BMIE Market 29172

Lexington County, South Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,974 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,089 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,737 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±392 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,293 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,894 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$64,430 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,247 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,048 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±119 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$180,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,001 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	23.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 29172
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+133.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+133.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+600.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 5–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.46) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	90 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 29172. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.46, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. South Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 318, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	56.8	57	40%	+22.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68.7	69	35%	+24.0
Market Momentum Score	89.6	90	25%	+22.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,974	69	40%	+27.6
Median household income (ACS)	64,430	38	40%	+15.1
Households (ACS)	3,737	70	20%	+14.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	40	77	35%	+27.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.8	81	25%	+20.3
Population (ACS)	8,974	69	20%	+13.8
Median household income (ACS)	64,430	38	20%	+7.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	133.3	98	50%	+49.0
10-year restaurant growth	40	77	30%	+23.1
20-year restaurant growth	133.3	88	20%	+17.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (25)

By cuisine

American 8 · Bakery 4 · Burgers 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Mexican 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Coffee 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Casual dining 5 · Quick service 5 · Bakery 4 · Food truck 4 · Bar 3 · Dessert 2 · Café 1 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aryzta	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Bakery	167 Overland Dr	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	3021 Charleston Hwy.	open
Burrito Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	295 Glenn Rd	open
Carolina Wings & Rib House Carolina Wings - Cayce	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · American	2423 Fish Hatchery Rd	open
Cw Cayce Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2423 Fish Hatchery Rd	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	3014 Charleston Hwy	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3504 Charleston Hwy	open
Inter Rail Transport	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3450 Charleston Hwy	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3835 Charleston Hwy	open
La Jarocha	Food truck		3526 Charleston Hwy	open
Lucky's Sports Shack	Bar · Casual dining	American	3030 Charleston Hwy	open
Palmetto Baking	Bakery	Bakery	3045 Charleston Hwy	open
Parties To Go	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	208 Shumpert Rd	open
Seafood Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	Seafood Express is straight back on right hand side at stop sign, 3483 Charleston Hwy	open
Shooters Grill & Pub	Bar · Casual dining	American	3030 Charleston Hwy	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3018 Charleston Highway	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	3047 Charleston Hwy	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4048 Charleston Hwy	open
Sugarshop SnS	Bakery	Bakery	322 Little Brooke Ln	open
Taqueria El Naranjo	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3526 Charleston Hwy	open
The Market Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck · Catering · Casual dining	American	322 Little Brooke Ln	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	2846 Charleston Hwy	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service · Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers · American	3008 Highway 321	open
What A Pit Bbq	Food truck		3209 Charleston Hwy	open
清香室町	Dessert	Japanese	本多町2丁目1番2号	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	1	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	7	6	2	3	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	6	5	2	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	5	4	1	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	3	2	—	1	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	5	3	1	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	2	1	1	—	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	1	—	—	—	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	4	3	1	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	6	5	1	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	3	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	5	4	1	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	6	5	2	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	6	5	2	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	4	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	5	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	7	5	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	7	5	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	7	5	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	7	6	—	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	8	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 29172. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
29033	3.5 mi	34	2023
29170	4.6 mi	34	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.