BMIE Market 29710

York County, South Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	40,595 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,682 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	15,317 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±617 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	29,449 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	12,570 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$96,563 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,818 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,543 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±123 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$386,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,073 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	114.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	55 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 29710
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+19.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+61.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+129.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+205.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	61 (range 54–69) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.6 per year, r² 0.68) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	83 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	88 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	82 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 29710. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.68, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. South Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 318, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	87.9	88	40%	+35.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79.4	79	35%	+27.8
Market Momentum Score	81.8	82	25%	+20.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	40,595	94	40%	+37.7
Median household income (ACS)	96,563	79	40%	+31.5
Households (ACS)	15,317	94	20%	+18.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	61.8	86	35%	+30.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.6	58	25%	+14.5
Population (ACS)	40,595	94	20%	+18.8
Median household income (ACS)	96,563	79	20%	+15.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	19.6	77	50%	+38.4
10-year restaurant growth	61.8	86	30%	+25.9
20-year restaurant growth	129.2	87	20%	+17.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (116)

By cuisine

American 18 · Pizza 17 · Coffee 13 · Dessert 9 · Asian 8 · Bakery 8 · Burgers 6 · Japanese 5 · Mexican 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Sushi 5 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Italian 4 · BBQ 3 · Chinese 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Breakfast 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · European 1 · Seafood 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 57 · Quick service 23 · Bar 22 · Casual dining 16 · Bakery 10 · Café 10 · Dessert 9 · Coffee shop 6 · Food truck 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Catering 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A & W All-American Food KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Burgers	958 Bethel St	open
Absolute Games, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4516 Charlotte Hwy	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	511 Nautical Dr	open
Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's	Quick service		175 South Carolina 274	open
Ayala Family Enterprise Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4559 Charlotte Hwy	open
Azteca Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	604 Nautical Dr	open
Bagel Boat	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	4090 Charlotte Hwy	open
BB's BBQ	Catering	BBQ		open
Bear's Den	Bar		210 SC-161	open
Best China Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	5243 Hwy 557	open
Big Papa's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5800 Charlotte Hwy A	open
Big Time Boba	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Tea / bubble tea	4070 CHARLOTTE Highway	open
Big Time Boba	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	745 Bethel St	open
Bluewater Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4516 Charlotte Hwy	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	4927 Charlotte Hwy	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	959 Bethel Street	open
Bull Pin Sports & Arcade Bar	Bar		113 N Main St	open
Burger King	Quick service		5217 Highway 557	open
Carolina Chocolate Company	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	106 Kings Mountain St	open
Chefs Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5301 Highway 557	open
Cherry Sushi Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	4034 Charlotte Hwy	open
Chinese Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	982 Bethel St	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle	Quick service		5001 Charlotte Hwy	open
Christopher's Grill & Bar	Bar		199 Harbor Oaks Dr # 29710-9060	open
Christopher's Grill and Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1500 Village Harbor Dr	open
Ciao Bella Coffee and Sweets	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	4547 Charlotte Hwy ste 103	open
Cinnabon Walmart - Lake Wylie Cinnabon	Quick service		175 South Carolina 274	open
Clover Community Fridge at The Bridge	Food truck			open
Clover Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	301 S Main St	open
Clover Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
Clover Harvest	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1007 Old North Main St	open
Clover Station	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	105 N Main St	open
Community Cafe USA	Café	Coffee	5415 Highway 557	open
Copper Premium Pub	Bar · Casual dining		4516 Charlotte Hwy	open
Courtney's BBQ	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar	BBQ	1166 Hwy 55 E	open
Dean and Luca’s Pizzeria	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1849 Hwy 557	open
Dixie Diner	Casual dining	American	1827 US-321 N	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	125 Evergreen Rd	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	Pizza	148 Highway 274	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	119 Alden Oaks St	open
Dreamery Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	4543 Charlotte Hwy	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	335 Vesla Ln	open
Eagle's Nest	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	507 N Main St	open
El Mexicano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · American	401 N Main St	open
Famous Toastery Lake Wylie Famous Toastery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	5217 Hwy 557	open
For Coffee's Sake	Coffee shop	Coffee		open
Four Lane Drive	Casual dining · Bar		1239 N Main St	open
Four Lane Drive	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1239 N Main St	open
