BMIE Market 29053

Lexington County, South Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	21,076 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,419 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,941 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±618 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,830 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,574 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$56,703 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,941 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±52 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$126,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,349 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	80.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 29053
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-12.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+75.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+250.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	9 (range 7–11) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.08) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	34 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 29053. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.08, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. South Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 318, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	58.9	59	40%	+23.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57.7	58	35%	+20.2
Market Momentum Score	34.2	34	25%	+8.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	21,076	82	40%	+32.9
Median household income (ACS)	56,703	24	40%	+9.7
Households (ACS)	7,941	81	20%	+16.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	3.3	97	25%	+24.2
Population (ACS)	21,076	82	20%	+16.5
Median household income (ACS)	56,703	24	20%	+4.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 34 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-12.5	17	50%	+8.5
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	75	76	20%	+15.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (40)

By cuisine

American 7 · Pizza 6 · Mexican 5 · Bakery 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Burgers 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Dessert 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Bar 8 · Quick service 7 · Bakery 4 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Café 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bald Peanuts	Bar		1576 Old State Rd	open
Blimpie	Quick service		105 South Main St	open
Bunky's Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		923 Old State Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	5225 US-321	open
Congaree Vines	Winery / distillery / taproom		601 Mack St	open
Country Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	4930 US-321	open
Cullen-ary Confections	Bakery	Bakery	168 Woodcote Dr	open
D & S Beer 30	Bar		140 Daybreak Dr	open
Delicias Elvis	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery	5305 US-321	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	190 N Main Street	open
Good Eating Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	3104 Fish Hatchery Rd	open
Guanajuato’s taqueria LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	5343 Highway 321	open
Hood's Peanuts	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Chinese · Cajun, Creole, Southern	hatchery rd	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3658 Fish Hatchery Road	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2584 Highway 6	open
Katie's Sandwich Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	1576 Old State Rd	open
KFC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	5230 Highway 321	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2584 Hwy 6	open
La Fogata	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	5303 Highway 321	open
Las Delicias Mariscos & Botanas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4944 US-321	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5212 US-321	open
Los Tres Potrillos 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	500 Ball Park Rd	open
No.1 China II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	5214 US-321	open
Palmetto Express #115 Roady's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		495 Old Sandy Run Road	open
Panadería Anita	Bakery	Bakery	500 Ball Park Rd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5226 US-321	open
Rivera's Food	Bakery	Bakery · Latin American (other)	1126 Mack St	open
Slabs Sawmill	Casual dining · Bar		1136 Busbee Rd	open
Sprinkles & Splits	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1667 Old State Rd	open
Starbucks Roasting Plant	Coffee shop	Coffee	114 Sirens Ln	open
Steve's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	5343 Highway 321	open
T's Country Beer Bar	Bar		4922 US-321	open
The 5th Quarter Bar & Grill LLC	Bar · Casual dining		371 Jimmy Martin Cir	open
The Bearded Rooster of Gaston, SC.	Bar		4922 Highway 321	open
The Centennial Club	Bar		349 N Main St	open
The Lazy Llama	Café · Coffee shop · Casual dining	Coffee · American	1667 Old State Rd	open
Tienda y taqueria El Trankazo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4944 Highway 321	open
Waffle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	5209 Highway 321	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5228 Highway 321	open
San Jose Mexican Restaurant 30 Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5303 Highway 321 Ste A	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	4	2	1	1	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	5	3	2	1	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	4	3	2	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	6	4	2	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	5	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	5	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	4	3	1	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	5	4	—	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	7	6	—	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	8	7	1	6	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	7	6	—	6	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	8	6	—	6	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	10	9	1	8	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	10	9	3	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	8	7	2	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	9	8	2	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	7	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	9	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	10	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	9	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	7	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	9	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	9	—	8	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	7	—	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 29053. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.