BMIE Market 28445

Onslow County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,797 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,027 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,625 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±429 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,676 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,463 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$84,016 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,228 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,151 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±550 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$386,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±47,506 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	103.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	59 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28445
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	47.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+31.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+84.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+110.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+118.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	67 (range 60–75) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +2.4 per year, r² 0.83) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	86 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28445. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +2.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.83, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.2	70	40%	+28.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61.2	61	35%	+21.4
Market Momentum Score	85.7	86	25%	+21.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,797	72	40%	+28.8
Median household income (ACS)	84,016	67	40%	+26.8
Households (ACS)	4,625	73	20%	+14.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	84.4	89	35%	+31.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	54.6	9	25%	+2.1
Population (ACS)	10,797	72	20%	+14.4
Median household income (ACS)	84,016	67	20%	+13.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	31.1	84	50%	+41.8
10-year restaurant growth	84.4	89	30%	+26.8
20-year restaurant growth	110.7	85	20%	+17.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (136)

By cuisine

American 27 · Coffee 19 · Seafood 16 · Dessert 10 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 8 · Pizza 8 · Bakery 5 · Burgers 5 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 5 · Italian 5 · BBQ 4 · Breakfast 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Mexican 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Tea / bubble tea 3 · Asian 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Hawaiian / Pacific 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Greek 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 71 · Bar 40 · Casual dining 29 · Coffee shop 15 · Dessert 15 · Café 14 · Quick service 10 · Bakery 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 7 · Brewery / taproom 4 · Food truck 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Buffet 1 · Fast casual 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Adams Oyster House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	631 Tar Landing Rd	open
Baba”s Mediterranean Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	104 Charlie Medlin Dr	open
Bahama Mama's Hawaiian Shaved Ice and Mini Donuts	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	116B S Shore Dr	open
Batson's Galley	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	14260 NC Highway 50	open
Beach Bunny Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	501 Roland Ave	open
Beach Dog, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		806 Roland Ave	open
Beach Shop & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	701 S Anderson Blvd	open
Beachin Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	14061 NC Highway 50	open
Beauchaines 211	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		211 S Topsail Dr	open
Berserkr BBQ	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		13567 NC Highway 50 Ste D # 2241	open
Blackwelder Tank Service	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8981 Wilmington Hwy	open
Bojangles Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	840 NC Highway 210	open
Bojangles	Restaurant (service type not stated)		840 Hwy 210	open
Breezeway Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	634 Channel Blvd	open
Buddy's Crab House & Oyster Bar	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	101 Roland Ave	open
Camino Real Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	13460 NC-50	open
Captain Mike's Tavern & Beer Garden	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		518 Roland Ave A	open
Celtic Creamery Surf City Celtic Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	204 N New River Dr	open
Chug & Grub	Casual dining · Bar		13500 NC-50 #107	open
City Cafe	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	204 US-17	open
Coastal Blends Of Holly Ridge	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1061 E Ocean Rd	open
Coastal Wing & Spirits Co. Surf City	Casual dining · Bar		108 Triton Ln	open
Coconut Cove	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		418 Roland Ave	open
Coras Isle-End Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	712 S Anderson Blvd	open
Cowfin Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	13500 NC-50	open
