BMIE Market 28670

Wilkes County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	2,124 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±462 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	902 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±196 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,719 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,260 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$49,567 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,835 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	55.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$753 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±162 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$155,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,714 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	38.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	1 2015 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2015 detail (NAICS2012) · by USPS ZIP 28670
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-50.0% DERIVED: 2010 → 2015, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-66.7% DERIVED: 2005 → 2015, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-66.7% DERIVED: 1995 → 2015, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2020	0 (range 0–2) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2004–2015 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.52) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	27 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	34 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	36 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	3 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28670. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2004–2015, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.52, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 27 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	33.6	34	40%	+13.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	35.6	36	35%	+12.5
Market Momentum Score	2.6	3	25%	+0.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 34 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	2,124	46	40%	+18.3
Median household income (ACS)	49,567	14	40%	+5.7
Households (ACS)	902	48	20%	+9.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-66.7	1	35%	+0.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.7	93	25%	+23.2
Population (ACS)	2,124	46	20%	+9.2
Median household income (ACS)	49,567	14	20%	+2.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 3 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-50	4	50%	+2.0
10-year restaurant growth	-66.7	1	30%	+0.4
20-year restaurant growth	-66.7	1	20%	+0.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (15)

By cuisine

American 2 · Coffee 2 · Breakfast 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Winery / distillery / taproom 8 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 5 · Café 2 · Bar 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
421 Event Center	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5552 Wilkes-Yadkin Rd	open
Big Als Wings & Pizza Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		449 Bagley Springs Rd	open
Castello Barone Vineyards and Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		475 Groce Rd	open
Connie Winebarger's Pebble Beach, Ronda NC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	550 Macedonia Church Rd	open
Country Corner Cafe	Café	Coffee	12185 Elkin Highway 268	open
Country Corner Cafe Country Corner Cafe	Café	Breakfast · Coffee · American	12185 Elkin Hwy	open
Eden Oaks Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		3145 Mathis Mill Rd	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4830 Clingman Rd	open
MenaRick Vineyard & Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		328 Luffman Rd	open
Piccione Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		2364 Cedar Forest Rd	open
Piccione Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		2364 Cedar Forest Rd	open
Rafaldini Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom			open
Raffaldini Vineyards & Winery Raffaldini Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		450 Groce Rd	open
Sotrio Vineyards and Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		211 Groce Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4830 Clingman Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	4	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	4	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 28670. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
28669	4.8 mi	1	2010

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.