BMIE Market 28657
Avery County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 8,188 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±695 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 3,716 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±344 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 9,488 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,748 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $59,702 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,605 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 51.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $695 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±165 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $240,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,915 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 160.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28657 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 5.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +28.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +12.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +28.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 7 (range 4–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.04) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 53 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 39 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28657. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.04, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 52.8 | 53 | 40% | +21.1 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 61.0 | 61 | 35% | +21.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 38.5 | 39 | 25% | +9.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 53 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 8,188 | 68 | 40% | +27.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 59,702 | 29 | 40% | +11.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 3,716 | 70 | 20% | +14.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 28.6 | 70 | 35% | +24.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 11.0 | 68 | 25% | +17.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 8,188 | 68 | 20% | +13.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 59,702 | 29 | 20% | +5.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 39 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -10 | 19 | 50% | +9.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 28.6 | 70 | 30% | +21.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 12.5 | 41 | 20% | +8.2 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (35)
By cuisine
American 11 · Pizza 6 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Coffee 3 · Burgers 2 · Italian 2 · Mexican 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Sandwiches 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 5 · Quick service 4 · Café 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big Mike’s Coffee Shop | Dessert · Coffee shop · Café | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee | 400 Wyatt Dr | open |
| Bojangles Bojangles | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 205 Cranberry St | open |
| Carolina Barbeque | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 500 Pineola St | open |
| Carolina Pizza Co. Newland | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 450 Pineola St | open |
| Christa's Country Corner | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1600 Jonas Ridge Hwy | open |
| Fabio's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 106 Pineola St | open |
| Happy Patch | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4236 Linville Falls Hwy | open | |
| Hardee's Hardee's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 570 Pineola St | open |
| Hunt Brothers Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5810 S Us 19 E Hwy | open |
| Hunt Brothers Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 350 Pineola St | open |
| Hunt Brothers Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 8896 Nc Hwy 183 | open |
| Hunt Brothers Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2805 Linville Falls Hwy | open |
| Kaye's By The River | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 503 Pineola St | open |
| Linville Falls Tavern | Bar | American | open | |
| Linville Falls Tavern | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 316 Blue Ridge Ave | open | |
| Linville Falls Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 9557 Linville Falls Hwy | open | |
| Loaves & Fishes | Café | Coffee | 176 Maple St | open |
| Louise's Rock House Restaurant | Casual dining | American | 221 Linville Falls Hwy | open |
| Mason Jar Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 151 Cranberry St | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 461 Pineola St | open |
| Mountain Crossing Mercantile | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9041 NC-181 | open | |
| Mountain Crossing Store and Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 9041 NC-181 | open | |
| New Miyoshi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Japanese | 1195 Millers Gap Hwy | open |
| Nguyens Asian Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 300 Cranberry St | open |
| Puerto Nuevo | Mexican Puerto Nuevo Mexican and Seafood Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 110 Linville St | open |
| RANCHERO'S MEXICAN RESTAURANT | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 300 Jonas Ridge Hwy | open |
| River Walk Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 426 Hardees Alley Rd | open |
| Sammy Joes Bar-&-Grill Sammy Joes Bar-&-Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 362 Bob Taylor Rd | open | |
| San Dee's Cafe | Café | Coffee · American | 412 Pineola St | open |
| Soulshine Distillery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 3252 Roaring Creek Rd | open | |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 100 Linville St | open |
| The Mountain Boomer | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1600 Jonas Ridge Hwy | open | |
| The Patio Grill at Linville Land Harbor | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 1701 Goose Hollow Rd | open |
| The Tin Trout | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 176 Maple St | open |
| Waightstills Tavern Newland NC | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 320 Cranberry St | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 7 | 7 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 7 | 7 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 9 | 9 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 4 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 4 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 8 | 7 | — | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 7 | 7 | — | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 7 | 7 | — | 4 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2022 |