BMIE Market 28460

Onslow County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,532 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,491 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,121 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±621 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,652 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,112 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$88,908 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,768 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	32.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,674 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±92 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$343,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,179 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	27.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	34 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28460
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	31.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+36.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+79.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+142.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+240.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	40 (range 37–43) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.4 per year, r² 0.92) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	88 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28460. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.92, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	74.4	74	40%	+29.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67.2	67	35%	+23.5
Market Momentum Score	87.5	88	25%	+21.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,532	75	40%	+30.0
Median household income (ACS)	88,908	72	40%	+28.9
Households (ACS)	6,121	77	20%	+15.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	79.0	89	35%	+31.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	25.1	26	25%	+6.6
Population (ACS)	13,532	75	20%	+15.0
Median household income (ACS)	88,908	72	20%	+14.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	36	86	50%	+43.2
10-year restaurant growth	79.0	89	30%	+26.7
20-year restaurant growth	142.9	88	20%	+17.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (78)

By cuisine

Coffee 10 · Pizza 10 · American 9 · Burgers 7 · Seafood 7 · Dessert 5 · Mexican 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Asian 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Breakfast 3 · Italian 3 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Chinese 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Sushi 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 41 · Bar 19 · Quick service 13 · Café 10 · Casual dining 8 · Coffee shop 6 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 3 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Buffet 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aarrr Pirate Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2000 New River Inlet Rd Bldg 1	open
Agave Azul Modern Mex & Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1269 NC-210	open
All Rolled Up	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Breakfast	2024 NC-172 B	open
Bada Bing Original Italian Ice & Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	465 New River Inlet Rd	open
Baked Pizza Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	100 Dunn Rd	open
Bar Lund	Bar		124 BEASTMODE LANE	open
Beach Bum's Pizza Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4021 Island Dr	open
Biggby Coffee Biggby Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	800 State Hwy 210	open
Blue Jay Play Cafe	Café	Coffee	1234 NC-210	open
Bombshell Coffee	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	2121 NC-172	open
Breakwater Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1056 NC-210	open
Burrito Shak Burrito Shak - Lake Havasu City, AZ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1064 NC-210	open
Cafe Frutta Fresca Gelato	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	322 Sneads Ferry Rd	open
CANCUN Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1092 NC Highway 210	open
Carolina Brewery Trail	Brewery / taproom		514 Petes Way	open
Chaiyo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Sushi · Japanese · Asian	1198 N Sneads Ferry Rd	open
Christopher's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1084 NC Highway 210	open
Coffee Haven	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	113 Silver Sands Dr	open
Coffee Joy	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2000 New River Inlet Rd Building 2	open
Daddy Mac's Beach Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	108 N Shore Dr	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	110 Robert Snead Pkwy	open
Denoia's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1038 NC-210	open
Denoia's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1038 Nc-210	open
Denoias Pizzeria	Quick service	Pizza		open
Dirty Pelican Bar	Bar		306 Waterway Dr	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	975 Highway 210	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	965 Old Folkstone Rd	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	1974 NC Highway 172	open
Em'R Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1016 Old Folkstone Rd	open
Fat Burgers	Bar · Casual dining	American · Burgers	1044 NC-210	open
Gator Bay Restaurant and Saloon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	2004 NC Highway 172	open
Ginger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	1064 State Hwy 210	open
Golden China Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	965 Old Folkstone Rd	open
GrindHouse Records	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1314 NC-210	open
Harbor Site	Bar		hwy 172 and hwy 210 intersection	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	968 NC-210	open
Hardee’s	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	968 NC HWY 210	open
House of Breakfast	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	1084 NC Highway 210	open
Hwy 55 Burgers Shakes & Fries Hwy 55 Burgers Shakes & Fries	Casual dining	American · Burgers	979 NC-210	open
Inlet 790 Grill	Bar		790 New River Inlet Road	open
Island Time Food Service	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2950 Island Dr	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	1246 NC Hwy 210	open
Lo-re-Lei Pub and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1019 Old Folkstone Rd	open
Made In Venezuela	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Latin American (other)	Sneads Ferry Nc 28460 Not Fo	open
Madison's Prime Rib Steak & Seafood	Buffet	Seafood · Steakhouse	105 Sugar Ln	open
Mason-Dixon Hotdog Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · BBQ · American	1982 NC-172 suite g	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	930 NC Highway 210	open
Michaelangelos Pizza & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1961 Nc Highway 172 Ste 107	open
Minervini's New York Bagel Co	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	1016-212 Old Folkstone Rd	open
Miss Pho Vietnamese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	1961 NC-172 #110	open
Mitchell Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	235 Wheeler Creek Rd	open
Napoli Cafe (Sneads Ferry)	Café · Fast casual	Coffee · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	965 Old Folkstone Rd	open
Ocean's Edge Restaurant & Event Center	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2000 New River Inlet Rd	open
Outrigger 21	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	NC 172	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1283 State Hwy 210	open
Pelican's SnoBalls of Sneads Ferry Pelican's SnoBalls- Jax Beach	Dessert		2074 NC-172	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2021 NC-172	open
Pokemoto Pokémoto	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls	1314 NC-210 Unit 7	open
Red Pepper	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	977 NC-210	open
Rick's Restaurant & Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining	American	510 Petes Way	open
Riverview Cafe	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	119 Hall Point Rd	open
Salty Sistas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2004 NC Highway 172	open
Sea Star Cabana	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2000 New River Inlet Rd	open
Spiaggia Ristobar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	1068 NC-210	open
Splash by the Sea	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	790 New River Inlet Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	998 NC Highway 210	open
The Backyard Tavern	Bar		1940 NC-172	open
The Burger Den	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches · Mexican · Burgers	2020 Highway 172	open
The Last Mango, Italian Ice & Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	4021 Island Dr	open
The Post Bar & Lounge	Bar		1042 NC-210	open
The Salty Hawg Sneads Ferry	Bar		115 Sugar Ln	open
The Starlite Saloon	Bar		115 Sugar Ln	open
The Twisted Sisters Bake Shop	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast	255 Royal Tern Dr	open
Tiki Bar at North End Market	Bar		2183 New River Inlet Rd	open
Topsail Island Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		514 Petes Wy	open
Velvet Cocktail Lounge	Bar		1283 NC-210	open
Voodoo Brewing Co - Sneads Ferry, NC Voodoo Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1016 Old Folkstone Rd	open
The Crooked Lotus Craft Beer & Wine	Bar		1283 Nc Highway 210 Unit G	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	15	14	9	4	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	16	14	9	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	16	14	10	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	18	17	10	6	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	15	14	9	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	16	14	8	6	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	21	20	13	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	19	17	11	6	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	20	19	11	8	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	20	20	11	9	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	25	23	11	10	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	23	22	10	11	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	26	24	12	11	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	20	17	9	8	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	23	20	10	9	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	22	19	11	7	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	26	21	12	8	—	4	NAICS2012
2015	27	23	12	11	—	3	NAICS2012
2016	27	23	11	11	1	3	NAICS2012
2017	33	26	13	10	3	3	NAICS2017
2018	31	25	12	9	4	5	NAICS2017
2019	36	30	17	9	4	5	NAICS2017
2020	33	28	15	10	3	4	NAICS2017
2021	39	33	18	12	3	4	NAICS2017
2022	38	30	16	11	3	5	NAICS2022
2023	41	34	19	12	3	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 28460. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.