BMIE Market 29073

Lexington County, South Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	53,156 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,991 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	20,011 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,010 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	40,775 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	16,511 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$77,229 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,017 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,061 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±76 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$216,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,105 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	81.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	44 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 29073
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+29.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+41.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+175.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+780.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	39 (range 32–46) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.15) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	83 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 29073. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.15, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. South Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 318, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	81.8	82	40%	+32.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78.2	78	35%	+27.4
Market Momentum Score	83.0	83	25%	+20.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	53,156	98	40%	+39.0
Median household income (ACS)	77,229	58	40%	+23.3
Households (ACS)	20,011	98	20%	+19.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	41.9	78	35%	+27.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.3	79	25%	+19.8
Population (ACS)	53,156	98	20%	+19.5
Median household income (ACS)	77,229	58	20%	+11.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	29.4	83	50%	+41.5
10-year restaurant growth	41.9	78	30%	+23.4
20-year restaurant growth	175	90	20%	+18.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (122)

By cuisine

American 23 · Mexican 13 · Burgers 11 · Pizza 11 · Bakery 9 · Chicken / wings 8 · Latin American (other) 8 · Sandwiches 8 · Dessert 7 · Asian 6 · Coffee 6 · Chinese 5 · BBQ 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Italian 4 · Japanese 3 · Breakfast 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 74 · Quick service 31 · Bar 16 · Bakery 10 · Casual dining 10 · Dessert 8 · Coffee shop 5 · Café 4 · Food truck 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
7 Mares Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4360 Augusta Rd	open
Arandas Mini Restaurant & Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	675 Two Notch Rd	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	352 Longs Pond Rd	open
Autentico Sabor Latino	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	903 Two Notch Rd	open
Bar of Lexington	Bar		1668 Two Notch Rd	open
Biggby Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	1430 Two Notch Rd	open
BIGGBY COFFEE Biggby	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1430 Two Notch Rd	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1045 South Lake Blvd	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	4863 Augusta Highway	open
Bone-Appetite	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	309 Oak Dr	open
Bubba's Pub N Grub	Casual dining · Bar		2544 S Lake Dr	open
Buck's Pizza Buck's Pizza - DuBois, PA	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1856 S Lake Dr	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	4377 Augusta Road	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1819 S Lake Dr	open
By the Fire Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	224 Ridgehill Dr	open
Carolina Wings and Rib House Carolina Wings - Cayce	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	1767 S Lake Dr	open
Chapala Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1792 S Lake Dr	open
Charlie's Sports Break and Games	Bar		2046 S Lake Dr C	open
Chen's Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	4360 Augusta Rd	open
Chester's Chester's Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	340 Longs Pond Rd	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	5465 Platt Springs Rd	open
China House China House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1856 S Lake Dr	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	5456 Platt Springs Rd	open
Club Marions	Bar · Casual dining		4350 Augusta Rd	open
Corner Bar and Grill Tequila's Bar & Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4350 Augusta Rd	open
Corner Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		204 Crystal Springs Dr	open
Crab Man Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	200 Foxhall Dr	open
Crazy Nutz	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		541 Kyzer Rd	open
Cw Redbank Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1767 S Lake Dr	open
DAB OF RANCH	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	1035 Old Orangeburg Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	5443 Platt Springs Blvd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	1123 S Lake Dr	open
El Chapala	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service			open
El Charro Express Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4350 Augusta Rd	open
El Siete Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4360 Augusta Rd	open
Fat Baby's Candy Shop	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Bakery	4414 Augusta Rd	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service		1781 South Lake Drive	open
Golden Town	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1070 S Lake Dr	open
Great Wall	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1123 S Lake Dr Ste B	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1910 S Lake Dr	open
Hibachi Express Hibachi-San	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Japanese	1792 S Lake Dr	open
Highway 55 Burgers Shakes and Fries Hwy 55 Burgers Shakes & Fries	Casual dining	Burgers · American	1792 S Lake Dr	open
Hudson's Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	931 Two Notch Rd	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4345 Augusta Rd	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1897 S Lake Drive	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1483 Boiling Springs Road	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2556 Calks Ferry Rd	open
Iguana Desnuda	Bar		2544 S Lake Dr	open
J&l's Old Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)		679 Two Notch Rd	open
Jeremiah's Italian Ice Jeremiah's Italian Ice	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1784 S Lake Dr	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	1766 S Lake Dr	open
Khari's Dipped Delights	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery		open
Kona Ice Columbia	Food truck		584 Oak Dr	open
