BMIE Market 28732

Henderson County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	19,279 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,389 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,326 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±489 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,491 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,220 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$81,852 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,279 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,366 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±83 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$376,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,251 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	41.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28732
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+21.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+91.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+64.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+228.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	27 (range 24–30) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.87) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	77 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	80 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28732. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.87, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	74.1	74	40%	+29.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76.7	77	35%	+26.8
Market Momentum Score	80.5	80	25%	+20.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	19,279	81	40%	+32.3
Median household income (ACS)	81,852	64	40%	+25.8
Households (ACS)	7,326	80	20%	+16.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	91.7	90	35%	+31.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.9	65	25%	+16.2
Population (ACS)	19,279	81	20%	+16.2
Median household income (ACS)	81,852	64	20%	+12.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	21.1	78	50%	+39.1
10-year restaurant growth	91.7	90	30%	+26.9
20-year restaurant growth	64.3	72	20%	+14.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (63)

By cuisine

American 12 · Coffee 11 · Mexican 7 · BBQ 4 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Pizza 3 · Asian 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 30 · Bar 12 · Café 8 · Casual dining 8 · Coffee shop 6 · Food truck 6 · Quick service 6 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aletitude	Bar		61 Terminal Dr	open
All is Well Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	3445 Hendersonville Rd	open
Amazing Grace BBQ	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	3937 Hendersonville Rd	open
Asheville Food Truck Showdown	Food truck · Quick service			open
Auction House Food & Drink Hall	Restaurant (service type not stated)		29 Fanning Bridge Rd	open
B.T.M fletcher	Food truck		3699 Hendersonville Rd	open
Baabals Ice Cream And	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	188 St John Rd	open
Barn Door Ciderworks	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		25 Lytle Rd	open
Big Daddy's Smokehouse and Southern Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	2250 Hendersonville Rd	open
Black Bear Coffee Co.	Coffee shop	Coffee	144 Hoopers Creek Rd	open
Blue Agave	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	550 New, 550 Airport Rd	open
Blue Ridge Tavern and Trading Post	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	61 Terminal Dr	open
Blue Sky Cafe Blue Sky Cafe	Café · Fast casual	Coffee · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	3987 Hendersonville Rd	open
Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	3042 Hendersonville Road	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle	Quick service		500 New Airport Road	open
Club Wag Night Club	Bar		29 Redmond Drive	open
Cornelio's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	5360 Hendersonville Rd Unit 267	open
Cornelios Xpress	Quick service	Mexican	5360 Hendersonville Rd Unit 801	open
Dickeys Barbecue Pit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	235 St John Rd Ste 10	open
Djspickles	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused		109 Riverbirch Dr	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	97 Terminal Dr	open
El Mezquital Valley	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	5591 Hendersonville Rd	open
Fiesta Foods #1 Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	5360 Hendersonville Rd	open
Fletcher Village Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Bakery · Coffee	235 St John Rd Ste 70	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	800 Mills Gap Road	open
Iron Sharpens Iron - AVL	Food truck	Burgers · Mexican	25 Fletcher Commercial Dr	open
J & S	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	30 Airport Rd	open
Jonny Mac's Lowcountry Grille & BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	3885 Hendersonville Rd	open
Kosta's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	4055 Hendersonville Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		95 Terminal Dr	open
Little Creek Tavern	Bar · Café	Coffee	1464 Cane Creek Rd	open
LongHorn Steakhouse LongHorn Steakhouse	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	560 New Arpt Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	525 Airport Rd	open
Mountain River Taproom	Bar		95 Terminal Dr	open
MrBeast Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	260 UNDERWOOD Rd	open
NARA Japanese Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Japanese	25 Fletcher Commercial Dr	open
Phoenix Joe's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5401 Hendersonville Rd	open
Pupuceria el Águila	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	5360 Hendersonville Rd	open
Ruby Tuesday	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	260 Underwood Rd	open
Scarlet's Country Dance Club	Bar		97 Underwood Rd	open
Shinsen Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	5601 Hendersonville Rd	open
Sierra Nevada Brewery Sierra Nevada	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	111 Westfeldt Dr	open
Sierra Nevada Tap Room	Restaurant (service type not stated)		100 Sierra Nevada Way	open
Sierra Nevada Taproom and Restaurant Sierra Nevada	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		100 Sierra Nevada Way	open
Souther Williams Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		655 Hoopers Creek Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	5620 Hendersonville Rd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	2901 Hendersonville Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5583 Hendersonville Rd	open
Sugarcane and Shepherd Desserts	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	5585 Hendersonville Rd	open
Surf N Brew	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	235 St John Rd Ste 10	open
Taqueria Jaliscos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	800 Mills Gap Rd	open
Taqueria Los Gallos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	5360 Hendersonville Rd	open
Tasty Thai Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	4091 Hendersonville Rd	open
The Coffee Garage	Coffee shop	Coffee	3445 Hendersonville Rd	open
The Fletcher House	Casual dining	American	4055 Hendersonville Rd	open
The Village Food Truck Park	Food truck		25 Fletcher Commercial Dr	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	Asheville Regional Airport, 61 Terminal Dr	open
Two Trees Distilling Company	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		17 Continuum Dr	open
Uncle Scotts Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	145 Hoopers Creek Rd	open
Wize Guyz Cane Creek	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza · American	1538 Cane Creek Rd	open
Blue Ghost Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		125 Underwood Rd	closed
Cinnabon	Restaurant (service type not stated)		61 Terminal Dr	closed
Taqueria Mexico	Food truck		4175 Hendersonville Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	18	18	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	17	14	5	7	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	19	14	4	8	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	20	15	4	8	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	16	12	3	6	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	15	13	4	5	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	16	14	6	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	14	13	5	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	18	16	5	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	14	13	5	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	12	11	5	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	14	12	4	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	15	13	6	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	20	17	6	10	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	16	13	3	9	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	19	16	7	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	15	12	5	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	15	12	4	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	16	13	4	7	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	18	15	5	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	20	17	4	7	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	23	19	6	7	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	24	20	7	7	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	22	19	7	6	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	23	19	5	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	22	19	6	8	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	27	23	7	8	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 28732. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.