BMIE Market 28462

Brunswick County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,340 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,038 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,522 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±467 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,680 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,906 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$60,349 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,740 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	55.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$862 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±97 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$253,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,877 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	72.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	30 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28462
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+11.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+36.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+200.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	35 (range 32–38) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.79) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	72 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28462. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.79, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	56.7	57	40%	+22.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54.1	54	35%	+19.0
Market Momentum Score	71.8	72	25%	+17.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,340	74	40%	+29.5
Median household income (ACS)	60,349	30	40%	+12.0
Households (ACS)	5,522	76	20%	+15.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	36.4	75	35%	+26.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	24.3	28	25%	+7.0
Population (ACS)	12,340	74	20%	+14.8
Median household income (ACS)	60,349	30	20%	+6.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	11.1	69	50%	+34.5
10-year restaurant growth	36.4	75	30%	+22.6
20-year restaurant growth	66.7	73	20%	+14.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (63)

By cuisine

American 20 · Seafood 14 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 11 · Coffee 9 · Dessert 7 · Sandwiches 6 · Pizza 5 · Bakery 4 · Burgers 4 · BBQ 3 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 33 · Casual dining 13 · Bar 11 · Dessert 11 · Quick service 11 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 5 · Bakery 4 · Food truck 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Achieve Medical Weight Loss, P.c. -wilm	Restaurant (service type not stated)		20 Medical Campus Dr Nw Ste 203	open
Archibald's	Other	Sandwiches	2991 Holden Beach Rd SW	open
Aunt Irene's Sweets-n-treats, Llc.	Bakery	Bakery	3331 Holden Beach Rd SW	open
Beaches N Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3316 Holden Beach Rd SW	open
Beaches N Cream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2434 Stone Chimney Rd SW	open
Beacon One Seafood market	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	1 Fisherman Rd	open
Ben's Coastal BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	0u812 Countryside	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	11 Ocean Hwy E	open
Cafe Ahora	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	3369 Holden Beach Rd SW #4	open
Cappuccino By The Sea	Coffee shop	Coffee	3331 Holden Beach Rd SW	open
Captain Jack's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	109 Ocean Blvd W	open
Captain Pete's Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	103 Southshore Dr	open
Castaways Raw Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		112 Ocean Blvd W	open
Charlie Brown's Tavern	Bar		2511 Seashore Rd SW	open
Co•No•Mo	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American · Seafood	2633 Holden Beach Rd SW	open
Dairy Queen (Treat) Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	106 Southport Supply Rd	open
Dock House Seafood & More	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	103 S Shore Dr	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1096 5 Sabbath Home Rd	open
Fantasy Isle Ice Cream And Mini Golf Holden Beach NC	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3354 Holden Beach Rd SW	open
Fish Headz Fresh Market	Specialty food shop	Seafood	1305 Cedar Landing Rd SW	open
Flamingo Snowballs	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		3240 Holden Beach Rd SW	open
Great Wall Great Wall Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1096 Sabbath Home Rd SW	open
Greater Holden Beach Merchants Association	Restaurant (service type not stated)		102 Jordan Blvd	open
Haley's Ice Cream Store	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	477 Ocean Blvd W	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2791 Ocean View Ave S.W.	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5 Ocean Hwy E	open
High Rider Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	3 Fisherman Rd	open
Jersey Girls' Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Fast casual	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	2978 Holden Beach Rd SW	open
Katie's Homemade Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	20 Sellers Rd NW unit 2	open
Kofe Cup Truck	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Food truck	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	2991 Holden Beach Rd SW	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	106 Southport-Supply Rd SE	open
Lockwood Folly Marketplace	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	48 Stone Chimney Rd SE	open
Loulous Waterfront Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1045 B Var Rd SW	open
Main Street Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · BBQ · Seafood · American	3408 Holden Beach Rd SW	open
Mankins Causeway Cafe	Café	Coffee · Burgers · American	3397 Holden Beach Rd SW	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	40 Ocean Hwy W	open
Mermaids Island Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	102 Jordan Blvd	open
Oak and Anchor Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	19 Clubhouse Dr SW	open
Ocean Boulevard Coffee	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	132 Ocean Blvd W	open
Patronies Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	2625 Holden Beach Rd SW	open
Pelicans Perch East	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	413 Ocean Blvd W	open
Pepe's Pizza Frank Pepe Pizzeria Napoletana	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Pizza · American · Mexican · Italian · Coffee	3370 Stone Chimney Rd SW	open
Pirate's Cove Hideaway and Tiki Bar	Bar		2178 Bayside St SW	open
Provision Co	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	1343 Cedar Landing Rd SW	open
Provision Company Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	461 Kristen Ln SW	open
Rustic Crumb Company	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	3056 Holden Beach Rd SW	open
Sal Rubio	Casual dining · Bar		19 Clubhouse Dr SW	open
Saltwater Shanty	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1027 Sabbath Home Rd SW	open
Saltwater Shanty Homemade Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1027 Sabbath Home Rd SW	open
Sandcastles	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	109 Jordan Blvd #2069	open
Silver Hill Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	2049 Holden Beach Rd SW	open
Simply Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	BBQ	3240 Holden Beach Rd SW	open
Slick's Tiki Bar & Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		888 Mt Pisgah Rd SW	open
Sonja's Grill/El Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	15 Coastal Dr SW	open
Sorella Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Italian · Pizza	3219 Holden Beach Rd SW	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	3386 Holden Beach Rd SW	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	16 Ocean Hwy W	open
Surfers Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	1096 Sabbath Home Rd SW	open
Sweet Sensations	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	3237 Holden Beach Rd SW	open
The Hot Buffalo	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	3446 Holden Beach Rd SW	open
The Scoop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American · Breakfast	3425 Holden Beach Rd SW	open
The Seafood Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Seafood	3461 Holden Beach Rd SW	open
The Wharf at Holden Beach	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	1045 B-Var Rd SW	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	16	16	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	17	16	8	7	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	15	15	7	7	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	14	14	7	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	15	15	8	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	18	17	7	7	3	1	NAICS1997
2003	19	18	8	7	3	1	NAICS2002
2004	17	17	8	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	21	21	11	8	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	20	18	8	8	2	2	NAICS2002
2007	20	18	8	7	3	2	NAICS2002
2008	19	18	7	9	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	20	19	9	9	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	18	18	9	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	19	18	9	8	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	21	20	9	9	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	23	22	8	12	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	23	22	7	12	3	1	NAICS2012
2015	25	24	7	13	4	1	NAICS2012
2016	25	25	7	15	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	30	29	9	16	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	28	27	8	15	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	28	27	8	15	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	28	28	8	16	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	31	30	8	15	7	—	NAICS2017
2022	29	28	8	16	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	31	30	8	17	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 28462. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.