BMIE Market 28658

Catawba County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	26,336 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,373 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,369 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±530 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	27,022 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,321 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$72,042 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,002 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$948 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±79 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$214,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,689 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	71.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28658
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+20.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+45.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+11.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+31.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	35 (range 32–37) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.86) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	71 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28658. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.86, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	71.9	72	40%	+28.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72.0	72	35%	+25.2
Market Momentum Score	70.8	71	25%	+17.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	26,336	86	40%	+34.5
Median household income (ACS)	72,042	50	40%	+20.1
Households (ACS)	10,369	86	20%	+17.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	45	79	35%	+27.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.0	68	25%	+17.1
Population (ACS)	26,336	86	20%	+17.2
Median household income (ACS)	72,042	50	20%	+10.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	20.8	78	50%	+39.0
10-year restaurant growth	45	79	30%	+23.7
20-year restaurant growth	11.5	40	20%	+8.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (80)

By cuisine

American 11 · Coffee 11 · Bakery 9 · Pizza 9 · Dessert 6 · Sandwiches 5 · Asian 4 · Burgers 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Breakfast 3 · Chinese 3 · Italian 3 · Mexican 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · BBQ 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Peruvian 1 · Seafood 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 40 · Bar 16 · Quick service 14 · Bakery 10 · Café 10 · Coffee shop 6 · Dessert 6 · Brewery / taproom 5 · Casual dining 5 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 Little Birds Corks and More	Bar	Spanish / tapas	19 N College Ave	open
321 Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Italian	2725 Northwest Blvd O	open
B's House	Bar		134 E 11th St	open
B-52s American Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	206 N College Ave	open
Baileys Food Service	Restaurant (service type not stated)		118 N Ashe Ave	open
Beso latte LLC	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Sandwiches	1901 Northwest Blvd	open
Blinky's Antojitos	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	1901 Northwest Blvd	open
Bold Mariner Brewing @ Community Brewing Ventures	Brewery / taproom · Bar		116 W A St	open
Brookrise Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		115 W 1st St	open
Buddy's Tavern 2	Bar		134 E 11th St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	520 Southwest Blvd	open
Cakes by Amy	Bakery	Bakery	2049 Carburg Ct	open
Callahan's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	11 N College Ave	open
Carolina Vines	Bar		19 N College Ave	open
Carpe Crustum Bakery	Dessert · Bakery · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	31 N College Ave	open
Catawba Farms	Brewery / taproom · Winery / distillery / taproom		1670 Southwest Blvd	open
Cbv Brewery + Taproom	Bar		116 W A St	open
Chilango's Tacos & Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	30 E 1st St	open
China Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1726 Northwest Blvd	open
China House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Chinese · American	2388 W North Carolina 10 Hwy	open
Dick's Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	2207 N Main Ave	open
Discretion Underground	Bar		118 N College Ave	open
Dixie's Fish and Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · Seafood	24 W D St	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	2392 NC-10	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service		527 West C St	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	1305 NW Blvd Wilcohess	open
Dylan Burns Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		100 N Main Ave	open
El Batán Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Peruvian · Latin American (other)	100 N Main Ave	open
El Vaquero Food Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1901 Northwest Blvd	open
Fairway Acres Brewery	Brewery / taproom		Fairway Drive	open
Fat Bax	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	415 W A St	open
Flowers Baking Company Flowers' discount Bakery Store	Bakery	Bakery	1633 Fisher Ct	open
Geppeto's Pizza Geppeto's Pizza and More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	114 N College Ave	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1760 Southfork Drive	open
Hernandez Ice Cream Parlor	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery	1901 Northwest Blvd	open
Hilltop Sports Club	Bar		1341 S NC 16 Hwy	open
IGA Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Pizza	2895 Buffalo Shoals Rd	open
IL Bambini NY Style Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	415 W A St	open
IL Bambini NY Style Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	415 W A St	open
Jacob’s Dairy Bar & Grille	Dessert · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	2612 NC-16	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2805 Northwest Boulevard	open
Kims Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1638 S NC 16 BUSINESS Highway	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	600 East D Street	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	509 W C St	open
Little Pigs Barbecue Little Pigs BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1904 N Main Ave	open
Lucre’s Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1901 Northwest Blvd Ste V	open
Marie And Twannette's Bakery & Cafe	Bakery	Bakery	31 N College Ave	open
Morning Glory Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	15 N College Ave	open
Mulan Chinese Gourmet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2725 Northwest Blvd	open
Narrow Gauge Coffee & Cafe	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1148 N Main Ave	open
Novel Taproom	Bar		12 N Ashe Ave	open
Odalys Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Bakery · Coffee	580 W 24th St	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2725l northwest blvd	open
Pelicans Snoballs	Dessert	Dessert	1918 N Main Ave	open
Pepper Hola	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Latin American (other)	2455 Northwest Blvd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2025 N Westside Blvd Catawba	open
Real Deal Internet Cafe	Café		1901 Northwest Blvd	open
Scoops 'n Smiles	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · Dessert	2725 Northwest Blvd K2	open
SerendipiTea	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	31 N College Ave	open
Smokey's Den	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		515 W C St	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	500 Boundary St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	2443 W NC 10 Hwy	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1901C NW Blvd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	2717 Northwest Blvd	open
Tavern On Main	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	100 N Main Ave	open
Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	2522-2698 U.S. 321 Business	open
The Bourbon Room	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2289 St Pauls Church Rd	open
The Frosted Crumb	Bakery	Bakery	1890 Knolls Dr	open
The Hen & Egg	Café · Casual dining	Breakfast · Coffee · American	204 N College Ave	open
The Shack	Bar	Cajun, Creole, Southern	Prison Camp Road	open
The Unknown Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom		116 W A St	open
Tojo International Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1901 Northwest Blvd Ste L	open
Tosaka	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	2725 Northwest Blvd	open
Urban Flavor	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck · Casual dining	Asian · American	2501 Northwest Blvd	open
Ville Brick Oven Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1901 Northwest Blvd Ste V	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1818 Northwest Blvd	open
Warehouse Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		2628 Northwest Blvd	open
Western Steer	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	334 Southwest Blvd	open
Whisk & Barrel	Coffee shop	Coffee	31 N College Ave	open
The Lucky Lizard - Bar & Billiards	Bar		2336 S NC 16 Hwy	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	23	22	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	21	21	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	18	18	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	23	22	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	28	23	10	12	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	29	23	11	10	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	27	21	10	10	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	28	22	11	10	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	34	28	15	11	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	34	26	10	15	1	4	NAICS2002
2004	29	22	8	13	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	34	27	11	14	2	2	NAICS2002
2006	30	23	8	13	2	2	NAICS2002
2007	29	23	10	12	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	32	25	10	13	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	33	27	12	14	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	30	23	9	13	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	30	24	10	13	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	26	21	11	9	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	25	20	11	8	1	3	NAICS2012
2014	24	20	11	8	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	28	24	13	10	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	24	20	10	8	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	28	23	10	11	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	28	24	8	12	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	31	27	11	12	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	31	26	9	13	4	3	NAICS2017
2021	29	27	9	14	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	31	30	8	17	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	30	29	8	17	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 28658. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.