BMIE Market 29365

Spartanburg County, South Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,068 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,258 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,958 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±409 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,146 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,268 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$76,966 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,666 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	33.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,226 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±224 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$261,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,672 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	17.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 29365
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-5.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+60.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+166.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	20 (range 18–23) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.51) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	43 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 29365. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.51, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. South Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 318, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	68.3	68	40%	+27.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63.7	64	35%	+22.3
Market Momentum Score	42.5	43	25%	+10.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,068	76	40%	+30.2
Median household income (ACS)	76,966	58	40%	+23.2
Households (ACS)	4,958	74	20%	+14.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	14.3	58	35%	+20.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.4	67	25%	+16.7
Population (ACS)	14,068	76	20%	+15.1
Median household income (ACS)	76,966	58	20%	+11.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-5.9	22	50%	+11.0
10-year restaurant growth	14.3	58	30%	+17.4
20-year restaurant growth	60	71	20%	+14.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (34)

By cuisine

American 12 · Coffee 6 · Mexican 5 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Asian 3 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · Pizza 3 · Chinese 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · African 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 23 · Quick service 7 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Casual dining 3 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	12229 Greenville Hwy	open
Aspen Street Sweets Food truck LLC	Food truck · Dessert · Catering		200 Spartanburg Hwy	open
Big Ben's Desserts and Ice Cream	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery	297 Spartanburg Hwy	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	12227 Greenville Hwy	open
Botanical Brew	Coffee shop	Coffee	109 Spartanburg Hwy	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	107 Charlotte Hwy	open
Casa Carrion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	105 Spartanburg Hwy	open
Cazadores Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Spanish / tapas · Mexican	105 Spartanburg Hwy	open
Cazadores Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1625 Holly Springs Rd	open
Chinatown Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	310 Spartanburg Hwy	open
Clock Restaurant of Lyman Clock of Gaffney	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	215 Spartanburg Hwy	open
Cornbread Cafe	Café	Coffee	299 Spartanburg Hwy	open
Crazy & Edible Creations	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · African	107A Spartanburg Hwy	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	370 Spartanburg Hwy	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	12175 Greenville Hwy	open
Friends and Family Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	100 Scenic Dr	open
Guacamole Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	12196 Greenville Hwy	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	12209 Greenville Hwy 29	open
Hong Xing Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	12175 W Greenville Hwy	open
Los Mayas Mexican Grill Lyman	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1304 SC-357	open
Lyman Cafe	Casual dining	American	14 Groce Rd	open
M&J Restaurant Of Greer	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	1100 Gap Creek Rd	open
Maggie's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	1098 Hampton Rd	open
McCoy's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	125 Spartanburg Hwy	open
Monty’s Tasteful Thoughts	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1098 Hampton Rd	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	12165 greenville hwy	open
Pepperoni Express Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	207 N Lawrence St	open
Red Hill Hot Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · American	408 Spartanburg Rd	open
Sakura Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	201 Inman Rd	open
Sky Donut Cafe	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Dessert · Coffee	1625 Holly Springs Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	410 Spartanburg Hwy	open
The Hot Dog Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · Burgers · American	605 Spartanburg Hwy S	open
The Liminal Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	299 Spartanburg Hwy	open
The Salad King	Fast casual · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls · American	660 Spartanburg Hwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	8	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	8	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	9	8	3	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	9	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	11	11	8	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	10	10	7	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	10	10	6	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	10	10	6	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	11	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	12	12	7	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	12	12	6	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	12	11	5	6	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	14	14	6	8	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	14	14	5	9	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	14	13	5	8	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	14	14	5	9	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	14	14	4	10	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	15	14	4	10	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	17	15	4	11	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	17	17	5	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	17	17	5	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	16	16	4	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	17	6	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	20	20	7	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	17	5	9	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	16	4	9	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 29365. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
29385	4.0 mi	4	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.