BMIE Market 28716

Haywood County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,863 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,068 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,297 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±585 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,477 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,718 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$63,141 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,413 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$988 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±141 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$237,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,957 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	158.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	30 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28716
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+11.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+76.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+150.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	32 (range 27–36) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.32) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	72 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28716. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.32, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	61.6	62	40%	+24.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52.9	53	35%	+18.5
Market Momentum Score	72.1	72	25%	+18.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,863	78	40%	+31.4
Median household income (ACS)	63,141	36	40%	+14.2
Households (ACS)	7,297	80	20%	+16.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	11.1	55	35%	+19.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.8	43	25%	+10.8
Population (ACS)	16,863	78	20%	+15.7
Median household income (ACS)	63,141	36	20%	+7.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	25	81	50%	+40.4
10-year restaurant growth	11.1	55	30%	+16.5
20-year restaurant growth	76.5	76	20%	+15.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (50)

By cuisine

American 18 · Burgers 8 · Coffee 8 · Pizza 7 · Mexican 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Bakery 2 · Italian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Quick service 15 · Café 6 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Bar 3 · Bakery 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	701 Champion Dr	open
Black Bear Cafe	Casual dining · Café	American · Coffee	162 Pisgah Dr	open
Black Bear nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	333 Main St	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1686 Champion Drive	open
Breaking Bread Cafe	Café	Coffee	6147 Pigeon Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1748 Champion Dr	open
Canelos Mexican Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	15 Plaza Loop	open
China King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	49 Plaza Loop	open
Coffee Container	Coffee shop	Coffee	6175 Pigeon Rd	open
Coffee Container	Coffee shop	Coffee	6175 Pigeon Rd	open
Cosmic Café	Coffee shop · Café · Bar	Coffee	2891 Pisgah Dr	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	761 Champion Dr 761 Champion Dr	open
Dickey's Barbecue Pit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	738 New Clyde Hwy	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	78 New Clyde Highway	open
Furman's Burger Bar	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	738 New Clyde Hwy	open
Graham Lott Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6306 Pigeon Rd # A	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	16 New Clyde Hwy	open
Hit The Pit BBQ Co	Food truck		287 Main St.	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6147 Pigeon Rd	open
JRO's Burgers and Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Sandwiches · American	384 Main St	open
Jukebox Junction \| Restaurant & Soda Shoppe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	6306 Pigeon Rd	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	24 New Clyde Highway	open
Kobe Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	435 Park St	open
Kountry Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	153 Main St	open
Maria's Mexican Pueblo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	153 Main St	open
Massey's Mobile Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		670 New Clyde Hwy	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	14 Plaza Loop	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	702 Champion Dr	open
Our Daily Bread Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	2 Church St	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	59 Plaza Loop	open
Papa's Pizza To Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	81 Main St	open
Papertown Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	457 Main St	open
Philly Italian Pastas & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Sandwiches	2768 Asheville Hwy	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	25 New Clyde Hwy. (a/k/a US 19/23) Haywood	open
Popeyes® Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings · Seafood	685 Champion Dr	open
Rocky Face Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	180 Golfwatch Rd	open
Sagebrush Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	1941 Champion Dr	open
Smokey's Pizza, Pasta, & Grill	Casual dining	Pizza · Italian · American	721 Champion Dr	open
Sonic Drive-In Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	777 New Clyde Hwy	open
Southern Porch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	449 Main St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	630 Champion Dr	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1328 Champion Dr	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	660 Champion Drive	open
The Lunchbox Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	527 Main St	open
The Valley Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1139 Champion Dr	open
Three Compas Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	124 Main St	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	680 Champion Dr	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	708 Champion Drive	open
Wildflour Blue Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1209 Pisgah Dr	open
BearWaters Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		101 Park St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	16	16	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	16	15	6	9	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	18	17	6	10	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	20	19	8	10	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	21	20	10	10	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	17	16	6	10	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	18	17	6	11	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	19	18	7	10	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	21	20	6	13	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	20	19	7	12	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	22	22	8	12	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	25	25	10	13	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	25	24	9	13	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	25	25	9	14	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	27	25	9	14	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	29	27	13	13	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	28	27	11	15	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	25	24	10	13	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	26	26	11	14	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	25	25	10	14	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	25	25	11	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	24	24	11	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	24	24	10	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	26	25	11	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	29	27	11	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	35	33	13	19	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	34	30	9	20	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 28716. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.