BMIE Market 29045

Kershaw County, South Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	31,372 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,810 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,680 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±598 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	21,871 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,694 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$87,366 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,414 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,321 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±220 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$266,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,004 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	67.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 29045
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+38.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+316.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+316.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	20 (range 14–26) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.13) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	83 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	89 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 29045. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.13, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. South Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 318, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	81.8	82	40%	+32.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79.0	79	35%	+27.7
Market Momentum Score	89.0	89	25%	+22.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	31,372	90	40%	+35.9
Median household income (ACS)	87,366	71	40%	+28.3
Households (ACS)	11,680	89	20%	+17.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	38.9	77	35%	+26.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.0	80	25%	+20.1
Population (ACS)	31,372	90	20%	+17.9
Median household income (ACS)	87,366	71	20%	+14.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	66.7	93	50%	+46.5
10-year restaurant growth	38.9	77	30%	+23.0
20-year restaurant growth	316.7	97	20%	+19.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (46)

By cuisine

American 10 · Pizza 7 · Dessert 4 · Mexican 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Bakery 2 · Chinese 2 · Coffee 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Seafood 1 · Spanish / tapas 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 25 · Quick service 12 · Bar 4 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Café 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's Arby's	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	701 White Pond Road	open
Bert's Southern Cooking	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	100 Pontiac Buiness Center Drive	open
Blaney's Wings & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1244 Pine St	open
Bojangles	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2530 Main St	open
Bojangles Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	903 Spears Creek Ct	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	2513 Main Street	open
Brown Bag Deli at Spears Creek	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	100 Pontiac Business Center Dr	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	586 Spears Creek Church Rd	open
Chase Cakes S.C.	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	105 Buckthorn Cir	open
Chavela's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2470 Main St	open
China Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2546 Main St B	open
Cruisin Cuisine Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		100 Pontiac Business Center Dr	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1230 A Rose Street	open
Egg Roll Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	550 Spears Creek Church Rd	open
Eggs Up Grill Eggs Up Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	10508 Two Notch Rd	open
Elgin House of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1101 Church St	open
Elgin Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1100 Rose St	open
Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs	Quick service	Sandwiches	572 Spears Creek Church Road	open
Gyromania Grill Gyromania Grill-Elgin SC	Quick service	Mediterranean · Greek	2558 Main St	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2458 Main Street	open
Kickstands	Bar		10961 Two Notch Rd	open
Little Caesars	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	185 Earth Rd	open
Panda Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	2465 Main St	open
Pelican's SnoBalls Pelican's SnoBalls- Jax Beach	Dessert	Dessert	2291 US-1 S	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2465 Main Street Kershaw	open
Pj's Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	100 Pontiac Business Center Dr	open
Planet Smoothie Planet Smoothie	Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	10508 Two Notch Rd	open
Pontiac Foods Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		813 Bookman Rd	open
Pontiac House of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	10531 Two Notch Rd	open
Random Tap	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	American	117 Spears Creek Church Rd	open
Ratio	Bar	Spanish / tapas	566 Spears Creek Church Road	open
Ronnie's Ribs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	2435 Main St	open
San Jose Mexican Restaurant San Jose Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	1310 White Pond Rd	open
Scoop of Heaven Homemade Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	565 Spears Creek Church Rd	open
Southern Mama's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1101 Church St	open
Spears Creek Cafe & Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)		100 Pontiac Business Center Dr	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	901 Spears Creek Ct	open
StoneFire American Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	566 Spears Creek Church Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2465 Main Street Suite A	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	583 Spears Creek Church Rd	open
Tacos-A-Million	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	751 Jacobs Mill Pond Rd	open
The Dessert Bar Boutique Bakery & Catering	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	2435C Main St	open
The Lunch Box	Casual dining	American	1100 Rose St	open
Tony's Pizza Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2481 Main St	open
Hwy 55 Burgers Shakes & Fries	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2558 Main St	closed
Lulu's To-go	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2435 Main St # C	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	10	10	8	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	8	8	6	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	7	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	8	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	7	6	3	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	6	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	9	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	6	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	10	9	4	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	11	10	6	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	11	10	7	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	14	14	8	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	14	14	9	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	17	17	12	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	18	18	11	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	17	17	9	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	17	17	10	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	19	19	12	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	17	16	10	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	15	9	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	14	7	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	16	9	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	16	7	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	23	20	7	11	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	30	25	10	12	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 29045. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.