Fox's Pizza Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	723 Bethel St	open
Frosty Bites	Dessert · Food truck	Dessert	429 Blucher Cir	open
Funtown Play Cafe	Café	Coffee	4555 Charlotte Hwy Ste 19	open
Garcia Group Enterprise Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4559 Charlotte Hwy	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	206 S Main St	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1510 Highway 55 East	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1000 S Main St	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	604 Nautical Drive Suite 101	open
KB Cakes Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	125 N Main St	open
Kerosene Bar	Bar		103 Bethel St	open
Kochi by the Lake	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	5360 Hwy 557	open
Lake Wylie Pizza & Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	4074 Charlotte Hwy	open
Lee's Hoagie House Lee's Hoagie House	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	312 Bulkhead Way #101	open
Legacy Lounge Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		702 Kings Mountain St	open
Lilys Bistro	Casual dining		4547 Charlotte Hwy	open
Main St Retreat Bar & Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1007 Old North Main St	open
Max's Frigid Frog	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert		open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	5262 Highway 557	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	905 Bethel Street	open
Moes Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	312 Bulkhead Way	open
Nagoya Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	853 Bethel St	open
Panda Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	144 SC-274	open
Papa Doc's Shore Club	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	3990 Charlotte Hwy	open
Papa John's Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	929 N Main St	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	221 Latitude Ln #101	open
Pelican's Snoballs Pelican's SnoBalls- Jax Beach	Dessert	Dessert	5400 Hwy 55 E	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5241 Hwy 557 York	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	801 Bethel Street York	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza		open
Pop Pops Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	824 N Main St	open
Q2U BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	4052 Charlotte Hwy	open
Rainbow Asian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Japanese	4547 Charlotte Hwy	open
Rey Azteca	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	4052 Charlotte Hwy	open
Roadhouse	Bar		4376 Charlotte Hwy	open
Ron The Snack Guy	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		4059 Home Grom Way	open
Route 55 Country Store & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1791 State Hwy 55	open
Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	1499 Hwy 55 E	open
Shok’s Laundromat Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		4 Wood Hollow Rd	open
South Main Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		902 S Main St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1201 Village Harbor Dr	open
Steve Cooper's Coop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1150 Highway 274	open
Sub Station 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4555 Charlotte Hwy	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	5245 Highway 557	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	833 Bethel St	open
Sunset Slush of Lake Wylie	Food truck			open
Sweetwater Sports Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	4582 Charlotte Hwy	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	311 Vesla Lane	open
Thai Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	125 Evergreen Rd	open
The Caddy Shack The Caddy Shack	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	4052 Charlotte Hwy	open
The Cattle Car	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	111 N Main St	open
The Galley - Pier 88 Yacht Club	Café	Coffee	165 Heritage Dr	open
The Pizza Man	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	107 Bethel St	open
The Swirling Vine ~ a social house	Café	Coffee	204 S Main St	open
Victoria's Diner	Casual dining	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	102 N Main St	open
Virgin Bean Coffee Bar & Creamery	Coffee shop	Coffee	204 S Main St	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	5013 Charlotte Hwy	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	175 Highway 274	open
Water Tank	Bar		111 N Main St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5188 Charlotte Highway	open
Willow Sweets Custom Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	106 Kings Mountain St	open
Wonderloaf Home Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	203 Flatrock St	open
Wrecked Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar			open
Wriston’s Bar	Bar		5221 Lake Wylie Rd	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	143 Highway 274	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	158 SC-274	open
Zo.ra Food & Wine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · European	1201 Village Harbor Dr	open
Fast Frog Bakery & Cakes	Dessert	Dessert	5400 Highway 55 E	closed
Stateline Bbq And Taphouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4052 Charlotte Hwy	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	21	18	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	19	16	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	18	15	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	23	19	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	24	20	12	8	—	4	NAICS1997
1999	25	21	13	8	—	4	NAICS1997
2000	26	22	14	8	—	4	NAICS1997
2001	26	23	13	10	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	31	26	15	10	1	4	NAICS1997
2003	30	24	11	10	2	4	NAICS2002
2004	33	25	11	10	3	4	NAICS2002
2005	37	26	10	12	3	6	NAICS2002
2006	35	25	12	11	1	6	NAICS2002
2007	34	25	9	13	2	4	NAICS2002
2008	32	25	9	14	1	3	NAICS2007
2009	38	31	13	16	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	39	30	11	17	1	3	NAICS2007
2011	38	31	13	17	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	39	32	14	15	2	2	NAICS2012
2013	41	34	17	15	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	43	38	21	14	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	41	37	20	15	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	47	45	24	19	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	58	52	29	21	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	51	46	26	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	52	47	27	17	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	53	47	24	18	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	53	47	22	20	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	52	48	23	19	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	60	55	27	21	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 29710. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.