BMIE Market 29829

Aiken County, South Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,385 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,265 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,275 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±381 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,651 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,633 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$84,228 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,687 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	31.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$977 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±253 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$246,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,447 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	34.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 29829
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-40.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+50.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	4 (range 2–6) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.73) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	53 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	23 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 29829. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.73, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. South Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 318, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.8	71	40%	+28.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54.1	54	35%	+18.9
Market Momentum Score	23.0	23	25%	+5.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,385	74	40%	+29.5
Median household income (ACS)	84,228	67	40%	+26.9
Households (ACS)	4,275	72	20%	+14.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-40	8	35%	+2.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.8	92	25%	+23.1
Population (ACS)	12,385	74	20%	+14.8
Median household income (ACS)	84,228	67	20%	+13.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 23 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-33.3	8	50%	+4.1
10-year restaurant growth	-40	8	30%	+2.4
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (25)

By cuisine

American 7 · Coffee 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Burgers 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Dessert 2 · Mexican 2 · Seafood 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Pizza 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Quick service 10 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Bar 2 · Dessert 2 · Café 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Antebellum Chocolate Company	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert	50 Canal St Ste 8	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	8031 Slate Blue Bnd	open
Blue Top Grill	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · American	212 Aiken Rd	open
Bojangles Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	546 Bettis Academy Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	673 Bettis Academy Rd	open
Bush's Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	409 Main St	open
Chick-N-Snack	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	208 Ascauga Lake Rd	open
CHOICES Caribbean	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	50 Canal St Ste 11	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	574 Bettis Academy Rd	open
El Camaron Feliz II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	300 Main St	open
Horse Creek Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)		151 Midland Dr	open
Huddle House	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	651 Bettis Academy Rd	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	155 Bettis Academy Road	open
Jade Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	50 Canal St Ste 11	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		106 Bettis Academy Road	open
La Jaiba Loca	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Seafood · Latin American (other)	245 Ascauga Lake Rd	open
Main Street Coffee Shop	Coffee shop	Coffee	209 Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	565 Bettis Academy Rd	open
Sonic Sonic	Quick service		136 Bettis Academy	open
Spradley's	Bar · Casual dining	American	202 Main St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	8017 Slate Blue Bnd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3446 Jefferson Davis Hwy	open
Subway Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	Bettis Academy Rd @ I-20	open
Vanessa’s Soul Food Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	193 Breezy Hill Rd	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3084 MINERAL BEND RD	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	5	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	7	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	5	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	6	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	10	9	5	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	11	10	5	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	9	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	8	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	9	9	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	7	7	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	7	7	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	6	6	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	7	7	—	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	7	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 29829. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
29828	3.9 mi	2	2016
29834	4.0 mi	1	2010

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.