Daddy Mac's Beach Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	108 N Shore Dr	open
Dale's Pub	Bar		775 E Ocean Rd	open
Daybreak Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	303 S Topsail Dr	open
Dirty South Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		718 S Anderson Blvd	open
Diver Surfside Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	809 Roland Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	2770 NC Highway 210 E Suite 101	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service		2770 NC Highway 210 E	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	400 US Highway 17 N	open
Fancy Sushi Asian Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	124 N New River Dr	open
Fishmonger's Honest Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	756 E Ocean Rd	open
Four Cousins Ice Cream	Specialty food shop · Dessert · Quick service · Casual dining · Bar	Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · BBQ	718 S Anderson Blvd	open
Fusion Blue Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Asian · American	325 Sound Rd	open
Fuzzy Peach Surf City	Coffee shop	Coffee	13500 Highway 50 Suite 108	open
Gilligans	Bar	American	14085 NC-50	open
Godfather's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2700 Nc-210	open
Godfather's Pizza Express Godfather's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2700 NC-210	open
Greatest Adventure, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		106C N New River Dr	open
Hardee’s	Quick service		418 Roland Ave	open
Hidden Ships Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		116 Charlie Medlin Dr	open
High Waters Bar And Grill	Bar · Casual dining	Seafood	614 N New River Dr	open
Highway 55 Burgers Shakes and Fries Hwy 55 Burgers Shakes & Fries	Casual dining	Burgers · American	N New River Dr	open
Homeport Restaurant and Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	718 S Anderson Blvd	open
Hopsail Island	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2660 Highway 210 Ste 105	open
Hot Diggity Dogz	Quick service · Casual dining	Hot dogs · American	103 S Shore Dr	open
Hulas Bar and grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2107 N New River Dr	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	727 E Ocean Hwy	open
Hwy 55 Burgers, Shakes & Fries	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	106 C. New River Drive	open
Indigo Marsh	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	602 Roland Ave	open
Island Delights	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	American · Ice cream / frozen desserts	316 N New River Dr	open
Java Estate Roastery	Coffee shop	Coffee	118 Commercial Ln	open
JM's Place Pub	Bar		522 N New River Dr	open
JM’s On The Water	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	602 Roland Ave	open
Jordan's Catering, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13741 Nc Highway 50 Ste E	open
Kelly's Adventures Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		508 Roland Ave	open
Lewis Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	822 Carolina Blvd	open
Low Tide Steak House and SandBar	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	13741 NC-50	open
Maine Lobstah Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	411 Roland Ave	open
Mainsail Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	404 Roland Ave	open
Margaritas Mexican Grill & Cantina	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	204 N New River Dr	open
Margherita Pizza Co	Bar	Pizza · Italian	112 Charlie Medlin Dr	open
Marina Joes	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	209 N New River Dr	open
Max's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	602 Roland Ave A	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	13481 Nc Hwy 50	open
Michaelangelo's Michaelangelo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	13460 NC-50 #102	open
Money Train Internet Cafe	Café	Coffee	8981 Wilmington Hwy	open
Nate’s Country Buffet	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)		511 US Highway 17 N	open
Nautical Bowls Nautical Bowls	Juice, smoothie, tea · Fast casual	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	116 Charlie Medlin Dr Ste E	open
New York Corner Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Breakfast	206 N Topsail Dr	open
North Shore Juice	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	103 N Shore Dr	open
Ohana Wine Bar Topsail Beach	Bar		714 S Anderson Blvd	open
Open Flame Food Truck	Food truck	Hawaiian / Pacific	214 US Highway 17 N	open
Pair & Ale. NC Beer, Wine & Food	Coffee shop · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Brewery / taproom · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	206 N Topsail Dr	open
Pelican's SnoBalls of Surf City Pelican's SnoBalls- Jax Beach	Dessert	Dessert	204 N New River Dr	open
Quartermaster's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	13741 NC Highway 50	open
Revival Surf City	Bar · Casual dining		2111 N New River Dr	open
Salty Turtle Beer Company Salty Turtle Beer Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		103 Triton Ln	open
Salty's Surf Shack Salty Turtle Beer Company	Bar		102 N Shore Dr	open
Sandpiper Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		624 E Ocean Rd	open
Santorini Greek & Italian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Mediterranean · Greek	205 S Topsail Dr	open
Scallywags	Bar		121 N Shore Dr	open
Scoops Microcreamery at Topsail Beach	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	714 S Anderson Blvd	open
SCP Grill & Ice Cream	Dessert · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Cajun, Creole, Southern · Burgers	112 S Shore Dr	open
