BMIE Market 29376

Spartanburg County, South Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,935 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,196 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,296 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±354 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,909 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,752 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$70,645 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,103 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$931 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±153 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$234,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,869 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	38.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 29376
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+36.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+36.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+114.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 16–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.83) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	81 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 29376. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.83, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. South Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 318, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	60.5	60	40%	+24.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65.7	66	35%	+23.0
Market Momentum Score	80.8	81	25%	+20.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,935	69	40%	+27.6
Median household income (ACS)	70,645	48	40%	+19.2
Households (ACS)	3,296	68	20%	+13.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	66.7	87	35%	+30.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.8	47	25%	+11.7
Population (ACS)	8,935	69	20%	+13.8
Median household income (ACS)	70,645	48	20%	+9.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	36.4	87	50%	+43.3
10-year restaurant growth	66.7	87	30%	+26.2
20-year restaurant growth	36.4	56	20%	+11.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (26)

By cuisine

American 5 · Burgers 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Italian 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Bar 7 · Quick service 6 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		6159 Highway 221	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	6163 Hwy 221	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	6196 US-221	open
Club Icon	Bar		302 Southport Rd	open
Coco Loco Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3257 Carolina Country Club Rd	open
Fratellos Restaurant & Catering Fratello's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	3257 Carolina Country Club Rd	open
Grille 221	Casual dining · Bar	American · Burgers	4795 S Church St Ext	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2499 E Blackstock Rd	open
Holden's Ranch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	580 Southport Rd	open
Jcl, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4250 S Church Street Ext	open
Mandarin House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4795 S Church St Ext	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2513 Stone Station Rd	open
Pelican's Snoballs	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2640 Stone Station Rd	open
Roebuck Fish Camp	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	597 McAbee Rd	open
Sipsetc.	Coffee shop	Coffee	4795 S Church Street Ext Ste 1	open
Southport Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		629 Southport Rd	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6197 S Hwy 221	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1050 Cavalier Way, College Prep Campus	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service		141 Felt Dr.	open
The Gardens Restaurant & Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		302 Southport Rd	open
The Station	Bar		2645 Stone Station Rd	open
TWO 95 Food & Spirits	Casual dining · Bar		609 Southport Rd	open
Uncle Berto's Burritos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2509 Stone Station Rd	open
Upscale Bar&lounge	Bar		300 Southport Rd	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	6207 Highway 221	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Chicken / wings · Healthy / salads / bowls	6177 Highway 221	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	10	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	8	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	7	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	8	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	9	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	12	11	8	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	10	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	11	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	12	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	9	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	10	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	10	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	12	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	11	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	11	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	9	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	9	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	9	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	9	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	14	7	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	14	7	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	15	7	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	14	6	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	15	7	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 29376. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.