Kookie Dealer Shoppe	Bakery · Catering	Bakery		open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	109 Willma Ann Dr	open
Lexington	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1011 SC-6	open
Lexington - Red Bank Whataburger	Quick service		5440 Platt Springs Road	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	1788 S Lake Dr Ste 190	open
Lizard's Thicket Restaurant Lizard's Thicket	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	4616 Augusta Rd	open
LongHorn Steakhouse LongHorn Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	5402 Platt Springs Road	open
Lularoe by Tammy Petty	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	154 savannah hill Dr	open
Macie & Milo’s Brew Pup	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		140 Cromer Rd	open
Madi's Moon Cakes	Bakery	Bakery	1248 Tanreall Dr	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1766 S Lake Dr	open
Maurice's BBQ Piggie Park Maurice's Piggie Park	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1010 S Lake Dr	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4364 Augusta Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1770 S Lake Dr	open
Mo's House of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1787 S Lake Dr Ste A-B	open
New York Pizza & Pasta Factory	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4350 Augusta Rd	open
Nihao Chinese Food & Hibachi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4360 Augusta Rd	open
Oak Grove Fish House	Restaurant (service type not stated)		309 Oak Dr	open
PALMETTO CAFE	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Sandwiches	1070 S LAKE Dr Ste H	open
Panda Express	Quick service		5416 Platt Springs Rd	open
Pelican's SnoBalls Red Bank	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	1848 S Lake Dr	open
Pelican’s Snoballs	Quick service		4510 Augusta Rd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	364 Longs Pond Road	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1860 S Lake Dr	open
Queen’s Diner Lexington	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1035 Old Orangeburg Rd	open
REDS on Augusta	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		4350 Augusta Rd	open
Rincón Chapin	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	4315 Augusta Rd	open
Rush's Rush's Fabulous Food ... Fast!	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1796 S Lake Dr	open
San Jose Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4710 Augusta Rd	open
San Jose Restaurant San Jose Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1475 Old Orangeburg Rd	open
Schooners Bar And Grill Ii Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		364 Longs Pond Rd	open
Sharpe's Tavern	Bar · Casual dining	American	400 Century Farm Ct	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	1857 S Lake Dr	open
Sparrow Point Social Court	Bar		Sparrow Point Ct.	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	5556 Platt Springs Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	356 Longs Pond Rd	open
Sub Station II Sub Station II	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	105 Saluda Pointe Ct	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1780 S Lake Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1897 S Lake Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4360 Augusta Rd Suite A	open
Sweet And Savory A Home Style Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1070 S Lake Dr	open
Sweet Treats Bakery	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Dessert	213 Kings Point Ct	open
SweetFrog	Dessert	Dessert	1788 S Lake Dr	open
Tabz Grub & Pub	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		5531 Edmund Hwy	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1064 S Lake Dr	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1804 S Lake Dr	open
Taco N Madre	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1800 Nazareth Rd	open
Taqueria dos amigos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	5079 Platt Springs Rd	open
Tasty Wings and Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1787 S Lake Dr	open
The 19th Hole	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar			open
The Farmhouse Grill PDQ Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	BBQ · American · Burgers	1 Crystal Springs Dr	open
The Flight Deck Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	Main St.	open
The Hitch hiker	Bar		421 New Orangeburg Rd	open
The Shed	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		5531 Edmund Hwy	open
Tienda Y Taqueria La Salamanca	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1145 Two Notch Rd	open
Tokyo Grill Tokyo Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	1787 S Lake Dr	open
US Wings and Deli US Wings & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Chicken / wings · Sandwiches	1788 S Lake Dr	open
Ventures	Bar			open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	5538 Platt Springs Rd	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	1036 S Lake Dr	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1780 S Lake Dr	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5419 Platt Springs Road	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1065 S Lake Dr	open
Whataburger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	5440 Platt Springs Road	open
Whit's Frozen Custard Whit's Frozen Custard, Hilliard, Ohio	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1788 S Lake Dr Suite 170	open
Wong's Hibachi Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1792 S Lake Dr Ste 80	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	1759 S Lake Dr	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	5441 Platt Springs Rd	open
Whja, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Crystal Springs Dr	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	7	5	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	16	13	6	7	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	19	17	8	9	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	20	15	6	8	—	4	NAICS1997
2001	17	12	3	9	—	4	NAICS1997
2002	21	15	3	10	1	4	NAICS1997
2003	22	16	5	8	2	4	NAICS2002
2004	22	17	5	9	2	3	NAICS2002
2005	19	14	4	9	1	3	NAICS2002
2006	23	18	4	12	2	3	NAICS2002
2007	18	13	5	8	—	3	NAICS2002
2008	18	13	5	8	—	3	NAICS2007
2009	19	17	9	8	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	24	20	8	12	—	3	NAICS2007
2011	23	20	8	12	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	34	31	13	17	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	34	31	13	16	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	38	35	16	17	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	38	36	17	16	3	1	NAICS2012
2016	39	37	17	17	3	1	NAICS2012
2017	40	37	17	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	38	34	20	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	37	33	18	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	39	35	17	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	35	31	13	17	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	38	36	12	23	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	45	44	17	24	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 29073. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.