BMIE Market 28512

Carteret County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,358 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±356 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,705 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±194 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,896 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,063 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$91,488 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,803 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	60.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,223 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±154 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$565,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±42,728 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	6.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28512
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	69.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+27.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+27.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+47.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	32 (range 29–35) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.60) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	52 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28512. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.60, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.1	63	40%	+25.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51.2	51	35%	+17.9
Market Momentum Score	51.7	52	25%	+12.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,358	54	40%	+21.6
Median household income (ACS)	91,488	75	40%	+29.8
Households (ACS)	1,705	58	20%	+11.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	27.3	69	35%	+24.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	83.4	5	25%	+1.3
Population (ACS)	3,358	54	20%	+10.8
Median household income (ACS)	91,488	75	20%	+14.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	27.3	69	30%	+20.8
20-year restaurant growth	27.3	50	20%	+10.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (62)

By cuisine

Seafood 19 · American 15 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 7 · Dessert 5 · BBQ 4 · Italian 4 · Pizza 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Coffee 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 36 · Bar 21 · Casual dining 12 · Dessert 8 · Quick service 6 · Bakery 3 · Café 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
4 Corners Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	100 E Fort Macon Rd	open
AB Ice Cream & Candy Shoppe	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1010 W Fort Macon Rd	open
Amos Mosquito's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	703 E Fort Macon Rd	open
Anchor Drafthouse	Casual dining · Bar		136 Headen Ln	open
Atlantic Beach Coffee	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1010 W Fort Macon Rd	open
Atlantic Beach Seafood and Fresh Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	415 Atlantic Beach Causeway	open
Bahia Beach House & Surf Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		208 West Dr	open
Beach Burgers	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · BBQ	2500 W Fort Macon Rd	open
Beach Tavern	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	413 W Fort Macon Rd	open
Beachin Boba	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies	1010 W Fort Macon Rd	open
Bella Pizza and Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	311 Atlantic Beach Causeway	open
Big Oak Drive In & Bar-B-Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Seafood	1167 Salter Path Rd	open
BILLFISH Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1440 Salter Path Rd	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	916 West Fort Macon Road	open
Captain's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Seafood	1500 Salter Path Rd	open
Channel Marker Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	718 Atlantic Beach Cswy	open
China King China King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1010 W Fort Macon Rd	open
Crab's Claw	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Seafood	201 W Atlantic Blvd	open
Crystal Coast Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		219 W Fort Macon Rd	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts		open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2610 W Fort Macon Rd 2610 W Fort Macon Rd	open
Dairy Queen (Treat) Dairy Queen	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1 Roosevelt Blvd	open
Dj Shooters	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2604 W Fort Macon Rd	open
Don Carlo Wine Bar	Bar		114 West Dr	open
Early Birds Breakfast	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Sandwiches	1194 Salter Path Rd	open
El Zarape Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	204 Atlantic Beach Cswy	open
Frost Seafood Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1052 Salter Path Rd	open
Full Moon Oyster Bar - Atlantic Beach Full Moon Oyster Bar & Seafood Restaurant - Jamestown	Bar	Seafood · American	505 Atlantic Beach Causeway	open
Going Coastal Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		613 Atlantic Beach Causeway	open
Hang 10 Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	157 Atlantic Blvd	open
Idle Hour Biergarten	Casual dining · Bar		153 Atlantic Blvd	open
Island Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · BBQ · American	401 Money Island Dr	open
Jerry Pittman"s Shrimp	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1044 Salter Path Rd	open
MANGO'S	Bar		407 Atlantic Beach Cswy	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	301 W Fort Macon Blvd	open
Michaelangelos Pizza Michaelangelo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1010 W Fort Macon Rd	open
Monkey Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American · Seafood	1010 W Fort Macon Rd	open
Nacho's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	1010 W Fort Macon Rd	open
Oceanana Pier & Pier House Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	700 E Fort Macon Rd	open
On The Rocks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2604 W Fort Macon Rd	open
Paradise Bay Restaurant & Lounge	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1440 Salter Path Rd	open
Pier House Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	498 Money Island Dr	open
Pizza Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2500 W Fort Macon Rd	open
Prime 1079 Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Steakhouse · American	2717 W Fort Macon Rd	open
Rising Tide Coastal Fare & Surfside Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	511 Salter Path Rd	open
Roma Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	100 S Charlotte Ave	open
Scoopin' Yummies Atlantic Beach, NC	Dessert · Café · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Bakery	211 Atlantic Beach Causeway	open
Sub Tropics	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea	Sandwiches · Juice / smoothies	126 E Fort Macon Rd	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1010 W Fort Macon Road, Space #10A	open
Sunset Slush Sunset Slush of Emerald Isle	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1440 Salter Path Rd	open
Sunset Slush Crystal Coast	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	300 W Boardwalk Blvd	open
Table 9 Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	1104 W Fort Macon Rd	open
Tackle Box Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		117 Atlantic Blvd	open
The Beach House	Bar		111 Sound Dr	open
The Bite at the Box	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	117 Atlantic Blvd	open
The Clamdigger Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	511 Salter Path Rd	open
The Crab Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	146 Headen Ln	open
The Shark Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	100 S Durham Ave	open
The Wheelhouse	Bar		2610 W Fort Macon Rd	open
Tipsy Turtle Tavern	Bar		408 Atlantic Beach Cswy	open
Venice Italian Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	407 Atlantic Beach Cswy	open
Avayaan4 Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2500A W Fort Macon Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	23	19	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	23	20	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	25	19	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1997	32	24	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1998	28	17	9	8	—	10	NAICS1997
1999	27	18	8	9	1	9	NAICS1997
2000	22	17	9	8	—	5	NAICS1997
2001	22	18	10	8	—	4	NAICS1997
2002	23	19	10	9	—	4	NAICS1997
2003	24	22	13	9	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	23	21	12	9	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	22	20	10	9	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	26	25	15	9	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	25	22	16	6	—	3	NAICS2002
2008	22	20	13	7	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	24	22	12	9	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	23	20	11	8	1	3	NAICS2007
2011	28	25	14	10	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	26	23	15	7	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	23	22	13	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	25	24	15	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	26	25	14	10	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	28	27	17	9	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	30	28	17	8	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	30	28	17	7	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	30	28	18	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	31	28	17	8	3	3	NAICS2017
2021	30	28	18	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	30	27	17	8	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	32	28	16	8	4	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 28512. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
28557	4.1 mi	86	2023
28575	4.3 mi	2	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.