BMIE Market 28673

Catawba County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,874 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±980 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,184 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±445 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,919 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,125 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$99,688 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27,043 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	53.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,316 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±213 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$459,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±73,730 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	23.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28673
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+60.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+700.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 8–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.77) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	90 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28673. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.77, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	71.9	72	40%	+28.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	77.9	78	35%	+27.3
Market Momentum Score	90.3	90	25%	+22.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,874	65	40%	+26.1
Median household income (ACS)	99,688	81	40%	+32.3
Households (ACS)	3,184	68	20%	+13.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	35%	+32.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.6	66	25%	+16.5
Population (ACS)	6,874	65	20%	+13.0
Median household income (ACS)	99,688	81	20%	+16.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	60	92	50%	+46.2
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	30%	+27.6
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (22)

By cuisine

American 6 · Coffee 3 · BBQ 2 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Pizza 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Quick service 8 · Bar 3 · Dessert 3 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Bakery 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Casual dining 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Boss Hog BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	7564 E NC 150 Hwy	open
Butcher Boy Cafe	Buffet · Café	American · Coffee	6347 E North Carolina Hwy 150	open
Chick-fil-A	Quick service		7890 Bradley Long Drive	open
Cook Out Cook Out	Quick service		7930 Bradley Long Dr	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	7936 Bradley Long Dr	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	7946 VILLAGE CENTER NORTH	open
Hardee’s	Quick service		7946 Village Ctr N	open
Horsefeathers Roadhouse	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Chicken / wings	3746 Mount Pleasant Rd	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	7610 E NC-150	open
Joey's of Sherrills Ford	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	7600 E North Carolina Hwy 150	open
Lake Norman Brewery	Brewery / taproom			open
Landing Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4491 Slanting Bridge Rd	open
Los Mezquites Mexican Grill Los Mezquites, Sherrills Ford, NC	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	7913 Village Center N	open
Neighbors 828	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3861 Terrell Park Dr #100	open
Paddy O'furniture’s Irish Pub on the Lake	Bar	British / Irish pub food		open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7911 Village Center N	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	7925 Village Center N	open
Taco Bell	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		7932 Bradley Long Drive	open
The Ice Cream Boat On Lake Norman	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts		open
The Scoop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3861 Terrell Park Dr	open
Tim Schafer's At Lake Norman	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7343 Gabriel St	open
Wendy's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	7898 Bradley Long Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	3	3	2	—	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	3	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	5	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	5	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	5	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	5	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	5	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	5	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	5	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	5	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	6	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	7	5	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	6	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	7	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	9	4	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 28673. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
28682	2.8 mi	1	2013

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.