Sea Blue Coffee & Ice Cream	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts	116C S Shore Dr	open
Sears Landing	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	806 Roland Ave	open
Shaka Taco Surf City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	107 N Shore Dr	open
Shuckin' Shack Oyster Bar Shuckin' Shack Oyster Bar - Greenville SC	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	13460 NC-50	open
Smoky Tony's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	511 N US 17	open
Southern Roots Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	552 E Ocean Rd	open
Sparaco's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	13460 NC Highway 50	open
Subs Up To-Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	116 S Shore Dr	open
Sugar Kingdom	Dessert		125 N Topsail Dr	open
Sundial Coffee & Tea	Coffee shop	Coffee	1061 E Ocean Hwy	open
Sundial Coffee and Tea	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	104 Charlie Medlin Dr	open
Sunrise Bagel Co	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast	303 S Topsail Dr Unit B	open
Surf City Barbeque and Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	13500 NC-50	open
Surf City BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	204 N New River Dr	open
Surf City Chinese Sushi Bar Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		124 N New River Dr	open
Surf City Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	205 Roland Ave	open
Surf City Line	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2112 N New River Dr	open
Surf City Smash	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	100 Charlie Medlin Dr	open
Surfbreak Nutrition	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	214 N Topsail Dr	open
SurfDog Bites and Brews	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	204 N New River Dr A	open
Surfin Hot Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	104 Charlie Medlin Dr Unit D	open
Sweet Alicious	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	14260 NC-50	open
Sweet Island	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	American · Coffee	306 Roland Ave	open
Swingbridge Cork & Brew	Brewery / taproom		106 N New River Dr Unit D	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	97 Village Dr	open
Thai Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	13500 NC Highway 50 #107	open
The Bistro At Topsail	Casual dining		602 Roland Ave	open
The Board Room Bar & Grill - Surf City, NC	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13975 NC Highway 50	open
The Corner Sweet	Bakery	Bakery	404 Roland Ave	open
The Crafthouse Charcuterie & Bar	Casual dining · Bar		112 Charlie Medlin Dr	open
The Daily Grind Surf City	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	114 N Topsail Dr	open
The Fast Fish	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Seafood · Healthy / salads / bowls	205 Roland Ave	open
The Galley Food Truck	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Food truck	Juice / smoothies	121 N Shore Dr	open
The Patio at the Surf	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		104 Charlie Medlin Dr Unit G	open
The Peak Taphouse and Kitchen	Casual dining · Bar		205 Roland Ave	open
The Ridge Coffee House NC	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1061 E Ocean Hwy	open
The Ridge Coffee House Nc	Coffee shop	Coffee	127 Sound Rd	open
The Sea Witch Lounge	Bar		13775 NC-50	open
The Trailer Bar	Bar		1701 N New River Dr	open
Tiki Turtle's Boba Teas and Drinks	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	13500 NC-50 STE 108	open
Topsail Island Popcorn	Dessert		208 N New River Dr Suit B	open
Topsail Steamer Topsail Steamer	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	303 S Topsail Dr	open
unWINEd Wine Bar and Beer	Bar		114 N Topsail Dr	open
Whiskey Fish	Bar		112 Charlie Medlin Dr	open
White Crab Coffee and Books	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	708 S Anderson Blvd	open
Wildfire Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	614 N New River Dr Unit F	open
Crabby Mike's Bar And Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		121 S Topsail Dr	closed
Mother's Caribbean Taste	Restaurant (service type not stated)		325 Sound Rd	closed
The Second Row	Bar		121 North Shore Drive	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	30	27	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	22	20	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	24	21	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	28	26	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	31	28	15	10	3	2	NAICS1997
1999	23	19	10	9	—	3	NAICS1997
2000	23	19	10	8	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	24	18	9	8	1	4	NAICS1997
2002	27	22	11	10	—	4	NAICS1997
2003	33	28	15	12	—	4	NAICS2002
2004	32	28	13	12	2	4	NAICS2002
2005	31	25	12	10	1	6	NAICS2002
2006	29	23	11	10	1	6	NAICS2002
2007	37	31	17	10	2	6	NAICS2002
2008	33	26	13	11	1	7	NAICS2007
2009	32	27	15	10	1	5	NAICS2007
2010	32	27	15	9	2	5	NAICS2007
2011	33	28	17	9	1	5	NAICS2007
2012	39	34	22	9	2	5	NAICS2012
2013	37	32	20	10	2	5	NAICS2012
2014	36	31	20	10	1	5	NAICS2012
2015	45	39	25	10	3	5	NAICS2012
2016	42	36	22	9	5	5	NAICS2012
2017	53	47	23	13	11	5	NAICS2017
2018	51	45	24	12	9	6	NAICS2017
2019	48	40	18	14	8	6	NAICS2017
2020	53	44	22	14	8	6	NAICS2017
2021	56	48	23	14	11	6	NAICS2017
2022	61	54	26	14	14	6	NAICS2022
2023	70	59	29	17	13	9	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 28445. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.