BMIE Market 29728

Chesterfield County, South Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,043 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±774 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,635 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±267 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,301 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,640 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$45,250 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,509 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$716 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±93 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$130,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±31,339 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	95.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 29728
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+23.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 12–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.10) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	46 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	73 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 29728. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.10, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. South Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 318, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	45.6	46	40%	+18.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52.4	52	35%	+18.4
Market Momentum Score	72.6	73	25%	+18.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,043	69	40%	+27.7
Median household income (ACS)	45,250	10	40%	+4.0
Households (ACS)	3,635	70	20%	+13.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	35%	+25.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.7	44	25%	+10.9
Population (ACS)	9,043	69	20%	+13.9
Median household income (ACS)	45,250	10	20%	+2.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	23.1	79	50%	+39.7
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	30%	+22.0
20-year restaurant growth	33.3	54	20%	+10.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (32)

By cuisine

American 8 · Burgers 4 · Bakery 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Dessert 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Mexican 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Coffee 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Asian 1 · Chinese 1 · Italian 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Quick service 8 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 3 · Bar 3 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A's Food Stop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		303 N Elm St	open
Beth’s Country Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1209 S Pearl St	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	608 East McGregor	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	201 N Van L Mungo Blvd	open
Clubhouse Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		4816 White Plains Church Rd	open
Dairy-O	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	20 Landsford Rd	open
De Carne Somos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	101 W McGregor St	open
Donut Depot	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery	115 N Pearl St	open
El Paso Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	614 E McGregor St	open
El Tapatio Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1302 Van Lingle Mungo Blvd	open
Fiesta Brava Mexican Rest	Restaurant (service type not stated)		615 E Maynard St	open
Fox Place Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American · Steakhouse	203 W McGregor St	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2210 Hwy 601 N	open
Jin Jin Jin Jin	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	715 E McGregor St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	206 S. Van L Mungo Boulevard	open
Legends Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		2348 Hwy 601 N	open
Lynn's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		101 W McGregor St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	203 S Van Lingle Mungo Boulevard	open
Mickey's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	114 N Maple St	open
Pageland Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	113 N Pearl St	open
Pageland Farm Equipment	Restaurant (service type not stated)		218 W McGregor St	open
Pageland Main Street	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	212 S. Van Lingle Mungo Blvd. Chesterfield	open
Polly's Coffee & Ice Cream Shoppe	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts	218 W McGregor St	open
Pyg Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	203 W McGregor St	open
Sub Station II	Other	Sandwiches	222 S Van Lingle Mungo Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	611 E Maynard St	open
Sweets & Things	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	5131 Highway 207	open
Sweets for the Soul	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery		open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	204 Van Lingle Mungo Blvd	open
The watermelon patch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1661 Highway 151	open
Wendy's	Quick service		207 N Van Lingle Mungo Blvd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	12	12	5	6	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	12	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	12	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	12	12	4	7	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	11	11	4	7	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	13	12	4	8	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	14	14	5	9	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	12	12	3	9	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	13	12	3	9	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	15	15	3	12	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	13	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	13	12	4	8	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	14	13	4	9	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	13	12	4	8	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	13	13	5	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	12	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	13	13	6	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	14	14	7	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	14	14	6	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	14	14	6	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	13	5	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	13	5	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	12	4	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	13	5	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	13	4	9	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	16	6	10	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 29728. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.