BMIE Market 28675

Alleghany County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,745 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±555 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,194 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±290 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,621 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,008 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$44,560 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,098 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	53.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$663 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±97 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$215,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±28,176 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	107.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28675
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-6.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+36.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+15.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+66.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	20 (range 17–23) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.70) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	45 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	43 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	42 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28675. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.70, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	43.3	43	40%	+17.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49.3	49	35%	+17.2
Market Momentum Score	42	42	25%	+10.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,745	65	40%	+26.0
Median household income (ACS)	44,560	9	40%	+3.7
Households (ACS)	3,194	68	20%	+13.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	36.4	75	35%	+26.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	22.2	32	25%	+8.0
Population (ACS)	6,745	65	20%	+13.0
Median household income (ACS)	44,560	9	20%	+1.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-6.3	22	50%	+10.8
10-year restaurant growth	36.4	75	30%	+22.6
20-year restaurant growth	15.4	43	20%	+8.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (40)

By cuisine

American 13 · Coffee 8 · Mexican 7 · Bakery 3 · Pizza 3 · Burgers 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Dessert 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · Cuban 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 28 · Casual dining 7 · Bar 6 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Quick service 5 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
21 Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	583 S Main St	open
Alleghany General Store	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	116 S Main St	open
Antojitos Querétaro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American · Mexican	665 S Main St	open
Becca's Backwoods Bean Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Delivery-focused · Café	Coffee	21 N Main St	open
Brown's Cafe, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	24 US Highway 221	open
Browns Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	115 Jones St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	477 S Main St	open
Caribe Cuban Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban	433 N Main St	open
Circle L Restaurant	Casual dining	American	3238 US Highway 21 S	open
Crave Crave	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	854 S Main St	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	306 N Main St Wilcohess	open
Golden China	Restaurant (service type not stated)		429 S Main St	open
Hardee's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	417 S Main St	open
Hardee’s	Quick service		417 S Main St	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	129 N Main St	open
JB's Pizza and Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · Sandwiches · American	371 N Main St	open
Kangaroo Express	Coffee shop	Coffee	144 S Main St	open
kanpai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	527 S Main St	open
Kathy's Kreations Bakery & Confectionary Gift Shop	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Dessert	798 New Haven Rd	open
Kathy's Kreations Bakery, Confectionary Gift Shop & Ice Cream Parlor	Bakery	Bakery	6 S Main St	open
La fuente mexican restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	854 south lane street	open
La Mexicana Store	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Mexican	665 S Main St	open
Laconia Ale Works	Brewery / taproom · Bar		433 N Main St	open
Las Dos Rosas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	40 E Cheek St	open
Little Seed Kitchen & Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Bakery · Coffee	38 S Main St	open
Liz's Place	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		60 Wee Care Ave	open
Mis Arados	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	403 S Main St	open
Mis Arados Mexican restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	577 N Main St	open
Pasadita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1747 US Highway 21 N	open
Pines Restaurant of Sparta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	115 Jones St	open
South Side Caddy Shack	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		544 S Main St	open
Sparky's Coffee House	Coffee shop	Coffee	32 W Whitehead St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	583 South Main St	open
That’s My Boba	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	18 S Main St	open
The Cellar on Evergreen	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		40 Evergreen Dr	open
The Gathering Place	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	81 W Doughton St	open
The Mustard Seed Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	38 S Main St	open
The Pines of Sparta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	577 N Main St	open
The Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	665 North Main Street	open
Trojan Patio	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	665 S Main St #3	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	17	14	10	4	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	14	12	9	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	13	12	9	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	12	10	7	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	12	11	8	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	14	13	10	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	13	12	9	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	12	11	7	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	10	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	11	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	14	12	7	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	16	15	9	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	12	7	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	13	12	6	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	15	14	9	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	13	11	6	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	11	11	7	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	12	12	8	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	12	11	7	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	15	14	9	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	16	12	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	16	16	11	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	17	11	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	17	9	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	16	9	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	15	8	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 28675. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.