57	33	15	9	4	NAICS2017
2019	54	50	27	17	6	4	NAICS2017
2020	54	50	26	17	7	4	NAICS2017
2021	63	57	28	21	8	6	NAICS2017
2022	63	58	32	20	6	4	NAICS2022
2023	65	60	35	19	6	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 28428. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
28449	5.0 mi	10	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.